A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Bayesian nonparametrics adapt model complexity to diverse datasets.
Bayesian nonparametric models improve OOD detection, especially with complex covariance structures.
Bayesian neural networks with nonparametric noise models for system identification.
The study assesses sensitivity to prior choices in Bayesian nonparametric models.
Bayesian methods improve tracking multiple objects through dynamic dependencies.
Metalearned neural circuit performs inference over open classes.
This paper reviews recent advances in Bayesian nonparametric techniques for constructing and performing inference in infinite hidden Markov models. We focus on variants of Bayesian nonparametric hidden Markov models that enhance a posteriori state-persistence in particular. This paper also introduces a new Bayesian non…
We present a max-margin nonparametric latent feature model, which unites the ideas of max-margin learning and Bayesian nonparametrics to discover discriminative latent features for link prediction and automatically infer the unknown latent social dimension. By minimizing a hinge-loss using the linear expectation operat…
Link prediction is a fundamental task in statistical network analysis. Recent advances have been made on learning flexible nonparametric Bayesian latent feature models for link prediction. In this paper, we present a max-margin learning method for such nonparametric latent feature relational models. Our approach attemp…
Inference in popular nonparametric Bayesian models typically relies on sampling or other approximations. This paper presents a general methodology for constructing novel tractable nonparametric Bayesian methods by applying the kernel trick to inference in a parametric Bayesian model. For example, Gaussian process regre…
Bayesian nonparametric machine learning improves instrumental variable inference.
Bayesian nonparametric models get better posterior estimates via SPDE methods.
Bayesian approach learns nonparametric mixture components from heterogeneous data.
New method tackles model uncertainty in stochastic control using Bayesian nonparametrics.
This article introduces a Bayesian nonparametric method for quantifying the relative evidence in a dataset in favour of the dependence or independence of two variables conditional on a third. The approach uses Polya tree priors on spaces of conditional probability densities, accounting for uncertainty in the form of th…
The Dirichlet process and its extension, the Pitman-Yor process, are stochastic processes that take probability distributions as a parameter. These processes can be stacked up to form a hierarchical nonparametric Bayesian model. In this article, we present efficient methods for the use of these processes in this hierar…
Bayesian methods improve causal effect estimation, offering shrinkage and sensitivity analysis.
A key problem in statistical modeling is model selection, how to choose a model at an appropriate level of complexity. This problem appears in many settings, most prominently in choosing the number ofclusters in mixture models or the number of factors in factor analysis. In this tutorial we describe Bayesian nonparamet…
Semiparametric Bayesian networks combine parametric and nonparametric models for flexible data analysis.
New method for density estimation without approximating posterior distributions.
We characterize conjugate nonparametric Bayesian models as projective limits of conjugate, finite-dimensional Bayesian models. In particular, we identify a large class of nonparametric models representable as infinite-dimensional analogues of exponential family distributions and their canonical conjugate priors. This c…
Current variational inference methods for hierarchical Bayesian nonparametric models can neither characterize the correlation structure among latent variables due to the mean-field setting, nor infer the true posterior dimension because of the universal truncation. To overcome these limitations, we propose the conditio…
Bayesian nonparametric models improve tracking in cluttered environments.
Paper introduces a Bayesian nonparametric approach for tracking multiple objects with spawning events.
New method improves Bayesian inference for parametric models, robust to misspecification.
Bayesian nonparametric method partitions shapes using curves.
The paper introduces a method for learning nonparametric Volterra kernels using Gaussian processes.
Bayesian nonparametrics enables dynamic skill discovery from expert data.
Bayesian analysis shows unlabeled data improve graph-based semi-supervised learning.
Using nonparametric methods has been increasingly explored in Bayesian hierarchical modeling as a way to increase model flexibility. Although the field shows a lot of promise, inference in many models, including Hierachical Dirichlet Processes (HDP), remain prohibitively slow. One promising path forward is to exploit t…
Bayesian learning is built on an assumption that the model space contains a true reflection of the data generating mechanism. This assumption is problematic, particularly in complex data environments. Here we present a Bayesian nonparametric approach to learning that makes use of statistical models, but does not assume…
Kernel Bayesian inference is a principled approach to nonparametric inference in probabilistic graphical models, where probabilistic relationships between variables are learned from data in a nonparametric manner. Various algorithms of kernel Bayesian inference have been developed by combining kernelized basic probabil…
Unified framework for DRO and DTA using Bayesian nonparametrics.
The parsimonious Gaussian mixture models, which exploit an eigenvalue decomposition of the group covariance matrices of the Gaussian mixture, have shown their success in particular in cluster analysis. Their estimation is in general performed by maximum likelihood estimation and has also been considered from a parametr…
Novel mutual information bound improves statistical inference rates.
This paper introduces the Indian Chefs Process (ICP), a Bayesian nonparametric prior on the joint space of infinite directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) and orders that generalizes Indian Buffet Processes. As our construction shows, the proposed distribution relies on a latent Beta Process controlling both the orders and out…
Bayesian methods estimate regression functions on submanifolds using graph Laplacian eigenbasis.
An implementation of a nonparametric Bayesian approach to solving binary classification problems on graphs is described. A hierarchical Bayesian approach with a randomly scaled Gaussian prior is considered. The prior uses the graph Laplacian to take into account the underlying geometry of the graph. A method based on a…
This article describes an implementation of a nonparametric Bayesian approach to solving binary classification problems on graphs. We consider a hierarchical Bayesian approach with a prior that is constructed by truncating a series expansion of the soft label function using the graph Laplacian eigenfunctions as basis f…
Rodent hippocampal population codes represent important spatial information about the environment during navigation. Several computational methods have been developed to uncover the neural representation of spatial topology embedded in rodent hippocampal ensemble spike activity. Here we extend our previous work and pro…
Deep model learns complex latent codes without assuming factor structure.
Proposes a semi-Bayesian nonparametric estimator for MMD in GOF tests and GANs.
Given discrete time observations over a fixed time interval, we study a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation of the volatility coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. We postulate a histogram-type prior on the volatility with piecewise constant realisations on bins forming a partition of the time in…
Bayesian nonparametric CMS improves frequency estimation for power-law data.
Datasets containing large samples of time-to-event data arising from several small heterogeneous groups are commonly encountered in statistics. This presents problems as they cannot be pooled directly due to their heterogeneity or analyzed individually because of their small sample size. Bayesian nonparametric modellin…
A Bayesian nonparametric approach for continual learning using neural networks.
Unsupervised image segmentation aims at clustering the set of pixels of an image into spatially homogeneous regions. We introduce here a class of Bayesian nonparametric models to address this problem. These models are based on a combination of a Potts-like spatial smoothness component and a prior on partitions which is…
Increasingly complex datasets pose a number of challenges for Bayesian inference. Conventional posterior sampling based on Markov chain Monte Carlo can be too computationally intensive, is serial in nature and mixes poorly between posterior modes. Further, all models are misspecified, which brings into question the val…