This work improves testing of machine learning model modifications using novel statistical methods.
problem Overfitting and conservative Bonferroni correction when testing multiple model modifications.
method Introduces alpha-recycling and SRGPs to control error rate and approve more beneficial modifications.
result Novel statistical methods approve a higher number of beneficial modifications than previous approaches.
Improved sequential tests detect anomalies faster in multi-stream auditing.
problem Efficiently auditing machine learning systems across multiple data streams.
method Developed new sequential tests using merging martingales and averaging/products rules.
result Balanced tests achieve optimal stopping times in sparse and dense alternatives.
CIT and CIF improve feature selection for downstream prediction.
problem Feature selection bias in machine learning models.
method Conditional inference trees and forests with Bonferroni correction.
result CIF ranks top 3 among 18 regression methods and top 4 among 17 classification methods.
Max-rank improves multiple testing in conformal prediction.
problem Simultaneous testing of multiple hypotheses in scientific inquiries.
method Introduces max-rank, a novel correction for positive dependencies in simultaneous testing.
result Max-rank efficiently controls family-wise error rate and improves predictive uncertainty estimates.
The problem of finding itemsets that are statistically significantly enriched in a class of transactions is complicated by the need to correct for multiple hypothesis testing. Pruning untestable hypotheses was recently proposed as a strategy for this task of significant itemset mining. It was shown to lead to greater s…
Practical or scientific considerations often lead to selecting a subset of parameters as ``important.'' Inferences about those parameters often are based on the same data used to select them in the first place. That can make the reported uncertainties deceptively optimistic: confidence intervals that ignore selection g…
JEPA fails to improve language model performance when fine-tuning.
problem Improving language model performance through latent representation learning.
method Testing various training-time auxiliaries on natural-language-to-regex generation.
result No auxiliary improves cross-entropy gradient cosine with decoder visibility.
Multiple hypothesis testing is a significant problem in nearly all neuroimaging studies. In order to correct for this phenomena, we require a reliable estimate of the Family-Wise Error Rate (FWER). The well known Bonferroni correction method, while simple to implement, is quite conservative, and can substantially under…
Study aggregation of statistical evidence under unknown dependence using group-invariance.
problem Aggregating statistical evidence under unknown and complex dependence structures.
method Develops a framework using group-invariance and permutation-based constructions to aggregate evidence across transformed datasets.
result Shows uniform improvement in critical values for single-batch aggregation over deterministic calibrations, adapting to unknown dependence structures.
We apply the procedure of Lee et al. to the problem of performing inference on the signal-noise ratio of the asset which displays maximum sample Sharpe ratio over a set of possibly correlated assets. We find a multivariate analogue of the commonly used approximate standard error of the Sharpe ratio to use in this condi…
MRI image quality affects statistical and predictive analysis of brain morphology.
problem Impact of MRI image quality on statistical and predictive analysis of brain morphology.
method Systematic testing of image quality on univariate statistics and machine learning classification using three large datasets.
result Low-quality MRI data significantly affects detecting significant sex/gender differences in smaller samples, but not in larger ones.
The paper proposes a framework to calibrate multi-agent simulation models from output series using Bayesian optimization.
problem Calibrating multi-agent simulation models from observable output series.
method Novel eligibility set concept, two-sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov test with Bonferroni correction, Bayesian optimization (BO), and trust-region BO (TuRBO).
result Demonstrated the efficiency of the proposed framework using numerical experiments.
A new RL method improves revenue management with delayed feedback.
problem Delayed feedback in revenue management affects substantial value.
method Choice-model-assisted Q-learning for delayed feedback revenue management.
result Q-learning with model-imputed targets converges to an optimal Q-function.
New method predicts Alzheimer's risk with individual uncertainty estimates.
problem Predicting conversion from mild cognitive impairment to Alzheimer's disease.
method Persistent homology of clinical trajectories combined with stacking ensemble.
result Pipeline achieves high accuracy and individual-level uncertainty quantification.
A new method for batch prediction sets in classification problems.
problem Constructing reliable prediction sets for multiple unlabeled examples.
method Proposes a uniformly more powerful approach to batch prediction sets using specific combinations of conformal p-values.
result The proposed method provides narrower prediction sets compared to the Bonferroni correction.
