A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
A new algorithm CAP learns optimal policies from observational data with confounding bias and missing observations.
problem Offline contextual bandit with confounding bias and missing observations.
method CAP policy learning, forming reward function as solution of integral equation system, building confidence set, and greedily taking action with pessimism.
result Developed an upper bound to the suboptimality of CAP for the offline contextual bandit problem.
Solving tasks in Reinforcement Learning is no easy feat. As the goal of the agent is to maximize the accumulated reward, it often learns to exploit loopholes and misspecifications in the reward signal resulting in unwanted behavior. While constraints may solve this issue, there is no closed form solution for general co…
Offline RL tackles resource-constrained online deployment with improved policy transfer.
problem Training policies with limited online features using a rich offline dataset.
method Introduce a policy transfer algorithm that first trains a teacher agent with full offline features and then transfers knowledge to a student agent with limited online features.
result Consistent improvement in performance over baseline methods on resource-constrained datasets.
Infinite horizon off-policy policy evaluation is a highly challenging task due to the excessively large variance of typical importance sampling (IS) estimators. Recently, Liu et al. (2018a) proposed an approach that significantly reduces the variance of infinite-horizon off-policy evaluation by estimating the stationar…
Canary optimizes VaR-constrained RL problems with a conservative bound using Cantelli's inequality.
problem Optimizing reinforcement learning policies under VaR constraints in dense cost regimes.
method Employing Cantelli's inequality to create a conservative and smooth bound on VaR constraints based on moments of cost returns. Extending trust-region framework for worst-case bounds on policy improvement and constraint violation.
result Canary reliably satisfies VaR constraints with fewest violations and earliest permanent satisfaction, while maintaining reward competitiveness.
In importance sampling (IS)-based reinforcement learning algorithms such as Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO), IS weights are typically clipped to avoid large variance in learning. However, policy update from clipped statistics induces large bias in tasks with high action dimensions, and bias from clipping makes it di…
Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) on Markov decision processes (MDPs) with continuous action spaces is often approached by directly training parametric policies along the direction of estimated policy gradients (PGs). Previous research revealed that the performance of these PG algorithms depends heavily on the bias-var…
We propose a policy improvement algorithm for Reinforcement Learning (RL) which is called Rerouted Behavior Improvement (RBI). RBI is designed to take into account the evaluation errors of the Q-function. Such errors are common in RL when learning the Q-value from finite past experience data. Greedy policies or even …
This work compares regularization and constrained inference for label constraints in machine learning.
problem Improving model performance with label constraints in machine learning.
method Comparison of regularization and constrained inference strategies.
result Constrained inference reduces population risk by correcting model violations, while regularization narrows the generalization gap but introduces bias.
For an autonomous agent, executing a poor policy may be costly or even dangerous. For such agents, it is desirable to determine confidence interval lower bounds on the performance of any given policy without executing said policy. Current methods for exact high confidence off-policy evaluation that use importance sampl…
We consider the core reinforcement-learning problem of on-policy value function approximation from a batch of trajectory data, and focus on various issues of Temporal Difference (TD) learning and Monte Carlo (MC) policy evaluation. The two methods are known to achieve complementary bias-variance trade-off properties, w…