A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Efficiently calculates Brazilian stock options with discrete dividends.
Deep learning outperforms Black-Scholes in Brazilian Petrobras option pricing.
Neural network learns to solve Black-Scholes for stock options.
This paper calculates risk-dependent centrality of Brazilian stocks, showing rankings vary with external risk and crisis events.
Speculative bubbles have been occurring periodically in local or global real estate markets and are considered a potential cause of economic crises. In this context, the detection of explosive behaviors in the financial market and the implementation of early warning diagnosis tests are of critical importance. The recen…
Music genre can be hard to describe: many factors are involved, such as style, music technique, and historical context. Some genres even have overlapping characteristics. Looking for a better understanding of how music genres are related to musical harmonic structures, we gathered data about the music chords for thousa…
Paper classifies Brazilian music genres using song lyrics with BLSTM network.
We present some indications of inefficiency of the Brazilian stock market based on the existence of strong long-time cross-correlations with foreign markets and indices. Our results show a strong dependence on foreign markets indices as the S\&P 500 and CAC 40, but not to the Shanghai SSE 180, indicating an intricate i…
Study detects fake news in Brazilian Portuguese using machine learning.
We investigate the Brazilian personal income distribution using data from National Household Sample Survey (PNAD), an annual research available by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE). It provides general characteristics of the country's population. Using PNAD data background we also confirm the e…
Geometric Brownian motion simulates stock prices for Brazilian small caps index.
In this paper we present a statistical analysis about the characteristics that we intend to influence in the performance of the neural networks in terms of assertiveness in the prediction of Brazilian stock returns. We created a population of architectures for analysis and extracted the sample that had the best asserti…
This work tried to detect the existence of a relationship between the graphic signals - or patterns - observed day by day in the Brazilian stock market and the trends which happen after these signals, within a period of 8 years, for a number of securities. The results obtained from this study show evidence of the exist…
Lecture notes for a minicourse to given in the XVII Brazilian School of Geometry, UFAM (Amazonas), Brazil, July 2012.
AlphaX uses AI to outperform Brazilian stock market benchmarks.
We analyze expenditure patterns of discretionary funds by Brazilian congress members. This analysis is based on a large dataset containing over million expenses made publicly available by the Brazilian government. This dataset has, up to now, remained widely untouched by machine learning methods. Our main contribut…
This paper surveys the evolution of industrial concentration of the Brazilian automotive market as well as its positioning in the worldmarket. Data available by OICA (International Organization of Motor Vehicle Manufacturers) were used to better understand the characteristics of the Brazilian market on the world stage.…
Lecture notes for the minicourse "Holonomy Groups in Riemannian geometry", a part of the XVII Brazilian School of Geometry, to be held at UFAM (Amazonas, Brazil), in July of 2012.
Develops a three-currency HJM framework for Brazilian credit markets, finding significant credit spread differences between indexed segments.
These are the very unpretentious lecture notes for the minicourse "Introduction to evolution equations in Geometry," a part of the Brazilian Colloquium of Mathematics held at IMPA, in July of 2009.
This book was intended to serve as supporting material for a mini-course on web geometry delivered at the 27th Brazilian Mathematical Colloquium which took place at IMPA in the last week of July 2009.
These are lecture notes on scale calculus and M-polyfolds written for a graduate course at UNICAMP March-June 2018 and an advanced mini-course given during the biannual meeting of Brazilian mathematicians, CBM-32, at IMPA in August 2019.
This paper discusses the empirical validity of Goodwin's (1967) macroeconomic model of growth with cycles by assuming that the individual income distribution of the Brazilian society is described by the Gompertz-Pareto distribution (GPD). This is formed by the combination of the Gompertz curve, representing the overwhe…
In this paper, we explore and detail our experiments in a high-dimensionality, multi-class image classification problem often found in the automatic recognition of Sign Languages. Here, our efforts are directed towards comparing the characteristics, advantages and drawbacks of creating and training Support Vector Machi…
Optimal income crossover found using particle swarm optimization.