CSA fills a gap in RLVR-trained LLM deployment by providing anytime-valid selective risk control.
problem Deployment of RLVR-trained LLMs in regulated organizations requires a safety certificate for every round without waiting for long-run averages.
method CSA uses a (test statistic, validity guarantee, deployment rule) framework to fill the gap, maintaining a Ville-type e-process per threshold on a Bonferroni grid.
result CSA provides the first anytime-valid selective risk control for RLVR-trained LLMs, matching the long-run average certification rate and satisfying pathwise validity and non-refusing deployment on every cell.
New approach treats coordination as an architectural layer to improve LLM-based multi-agent systems.
problem Coordination defects lead to high failure rates in LLM-based multi-agent systems.
method Treats coordination as a configurable architectural layer separable from agent logic and information access.
result Configurations leave distinguishable signatures, enabling architectural reasoning and Pareto frontiers.
ALMAB-DC optimizes expensive black-box experiments using active learning and distributed computing.
problem Efficiently optimizing expensive, gradient-free objectives in computational statistics and machine learning.
method Combines active learning, multi-armed bandits, and distributed asynchronous computing.
result Achieves lower simple regret and superior performance in various tasks compared to non-ALMAB baselines.
Three supervised learning methods for selecting logratios in compositional data analysis.
problem Selecting logratios for predicting a dependent variable in compositional data.
method Three supervised learning methods: unrestricted search, parts restriction, and additive logratios.
result The first method excels in predictive power, while the other two are more interpretable.
Biological research often involves testing a growing number of null hypotheses as new data is accumulated over time. We study the problem of online control of the familywise error rate (FWER), that is testing an apriori unbounded sequence of hypotheses (p-values) one by one over time without knowing the future, such th…
In our previous study we have presented an approach to studying lead--lag effect in financial markets using information and network theories. Methodology presented there, as well as previous studies using Pearson's correlation for the same purpose, approached the concept of lead--lag effect in a naive way. In this pape…
The paper finds a fundamental trade-off between confidence and efficiency in transductive conformal prediction.
problem The challenge is to balance confidence and efficiency in predicting multiple data points.
method The authors derive a strict finite-sample bound and introduce a practical algorithm to approach this bound.
result Any non-trivial confidence level leads to exponential growth in prediction set size, with a linear scaling in the number of samples.
Private two-sample tests under LDP achieve minimax rates for multinomial and continuous data.
problem Achieving statistical utility while maintaining privacy in two-sample testing.
method Private permutation tests for multinomial data and adaptive tests for continuous data.
result Minimax optimal tests for private two-sample testing under LDP.
Non-intrusive algorithm corrects corrupted data in classification models.
problem Classification problems with corrupted training data.
method Post-processes a trained classification model with a correction procedure.
result Corrected models deliver correct classification results even with corrupted data.
A new model of learning corrects for chance to improve learning outcomes.
problem The importance of chance-corrected measures in learning.
method Developed two models: Informatron and AdaBook, based on empirical psychological results.
result Chance correction facilitates learning, as shown by computational results.
Mathematical study of instanton corrected q-map spaces and their isometries.
problem Understanding the isometries of instanton corrected q-map spaces.
method Study of isometries of instanton corrected q-map spaces associated to PSR manifolds.
result Explicit example of instanton corrected q-map space with full SL(2,Z) acting by isometries.
Corrected misstatements about invariant rank in ECS manifold papers.
problem Misstated invariant rank (d=1 instead of d=2) in several papers on ECS manifolds.
method Identified the class of examples with d=1, explained why d=2, and listed corrections.
result Corrected papers to accurately state d=2 for ECS manifolds.
New method combines machine learning with data assimilation for model error correction.
problem Correcting model errors using sparse and noisy observations.
method Hybrid machine learning and data assimilation methods.
result Tendency correction outperforms resolvent correction in data assimilation experiments.
New adaptive test for NPIV models controls size and has superior power.
problem Testing inequality and equality restrictions in nonparametric IV models.
method Adaptive hypothesis test based on modified leave-one-out sample quadratic distance.
result Adaptive test attains the adaptive minimax rate of testing in L2. Localized Multidirectional Correction improves non-refusal target-response behavior in foundation models.
problem Controlled post-training refusal suppression in routed MoE and hybrid-MoE foundation models.
method Introduce Localized Multidirectional Correction (LoMC), a support-gated intervention framework.
result Substantially improves non-refusal target-response behavior while maintaining general capability under a compact intervention footprint.
Theoretical analysis shows LLMs can self-correct responses through in-context learning.
problem Understanding how large language models improve through self-correction.
method Theoretical analysis based on simplified alignment task, focusing on softmax attention, multi-head attention, and MLP blocks.
result LLMs can refine responses in an in-context way when given accurate self-examinations as rewards.
