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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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50100149199 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Beta prior

We derive and approximate the conjugate prior of Dirichlet and beta distributions.

problem Intractability of conjugate prior for Dirichlet and beta distributions.
method Derive conjugate prior, define closed-form approximation, and provide algorithm.
result Closed-form approximation enables fully tractable Bayesian treatment.

Study explores geometric structure and prior for beta-logistic distribution.

problem Understanding the geometric structure and prior distributions of the beta-logistic distribution.
method Exploring dual geometric structure and uncovering α\alpha-parallel prior.
result The beta-logistic distribution admits an α\alpha-parallel prior for any real number α\alpha.

Paper introduces a new text clustering model using Beta-Liouville priors.

problem Clustering short text data.
method Develops a hierarchical mixture model with Beta-Liouville priors for short text clustering.
result The Beta-Liouville distribution offers a more flexible correlation structure for short text clustering.

Bayesian Beta regression for proportions in high dimensions with theoretical guarantees.

problem Modeling bounded continuous responses in high-dimensional settings with theoretical guarantees.
method Proposes a Bayesian approach using a tempered posterior with Horseshoe prior for shrinkage and variable selection.
result Demonstrates improved estimation accuracy and model interpretability in high-dimensional scenarios.

A beta-negative binomial (BNB) process is proposed, leading to a beta-gamma-Poisson process, which may be viewed as a "multi-scoop" generalization of the beta-Bernoulli process. The BNB process is augmented into a beta-gamma-gamma-Poisson hierarchical structure, and applied as a nonparametric Bayesian prior for an infi…

2011-12-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes an efficient algorithm for nonnegative binary matrix factorization.

problem Decomposing binary data using matrix factorization.
method Majorization-minimization algorithm with Beta prior for improved performance.
result Proposed algorithm offers excellent trade-off between performance, complexity, and interpretability.

The beta-Bernoulli process provides a Bayesian nonparametric prior for models involving collections of binary-valued features. A draw from the beta process yields an infinite collection of probabilities in the unit interval, and a draw from the Bernoulli process turns these into binary-valued features. Recent work has …

2011-06-03abs ↗pdf ↗

In recent years, a rich variety of shrinkage priors have been proposed that have great promise in addressing massive regression problems. In general, these new priors can be expressed as scale mixtures of normals, but have more complex forms and better properties than traditional Cauchy and double exponential priors. W…

2011-07-25abs ↗pdf ↗

BKP R package models spatially varying binomial probabilities efficiently.

problem Modeling spatially varying binomial probabilities efficiently.
method Beta Kernel Process (BKP) combining localized kernel-weighted likelihoods with conjugate beta priors.
result Closed-form posterior inference without requiring latent variables or intensive MCMC sampling.

High-dimensional VAEs inevitably collapse to prior, requiring large datasets for good performance.

problem Posterior collapse in VAEs leads to poor representation learning quality.
method Analyzed a minimal VAE in a high-dimensional limit, evaluating conditions for posterior collapse with respect to beta and dataset size.
result VAEs face 'inevitable posterior collapse' beyond a certain beta threshold, regardless of dataset size.

While most Bayesian nonparametric models in machine learning have focused on the Dirichlet process, the beta process, or their variants, the gamma process has recently emerged as a useful nonparametric prior in its own right. Current inference schemes for models involving the gamma process are restricted to MCMC-based …

2014-10-04abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric approach to the problem of jointly modeling multiple related time series. Our approach is based on the discovery of a set of latent, shared dynamical behaviors. Using a beta process prior, the size of the set and the sharing pattern are both inferred from data. We develop efficient M…

2011-11-17abs ↗pdf ↗

We develop a Bayesian nonparametric approach to a general family of latent class problems in which individuals can belong simultaneously to multiple classes and where each class can be exhibited multiple times by an individual. We introduce a combinatorial stochastic process known as the negative binomial process (NBP)…

2011-11-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) infers the long term dependency through a cell state maintained by the input and the forget gate structures, which models a gate output as a value in [0,1] through a sigmoid function. However, due to the graduality of the sigmoid function, the sigmoid gate is not flexible in representing m…

2019-05-25abs ↗pdf ↗

With today's abundant streams of data, the only constant we can rely on is change. For stream classification algorithms, it is necessary to adapt to concept drift. This can be achieved by monitoring the model error, and triggering counter measures as changes occur. In this paper, we propose a drift detection mechanism …

2018-11-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Study examines time-varying betas and their volatility in bank interest income and expense margins.

problem Understanding the variability of bank betas and their impact on net interest margins.
method Used state-space methods to estimate time-varying betas and conditional volatility.
result Substantial variation in interest income and expense betas, leading to varying net interest margin coefficients.

