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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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2855718561,141 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Bernoulli prediction sets

A new framework predicts links in time-dependent networks using Bernoulli autoregression.

problem Predicting links in time-dependent networks with additional auxiliary information.
method A Bernoulli autoregressive model with regularization for link discovery.
result The model can discover new links not present in the data.

Paper discusses optimal CP for second-order predictions.

problem How to incorporate second-order predictions into conformal prediction.
method Introduces Bernoulli prediction sets (BPS) for second-order predictions and applies conformal risk control for compromised validity.
result BPS provides the smallest prediction sets with conditional coverage.

BeMF improves recommendation reliability in recommender systems.

problem Improving reliability in recommender systems beyond accuracy.
method Bernoulli Matrix Factorization (BeMF) for model-based collaborative filtering.
result BeMF selects more reliable predictions, improving recommendation quality.

Study analyzes symmetric two-armed Bernoulli bandit problem with zero mean gap.

problem Analyzing symmetric two-armed Bernoulli bandit problem with zero mean gap.
method Associated with a solution of a linear heat equation, compute leading order terms of minmax optimal regret and pseudoregret.
result Explicitly compute leading order terms in three scaling regimes for the gap.

Physics-informed model predicts beam stiffness and monitors structural health.

problem Predicting and monitoring the stiffness of Euler-Bernoulli beams.
method Physics-informed Gaussian process model using the Euler-Bernoulli beam equation.
result Model accurately predicts bending stiffness and detects structural damage.

Adaptive learning method identifies and corrects corrupted data.

problem Robust learning from corrupted training sets.
method Identifies corrupted and non-corrupted samples with latent Bernoulli variables, formulates as likelihood maximization with marginalized latent variables, solved via variational inference and Expectation-Maximization.
result Improves over state-of-the-art by automatically inferring corruption level with minimal overhead.

New acquisition functions improve Bernoulli LSE.

problem Efficiently estimating regions where a Bernoulli function is above or below a threshold.
method Developed new look-ahead acquisition functions for Gaussian process classification models.
result Demonstrated clear benefits of new acquisition functions on benchmark and real-world tasks.

Paper proposes an efficient algorithm for nonnegative binary matrix factorization.

problem Decomposing binary data using matrix factorization.
method Majorization-minimization algorithm with Beta prior for improved performance.
result Proposed algorithm offers excellent trade-off between performance, complexity, and interpretability.

Paper compares credit portfolio risks using robust Bernoulli mixture models.

problem Tackles risk bounds and comparison of credit portfolio losses.
method Uses Bernoulli mixture models with conditional independence and stochastic increasing defaults.
result Provides conditions for comparing conditional default probabilities and portfolio losses.

Characterizes symmetric Bernoulli distributions with minimal convex sums.

problem Understanding minimal dependence among Bernoulli random vectors.
method Geometric and algebraic representations of multivariate symmetric Bernoulli distributions.
result Characterizes extremal negative dependence and builds minimal dependence copulas.

Rule-based classifiers quantify uncertainty using Bernoulli random variables.

problem Quantifying the uncertainty of precision estimates for rule-based text classifiers.
method Treat partitions of sub-strings as Bernoulli random variables, compare means using statistical tests, and combine classifiers using Dempster-Shafer theory.
result The approach can be used to combine binary classifiers into a multi-label classifier.

Study phase transitions in identifying infected individuals using group testing.

problem Identifying a set of k infected individuals from a population using pooled tests.
method Two random assignment designs (constant-column and Bernoulli) and polynomial-time inference procedures.
result Sharp phase transitions in statistical and computational limits for detection and recovery problems.

Exact simulation of correlated binary outcomes using PMF constraints and linear programming.

problem Simulating dependent Bernoulli outcomes with specific means and correlations.
method Formulate the problem over the joint Bernoulli PMF, impose constraints, and solve as a linear program. Use convex-hull characterization and truncated-moment completion scheme for feasibility and simulation.
result Exact simulation framework for correlated binary outcomes, providing a convex-hull characterization and truncated-moment completion scheme.

In this paper, we consider the multivariate Bernoulli distribution as a model to estimate the structure of graphs with binary nodes. This distribution is discussed in the framework of the exponential family, and its statistical properties regarding independence of the nodes are demonstrated. Importantly the model can e…

2012-06-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Finite index solutions to Bernoulli problem are always axially symmetric.

problem Entire solutions to the Bernoulli free boundary problem with finite Morse index in 3D.
method Proof of axial symmetry for finite index solutions.
result Finite index solutions to the Bernoulli problem in 3D are axially symmetric.

Improves interpretability of anomaly scores in GBRBM-based detection.

problem Difficulty in setting a proper threshold for anomaly scores.
method Proposes a measure based on cumulative distribution and uses simulated annealing for evaluation.
result Established a guideline for setting the threshold using the interpretable measure.

The paper extends consistency results for sequential design strategies to vector-valued Gaussian processes.

problem Estimating excursion sets of vector-valued Gaussian processes.
method Clarifying the connection between continuous Gaussian processes and Gaussian measures in Banach spaces, extending concepts and properties from scalar-valued settings to vector-valued settings.
result Consistency results for sequential design strategies can be applied to vector-valued Gaussian processes.

