A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Bayesian NMF model improves predictions and avoids overfitting.
We introduce Bayesian multi-tensor factorization, a model that is the first Bayesian formulation for joint factorization of multiple matrices and tensors. The research problem generalizes the joint matrix-tensor factorization problem to arbitrary sets of tensors of any depth, including matrices, can be interpreted as u…
Bayesian model infers factor dimensionality and sparse loading matrix adaptively.
This project compares MCMC and VI for Bayesian PMF on MovieLens.
VarFA efficiently estimates student skill levels with uncertainty for adaptive testing.
New Bayesian method for sparse multidimensional item response theory.
Deep model learns complex latent codes without assuming factor structure.
We present a Bayesian tensor factorization model for inferring latent group structures from dynamic pairwise interaction patterns. For decades, political scientists have collected and analyzed records of the form "country took action toward country at time "---known as dyadic events---in order to form an…
Probabilistic approaches for tensor factorization aim to extract meaningful structure from incomplete data by postulating low rank constraints. Recently, variational Bayesian (VB) inference techniques have successfully been applied to large scale models. This paper presents full Bayesian inference via VB on both single…
A Bayesian nonparametric approach for continual learning using neural networks.
Bayesian inference improves neural network pruning efficiency.
Paper proposes a method to break symmetries in Bayesian matrix factorization.
New method for hyperparameter tuning in sparse matrix factorization.
The paper extends and applies a new shrinkage prior in Bayesian factor analysis.
Non-negative Matrix Factorization (NMF) is a popular tool for data exploration. Bayesian NMF promises to also characterize uncertainty in the factorization. Unfortunately, current inference approaches such as MCMC mix slowly and tend to get stuck on single modes. We introduce a novel approach using rapidly-exploring ra…
We propose a family of novel hierarchical Bayesian deep auto-encoder models capable of identifying disentangled factors of variability in data. While many recent attempts at factor disentanglement have focused on sophisticated learning objectives within the VAE framework, their choice of a standard normal as the latent…
A Bayesian Boolean Matrix Factorization for cancer genomics
DF2M uses deep neural networks within a factor model for high-dimensional functional time series forecasting.
Bayesian Non-negative Matrix Factorization (NMF) is a promising approach for understanding uncertainty and structure in matrix data. However, a large volume of applied work optimizes traditional non-Bayesian NMF objectives that fail to provide a principled understanding of the non-identifiability inherent in NMF-- an i…
Automates model comparison in probabilistic programming.
We introduce a factor analysis model that summarizes the dependencies between observed variable groups, instead of dependencies between individual variables as standard factor analysis does. A group may correspond to one view of the same set of objects, one of many data sets tied by co-occurrence, or a set of alternati…
Bayesian hypergraph inference models disease pathways from EHR data.
Non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) is a new knowledge discovery method that is used for text mining, signal processing, bioinformatics, and consumer analysis. However, its basic property as a learning machine is not yet clarified, as it is not a regular statistical model, resulting that theoretical optimization me…
Bayesian nonparametric models for data with heterogeneous particles.
Unified model combines shrinkage, views, and factor models for better portfolio selection.
The aim of this paper is to provide some theoretical understanding of quasi-Bayesian aggregation methods non-negative matrix factorization. We derive an oracle inequality for an aggregated estimator. This result holds for a very general class of prior distributions and shows how the prior affects the rate of convergenc…
This work explores non-negative low-rank matrix factorization based on regularized Poisson models (PF or "Poisson factorization" for short) for recommender systems with implicit-feedback data. The properties of Poisson likelihood allow a shortcut for very fast computations over zero-valued inputs, and oftentimes result…
Latent factor models are the canonical statistical tool for exploratory analyses of low-dimensional linear structure for an observation matrix with p features across n samples. We develop a structured Bayesian group factor analysis model that extends the factor model to multiple coupled observation matrices; in the cas…
A new framework for private Bayesian tests maintains interpretability and computational efficiency.
BKTF uses tensor factorization for Bayesian optimization of complex functions.
A new criterion HBIC improves model selection for factor analysis with missing data.
EigenBayes: A fast, adaptive Bayesian shrinkage approach for high-dimensional matrix factorization
Unified Bayesian framework improves clinical trial hypothesis testing.
Bayesian method estimates contamination factor for unsupervised anomaly detection.
Identifying altered pathways that are associated with specific cancer types can potentially bring a significant impact on cancer patient treatment. Accurate identification of such key altered pathways information can be used to develop novel therapeutic agents as well as to understand the molecular mechanisms of variou…
Non-negative tensor factorization models enable predictive analysis on count data. Among them, Bayesian Poisson-Gamma models can derive full posterior distributions of latent factors and are less sensitive to sparse count data. However, current inference methods for these Bayesian models adopt restricted update rules f…
This paper addresses the issue of model selection for hidden Markov models (HMMs). We generalize factorized asymptotic Bayesian inference (FAB), which has been recently developed for model selection on independent hidden variables (i.e., mixture models), for time-dependent hidden variables. As with FAB in mixture model…
A key problem in statistical modeling is model selection, how to choose a model at an appropriate level of complexity. This problem appears in many settings, most prominently in choosing the number ofclusters in mixture models or the number of factors in factor analysis. In this tutorial we describe Bayesian nonparamet…
Item response theory (IRT) is a non-linear generative probabilistic paradigm for using exams to identify, quantify, and compare latent traits of individuals, relative to their peers, within a population of interest. In pre-existing multidimensional IRT methods, one requires a factorization of the test items. For this t…
We propose a nonparametric Bayesian factor regression model that accounts for uncertainty in the number of factors, and the relationship between factors. To accomplish this, we propose a sparse variant of the Indian Buffet Process and couple this with a hierarchical model over factors, based on Kingman's coalescent. We…
Develops a method for stress testing correlations of financial portfolios.
A study finds that only a few factors explain corporate bond risk, rendering extensive bond factor literature redundant.
Streaming tensor factorization is a powerful tool for processing high-volume and multi-way temporal data in Internet networks, recommender systems and image/video data analysis. Existing streaming tensor factorization algorithms rely on least-squares data fitting and they do not possess a mechanism for tensor rank dete…
Method estimates shared and study-specific factors for multi-study data.
Bayesian method tests Granger causality in functional time series.
CANDECOMP/PARAFAC (CP) tensor factorization of incomplete data is a powerful technique for tensor completion through explicitly capturing the multilinear latent factors. The existing CP algorithms require the tensor rank to be manually specified, however, the determination of tensor rank remains a challenging problem e…
Evidence Networks simplify Bayesian model comparison for complex models.
Relational learning can be used to augment one data source with other correlated sources of information, to improve predictive accuracy. We frame a large class of relational learning problems as matrix factorization problems, and propose a hierarchical Bayesian model. Training our Bayesian model using random-walk Metro…