The use of features extracted using a deep convolutional neural network (CNN) combined with a writer-dependent (WD) SVM classifier resulted in significant improvement in performance of handwritten signature verification (HSV) when compared to the previous state-of-the-art methods. In this work it is investigated whethe…
Study on supply chain networks using wire transfers in Brazil.
Machine learning improves early detection of patient deterioration in Brazilian hospitals.
Mutual information minimum spanning trees are used to explore nonlinear dependencies on Brazilian equity network in the periods from June/01/2015 to January/26/2016, in which Brazil was under the government of President Dilma Rousseff, and from January/27/2016 to September/08/2016 which includes the government transiti…
We use the correlation matrix of stocks returns in order to create maps of the São Paulo Stock Exchange (BM&F-Bovespa), Brazil's main stock exchange. The data reffer to the year 2010, and the correlations between stock returns lead to the construction of a minimum spanning tree and of asset graphs with a variety of thr…
We investigate the Heston model with stochastic volatility and exponential tails as a model for the typical price fluctuations of the Brazilian São Paulo Stock Exchange Index (IBOVESPA). Raw prices are first corrected for inflation and a period spanning 15 years characterized by memoryless returns is chosen for the ana…
Automatic Offline Handwritten Signature Verification has been researched over the last few decades from several perspectives, using insights from graphology, computer vision, signal processing, among others. In spite of the advancements on the field, building classifiers that can separate between genuine signatures and…
This article contains the lecture notes for the short course ``Introduction to Econophysics,'' delivered at the II Brazilian School on Statistical Mechanics, held in Sao Carlos, Brazil, in February 2004. The main goal of the present notes is twofold: i) to provide a brief introduction to the problem of pricing financia…
The purpose of this paper is to identify a relevant statistical correlation between rate of default, RD, and loss given default, LGD, in a major Brazilian financial institution Retail Home Equity exposure rated using the IRB approach, so that we may find a causal relationship between the two risk parameters. Therefore,…
We consider the Fractionally Integrated Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity process, denoted by FIEGARCH(p,d,q), introduced by Bollerslev and Mikkelsen (1996). We present a simulated study regarding the estimation of the risk measure on FIEGARCH processes. We consider the distr…
Study shows Lula's Zero Hunger program reduced income inequality in Brazil.
This paper studies the dynamics of Brazilian interest rates for short-term maturities. The paper employs developed techniques in the econophysics literature and tests for long-range dependence in the term structure of these interest rates for the last decade. Empirical results suggest that the degree of long-range depe…
We propose a diffusion process to describe the global dynamic evolution of credit operations at a national level given observed operations at a subnational level in a sovereign country. Empirical analysis with a unique dataset from Brazilian federate constituents supports the conclusions. Despite the heterogeneity obse…
We developed a strategic of optimal portfolio based on information theory and Tsallis statistics. The growth rate of a stock market is defined by using -deformed functions and we find that the wealth after n days with the optimal portfolio is given by a -exponential function. In this context, the asymptotic optim…
SFC aims to protect the Amazon with a digital currency and smart contracts.
This paper creates a tagging system for paintings using historical descriptions.
Hybrid model uses TOPSIS, EMD, and ELM for stock selection.
The starting point of this article is the question "How to retrieve fingerprints of rhythm in written texts?" We address this problem in the case of Brazilian and European Portuguese. These two dialects of Modern Portuguese share the same lexicon and most of the sentences they produce are superficially identical. Yet t…
The validity of the Efficient Market Hypothesis has been under severe scrutiny since several decades. However, the evidence against it is not conclusive. Artificial Neural Networks provide a model-free means to analize the prediction power of past returns on current returns. This chapter analizes the predictability in …
Many new models for measuring financial contagion have been presented recently. While these models have not been specified for investment funds directly, there are many similarities that could be explored to extend the models. In this work we explore ideas developed about financial contagion to create a network of inve…
The Brazilian court system is currently the most clogged up judiciary system in the world. Thousands of lawsuit cases reach the supreme court every day. These cases need to be analyzed in order to be associated to relevant tags and allocated to the right team. Most of the cases reach the court as raster scanned documen…
Study applies Gai-Kapadia framework to global equity markets to assess systemic risk and default cascades.
Study models live cattle futures prices in Brazil.