Improved regret bounds for DP-KLUCB and DP-IMED in Bernoulli bandits.

problem Minimizing regret in stochastic bandits under ε-global Differential Privacy.
method Developed DP versions of KLUCB and IMED, proving tighter lower bounds and matching upper bounds.
result DP-KLUCB and DP-IMED achieve asymptotically optimal regret under ε-global DP.

Plots show miscalibration directly as slopes of secant lines.

problem Detecting discrepancies between probabilistic predictions and actual outcomes.
method Cumulative differences between observed and expected values displayed as slopes of secant lines.
result Directly shows miscalibration without binning or kernel density estimation.

A very simple event frequency approximation algorithm that is sensitive to event timeliness is suggested. The algorithm iteratively updates categorical click-distribution, producing (path of) a random walk on a standard nn-dimensional simplex. Under certain conditions, this random walk is self-similar and corresponds …

2019-05-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian autoencoders improve OOD detection by addressing Bernoulli likelihood issues.

problem Out-of-distribution (OOD) detection fails with Bernoulli likelihood for certain datasets.
method Proposes Bayesian autoencoders and alternative likelihood models to fix the issue.
result Bayesian autoencoders and alternative likelihood models improve OOD detection accuracy.

This paper proposed a new regression model called l1l_1-regularized outlier isolation and regression (LOIRE) and a fast algorithm based on block coordinate descent to solve this model. Besides, assuming outliers are gross errors following a Bernoulli process, this paper also presented a Bernoulli estimate model which, …

2014-06-01abs ↗pdf ↗

We solve Euler equations on graph manifolds, classifying steady flows with Morse-Bott Bernoulli functions.

problem Classifying steady Euler flows with Morse-Bott Bernoulli functions.
method Constructing non-vanishing steady solutions using integrable systems and topology.
result Steady Euler flows with Morse-Bott Bernoulli functions exist only on graph three-manifolds.

The paper cleans label noise in supervised classification using Bernoulli sampling.

problem Label noise degrades supervised classifier performance.
method Proposes a label noise cleaning method based on Bernoulli random sampling.
result The method separates clean and noisy observations without prior label information.

This paper tackles open problem of tight bounds for KBs with Bernoulli rewards.

problem Open problem of tight bounds for Kernelized Bandits with Bernoulli rewards.
method Focus on Bernoulli model, not subgaussian noise, and optimize function in RKHS.
result Open problem remains unsolved in this context.

Tichler proved that a manifold admitting a smooth closed one-form fibers over a circle. More generally a manifold admitting kk independent closed one-forms fibers over a torus TkT^k. In this article we explain a version of this construction for manifolds with boundary using the techniques of bb-calculus. We explore n…

2019-01-31abs ↗pdf ↗

A Bernoulli Mixture Model (BMM) is a finite mixture of random binary vectors with independent dimensions. The problem of clustering BMM data arises in a variety of real-world applications, ranging from population genetics to activity analysis in social networks. In this paper, we analyze the clusterability of BMMs from…

2017-10-05abs ↗pdf ↗

This research simplifies computation of feature attribution methods under certain conditions.

problem Computational complexity of feature attribution methods, especially power indices.
method Identifying conditions for polynomial computation and introducing new indices.
result Conditions for efficient computation of feature attribution methods are identified.

This paper addresses the mapping problem. Using a conjugate prior form, we derive the exact theoretical batch multi-object posterior density of the map given a set of measurements. The landmarks in the map are modeled as extended objects, and the measurements are described as a Poisson process, conditioned on the map. …

2018-11-07abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method for efficient nonlinear process monitoring using random Bernoulli features.

problem High computational demands and real-time responsiveness in online monitoring systems.
method Random Bernoulli principal component analysis to capture nonlinear patterns efficiently.
result The proposed methods offer excellent scalability and reduced computational complexity.

Study finds a measure for sponge components of Lalley-Gatzouras type.

problem Understanding the distribution of δ-connected components in self-affine sponges.
method Generalized existing results to self-affine sponges of Lalley-Gatzouras type, proving a measure relationship.
result Existence of a Bernoulli measure for cylinder components with a specific asymptotic relation.

A new method uses Mean Field Games to optimize mixture models of Bernoulli and categorical distributions.

problem Optimizing parameters of finite mixture models of Bernoulli and categorical distributions.
method Mean Field Games theory applied to multi-population systems.
result The Mean Field Games approach provides a method to compute mixture model parameters.

A novel method for estimating Bayesian network (BN) parameters from data is presented which provides improved performance on test data. Previous research has shown the value of representing conditional probability distributions (CPDs) via neural networks(Neal 1992), noisy-OR gates (Neal 1992, Diez 1993)and decision tre…

2013-01-10abs ↗pdf ↗

First order invariants of generic immersions of manifolds of dimension nm-1 into manifolds of dimension n(m+1)-1, m,n>1 are constructed using the geometry of self-intersections. The range of one of these invariants is related to Bernoulli numbers. As by-products some geometrically defined invariants of regular homotopy…

1999-04-08abs ↗pdf ↗