Proposes logistic-beta process for modeling dependent probabilities with beta marginals.

problem Limited work on flexible and computationally convenient stochastic process extensions for dependent random probabilities.
method Introduces logistic-beta process with logistic transformation and beta marginals, capable of modeling dependence in discrete and continuous domains.
result Logistic-beta processes enable effective posterior inference and design of computationally tractable dependent Bayesian nonparametric models.

Dependent nonparametric processes extend distributions over measures, such as the Dirichlet process and the beta process, to give distributions over collections of measures, typically indexed by values in some covariate space. Such models are appropriate priors when exchangeability assumptions do not hold, and instead …

2012-11-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning improves beta forecasts, enhancing equity valuation and portfolio performance.

problem Improving beta forecasts for better equity valuation and portfolio performance.
method Using machine learning on a large cross-section of US stocks with various firm characteristics.
result Machine learning improves out-of-sample performance of asymmetric beta measures.

Extended study improves covariance matrix estimation for portfolio managers.

problem Limited sample sizes and poor performance of PCA estimator in high-dimensional returns.
method Developed a more general shrinkage framework targeting further information.
result Improves the PCA estimator of beta by shrinking it toward a target.

In this paper, the geometric meaning of (alpha,beta)-norms is made clear. On this basis, we introduce a new class of Finsler metrics called general (alpha,beta)-metrics, which are defined by a Riemannian metric and an 1-form. These metrics not only generalize original (alpha,beta)-metrics naturally, but also include so…

2012-09-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Beta-SOD detects and corrects noisy object re-identification using cosine similarity and Beta mixtures.

problem Noisy object re-identification in image datasets.
method Reframed Re-ID as a similarity task, using Siamese networks and Beta mixture models.
result Superior performance in noisy conditions compared to state-of-the-art methods.

We present a reactive beta model that includes the leverage effect to allow hedge fund managers to target a near-zero beta for market neutral strategies. For this purpose, we derive a metric of correlation with leverage effect to identify the relation between the market beta and volatility changes. An empirical test ba…

2019-11-03abs ↗pdf ↗

This is a short description of graphic lambda calculus, with special emphasis on a duality suggested by the two different appearances of knot diagrams, in lambda calculus and emergent algebra sectors of the graphic lambda calculus respectively. This duality leads to the introduction of the dual of the graphic beta move…

2013-02-04abs ↗pdf ↗

We describe the underlying probabilistic interpretation of alpha and beta divergences. We first show that beta divergences are inherently tied to Tweedie distributions, a particular type of exponential family, known as exponential dispersion models. Starting from the variance function of a Tweedie model, we outline how…

2012-09-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified framework for scale-invariant representation learning using MAPCA.

problem Learning invariant representations in data.
method Metric-Aware Principal Component Analysis (MAPCA) based on generalized eigenproblem.
result MAPCA provides a unified geometric language for various self-supervised learning objectives.

This paper generalizes beta divergence beyond its classical form associated with power variance functions of Tweedie models. Generalized form is represented by a compact definite integral as a function of variance function of the exponential dispersion model. This compact integral form simplifies derivations of many pr…

2013-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

GRASP simplifies Bayesian regression with grouped predictors using an adaptive NBP prior.

problem Regression with grouped predictors and adaptive shrinkage.
method Normal Beta Prime (NBP) prior with tunable hyperparameters for flexible sparsity control.
result Empirical validation of robust and versatile GRASP across various sparsity and signal-to-noise ratios.

Smart beta, also known as strategic beta or factor investing, is the idea of selecting an investment portfolio in a simple rule-based manner that systematically captures market inefficiencies, thereby enhancing risk-adjusted returns above capitalization-weighted benchmarks. We explore the idea of applying a smart strat…

2018-08-07abs ↗pdf ↗