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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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5101419 · Jun 202619922001200920172026
48 results for Bollinger Bands

The goal of this study is to explain and examine the statistical underpinnings of the Bollinger Band methodology. We start off by elucidating the rolling regression time series model and deriving its explicit relationship to Bollinger Bands. Next we illustrate the use of Bollinger Bands in pairs trading and prove the e…

2012-12-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Study models Indian stock market using hyperbolic geometry for market stability and volatility analysis.

problem Identifying market stability and volatility in the Indian stock market.
method Modelled as a heterogeneous scale-free network, embedded in a 2D hyperbolic space, applied coalescent embedding, hyperbolic kmeans, and Bollinger Band analysis.
result Clusters in the embedded network better represent market communities than Euclidean clusters, allowing for early detection of market changes.

FutureQuant Transformer predicts price ranges and volatility for futures trading.

problem Complex futures trading with real-time LOBs and vast data.
method FutureQuant Transformer model using attention mechanisms.
result Significantly improved trading performance with an average gain of 0.1193%.

Hybrid AI system combines technical, sentiment analysis for adaptive equity trading.

problem Traditional trading strategies fail during high volatility and regime shifts.
method Combines trend-following, mean-reversion, sentiment analysis, machine learning, and market regime filtering.
result Hybrid model achieved 135.49% return on investment over 24 months.

In this paper, we propose a minimal model beyond geometric Brownian motion that aims to describe price actions with market inefficiency. From simple financial theory considerations, we arrive at a simple two-variable hidden Markovian time series model, with one of the variable entirely unobserved. Then, we analyze the …

2015-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Every link is shown to be presentable as a boundary of an unknotted flat banded surface. A (flat) banded link is defined as a boundary of an unknotted (flat) banded surface. A link's (flat) band index is defined as the minimum number of bands required to present the link as boundaries of an unknotted (flat) banded surf…

2011-04-30abs ↗pdf ↗

This study improves stock price prediction for Apple Inc. using feature selection and regression models with technical indicators.

problem Improving stock price prediction accuracy for Apple Inc. using technical indicators.
method Evaluation of 123 technical indicators and 10 regression models on 13 years of Apple Inc. data.
result Combining feature selection with regression models significantly improves prediction accuracy.

Study finds traditional technical indicators underperform in high-frequency trading, suggesting risk management over prediction.

problem Inadequately explored effectiveness of technical indicators in high-frequency trading, particularly at minute-level frequency.
method Evaluation of random forest models with traditional technical indicators on minute-level SPY data.
result In-sample performance is superior to out-of-sample, with risk-adjusted metrics not outperforming a simple buy-and-hold strategy.

In cellular systems, the user equipment (UE) can request a change in the frequency band when its rate drops below a threshold on the current band. The UE is then instructed by the base station (BS) to measure the quality of candidate bands, which requires a measurement gap in the data transmission, thus lowering the da…

2019-10-02abs ↗pdf ↗

We give a short proof that if a non-trivial band sum of two knots results in a tight fibered knot, then the band sum is a connected sum. In particular, this means that any prime knot obtained by a non-trivial band sum is not tight fibered. Since a positive L-space knot is tight fibered, a non-trivial band sum never yie…

2015-09-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Mamba outperforms Reformer in minute-level stock prediction using LLM sentiment scores.

problem Improving minute-level stock market prediction accuracy in volatile markets.
method Combining sentiment scores from top LLMs with stock price data, training Mamba and Reformer models.
result Mamba achieved lower error rates across all tested LLMs, especially with LLaMA 3.3--70B.

The paper creates nonparametric confidence bands for band-limited functions.

problem Estimating confidence bands for band-limited functions with finite samples and unknown noise.
method Uses Paley-Wiener reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces and gradient-perturbation methods.
result Non-asymptotic guarantees for confidence regions without assuming a parametric model.

