Study models arrival rates and cancellation rates of limit orders in Borsa Istanbul.
problem Understanding order dynamics in Borsa Istanbul's stock market.
method Used limit order book data from Garanti Bank. Tested three discrete probability distributions and two theoretical models for arrival rates. Examined cancellation rates using L1 norms.
result Modelled daily, weekly, and monthly arrival rates of limit orders in the first fifteen bid and ask price levels.
Study finds no evidence dual-class stocks are effective predictors.
problem Investment efficiency of dual-class stocks.
method In-depth analysis of stock price divergence, innovative LSTM model training set selection.
result No compelling evidence dual-class stocks are effective predictors.
Paper proposes a closed-form formula for geometric Istanbul call options.
problem Pricing geometric Istanbul call options under the Black-Scholes model.
method Second-order Taylor expansion to derive a closed-form approximation.
result The proposed formula accurately approximates GIC values compared to Monte-Carlo simulations.
Study uses synthetic data to estimate credit risk for underbanked consumers in Istanbul.
problem Estimating credit risk for underbanked consumers lacking formal credit records.
method Created synthetic dataset, used retrieval augmented generation, trained CatBoost, LightGBM, and XGBoost models.
result Alternative financial data improves credit risk estimation, raising AUC by 13%.
An original method, assuming potential and kinetic energy for prices and conservation of their sum is developed for forecasting exchanges. Connections with power law are shown. Semiempirical applications on S&P500, DJIA, and NASDAQ predict a coming recession in them. An emerging market, Istanbul Stock Exchange index IS…
We study tick-by-tick financial returns belonging to the FTSE MIB index of the Italian Stock Exchange (Borsa Italiana). We can confirm previously detected non-stationarities. However, scaling properties reported in the previous literature for other high-frequency financial data are only approximately valid. As a conseq…
With the horrific Jamal Khashoggi killing, Mohammed Bin Salman's image in the international community has been damaged. This study seeks to test whether Khashoggi murder discourage businesses from investing in Saudi Arabia. We use an event-study methodology and asset pricing model to assess, at sectoral level, the dyna…
The main purpose of this study is the determination of the optimal length of the historical data for the estimation of statistical parameters in Markowitz Portfolio Optimization. We present a trading simulation using Markowitz method, for a portfolio consisting of foreign currency exchange rates and selected assets fro…
Due to increasing urban population and growing number of motor vehicles, traffic congestion is becoming a major problem of the 21st century. One of the main reasons behind traffic congestion is accidents which can not only result in casualties and losses for the participants, but also in wasted and lost time for the ot…