New algorithms improve boosting by optimizing chance-corrected measures.
problem Improving boosting algorithms to use chance-corrected measures effectively.
method Developed new algorithms (AdaBook and Multibook) that optimize chance-corrected measures.
result AdaBook and Multibook outperform standard Multiboost or AdaBoost in multiclass situations.
Study examines corrections to heterotic geometry on SU(3) manifolds.
problem Analyzing α′2 corrections to heterotic supersymmetry algebra. method Derives integrability condition and pure gauge correction from graviton equation of motion.
result Curvature of tangent bundle connection acquires a (0,2) component, disrupting semi-classical intuition.
A model corrects Lithuanian grammatical errors.
problem Lack of language skills and typing errors in Lithuanian.
method Transformer architectures for subword and byte-level approaches.
result F0.5=0.92 for Lithuanian grammatical error correction. Expectation Propagation (EP) provides a framework for approximate inference. When the model under consideration is over a latent Gaussian field, with the approximation being Gaussian, we show how these approximations can systematically be corrected. A perturbative expansion is made of the exact but intractable correcti…
MaxEnt Model Correction improves reinforcement learning model accuracy.
problem Improving reinforcement learning model accuracy and convergence.
method MaxEnt Model Correction (MoCo) procedure to correct model's next-state distributions.
result MoCoVI and MoCoDyna algorithms converge faster and effectively use approximate models.
We derive a closed formula for the Heegaard Floer correction terms of lens spaces in terms of the classical Dedekind sum and its generalization, the Dedekind-Rademacher sum. Our proof relies on a reciprocity formula for the correction terms established by Ozsvath and Szabo. A consequence of our result is that the Casso…
New methods correct spectral distortions using known analyte concentrations.
problem Distorted spectral shapes from absorbing and scattering contributions.
method Modified penalized baseline correction methods that incorporate known analyte concentrations.
result Improved prediction performance on near infra-red data sets.
This is a corrected version of our paper published in Osaka Journal of Mathematics 51(2014), 673-693. We correct Theorem~1.1, Proposition~3.3 and their proofs.
Bayesian method corrects for model selection multiplicity in regression.
problem Model selection multiplicity in regression analysis.
method Developed a Bayesian prior distribution based on Holm procedure analogy.
result Adequate multiplicity correction requires sparsity not provided by recommended priors.
In recent years several trading platforms appeared which provide a backtest engine to calculate historic performance of self designed trading strategies on underlying candle data. The construction of a correct working backtest engine is, however, a subtle task as shown by Maier-Paape and Platen (cf. arXiv:1412.5558 [q-…
This paper corrects the proof of the Theorem 2 from the Gower's paper \cite[page 5]{Gower:1982} as well as corrects the Theorem 7 from Gower's paper \cite{Gower:1986}. The first correction is needed in order to establish the existence of the kernel function used commonly in the kernel trick e.g. for k-means clusterin…
New approach shows AI can adapt like toddlers by correcting old knowledge.
problem Lack of adaptability in AI models compared to humans and animals.
method Casting adaptation as posterior correction and using Bayesian Learning Rule.
result AI can learn to adapt quickly by using posterior correction.
Khovanov homology helps create quantum error-correcting codes.
problem Creating robust quantum error-correcting codes.
method Using Khovanov homology and its extensions to define and analyze quantum codes.
result New families of quantum codes with desirable properties.
The study examines methods to correct measurement error in nutritional epidemiology studies.
problem Measurement error in nutritional studies leads to biased and underconfident estimates.
method The article reviews various bias-correction models for exposure variables in nutritional epidemiology.
result Bias-correction methods are essential for accurate inference in nutritional studies.
Post-training corrections boost time-series forecasting accuracy.
problem Improving forecasting accuracy of large models after training.
method Sequential application of carefully selected corrections to predictions.
result Up to 30% improvement in forecasting accuracy with minimal overhead.
This paper improves deep learning model consistency through ensemble methods.
problem Consistency and correct-consistency issues in deep learning models.
method Formal definition of consistency and correct-consistency, proving ensemble improvement, proposing dynamic snapshot ensemble method.
result Ensemble methods can improve correct-consistency of deep learning models.
UCPO improves diversity in reinforcement learning models, maintaining high accuracy.
problem RLVR objectives often lead to diversity collapse, reducing coverage of correct solutions.
method UCPO adds a conditional uniformity penalty to GRPO, redistributing probability mass.
result UCPO improves Pass@K and diversity while maintaining competitive Pass@1 accuracy.