New method finds arbitrage opportunities in fluctuating asset bands.

problem Finding arbitrage opportunities in fluctuating asset bands.
method Formulate as maximizing volatility within a price band, using convex-concave optimization.
result Approximately solves non-convex optimization problem for moving-band arbitrage.

Every classical knot is band-pass equivalent to the unknot or the trefoil. The band-pass class of a knot is a concordance invariant. Every ribbon knot, for example, is band-pass equivalent to the unknot. Here we introduce the long virtual knot concordance group VC\mathscr{VC}. It is shown that for every concordance cla…

2016-03-01abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper improves nonparametric confidence bands for band-limited functions.

problem Constructing nonparametric simultaneous confidence bands with nonasymptotic and distribition-free guarantees.
method Based on Paley-Wiener reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces, the paper relaxes assumptions, improves noise estimation, and tightens constraints.
result Enhanced confidence bands with improved efficiency and tighter constraints.

We introduce a new sparse estimator of the covariance matrix for high-dimensional models in which the variables have a known ordering. Our estimator, which is the solution to a convex optimization problem, is equivalently expressed as an estimator which tapers the sample covariance matrix by a Toeplitz, sparsely-banded…

2014-05-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper shows how to embed Möbius bands with many twists and small aspect ratios.

problem Finding the smallest aspect ratio for Möbius bands with many twists.
method Constructs a folded paper ribbon knot to bound the aspect ratio.
result Paper Möbius bands and annuli with any number of half-twists can be embedded with aspect ratio less than 8.

Band selection, by choosing a set of representative bands in hyperspectral image (HSI), is an effective method to reduce the redundant information without compromising the original contents. Recently, various unsupervised band selection methods have been proposed, but most of them are based on approximation algorithms …

2019-04-30abs ↗pdf ↗

We prove optimal systolic inequalities on Finsler Mobius bands relating the systole and the height of the Mobius band to its Holmes-Thompson volume. We also establish an optimal systolic in- equality for Finsler Klein bottles of revolution, which we conjecture to hold true for arbitrary Finsler metrics. Extremal metric…

2015-03-04abs ↗pdf ↗

New theorem on embedding Moebius bands in 3D space.

problem Proving the impossibility of placing uncountably many disjoint Moebius bands in 3D space.
method Generalization of Grushin and Palamodov's result to tame subsets in R^N and arbitrary topological embeddings in R^3.
result The impossibility of embedding uncountably many pairwise disjoint Moebius bands in 3D space, even for arbitrary topological embeddings.

Band surgery is an operation relating pairs of knots or links in the three-sphere. We prove that if two quasi-alternating knots KK and KK' of the same square-free determinant are related by a band surgery, then the absolute value of the difference in their signatures is either 0 or 8. This obstruction follows from a …

2018-06-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a method to estimate confidence bands for survival random forests.

problem No statistically valid and computationally feasible approach for estimating confidence bands for survival random forests.
method Extending recent developments in infinite-order incomplete U-statistics, the paper proposes an unbiased confidence band estimation.
result The proposed method accurately estimates the confidence band and achieves desired coverage rate.

MRI images reconstructed from sub-sampled Cartesian data using deep learning techniques often show a characteristic banding (sometimes described as streaking), which is particularly strong in low signal-to-noise regions of the reconstructed image. In this work, we propose the use of an adversarial loss that penalizes b…

2020-01-23abs ↗pdf ↗

We categorise coherent band (aka nullification) pathways between knots and 2-component links. Additionally, we characterise the minimal coherent band pathways (with intermediates) between any two knots or 2-component links with small crossing number. We demonstrate these band surgeries for knots and links with small cr…

2014-08-08abs ↗pdf ↗

We present various examples of cosmetic bandings on knots and links, that is, bandings on knots and links leaving their types unchanged. As a byproduct, we give a hyperbolic knot which admits exotic chirally cosmetic surgeries yielding hyperbolic manifolds. This gives a counterexample to a conjecture raised by Bleiler,…

2016-02-04abs ↗pdf ↗