Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

3817611,1421,522 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Bayesian factor models

Bayesian model infers factor dimensionality and sparse loading matrix adaptively.

problem Inference of high-dimensional sparse factor model with varying sparsity and factor dimensions.
method Adaptive Bayesian sparse factor model with posterior concentration.
result Posterior distribution asymptotically concentrates on true factor dimensionality and sparsity.

We introduce Bayesian multi-tensor factorization, a model that is the first Bayesian formulation for joint factorization of multiple matrices and tensors. The research problem generalizes the joint matrix-tensor factorization problem to arbitrary sets of tensors of any depth, including matrices, can be interpreted as u…

2014-12-15abs ↗pdf ↗

VarFA efficiently estimates student skill levels with uncertainty for adaptive testing.

problem Efficiently estimating student skill levels with uncertainty for adaptive testing.
method VarFA uses variational inference to extend factor analysis models for educational data.
result VarFA efficiently handles large datasets and produces uncertainty estimates.

DF2M uses deep neural networks within a factor model for high-dimensional functional time series forecasting.

problem Forecasting high-dimensional functional time series with explainability and accuracy.
method Bayesian nonparametric model based on Indian Buffet Process and multi-task Gaussian Process, incorporating a deep kernel function.
result DF2M provides better explainability and superior predictive accuracy compared to conventional deep learning models.

Enhances FA framework for heterogeneous data with feature selection and semi-supervised learning.

problem Feature extraction and latent representation of heterogeneous data.
method Sparse Semi-supervised Heterogeneous Interbattery Bayesian Analysis (SSHIBA) framework.
result SSHIBA outperforms state-of-the-art algorithms and shows interpretability gains.

A Bayesian nonparametric approach for continual learning using neural networks.

problem Catastrophic forgetting in neural networks during sequential task settings.
method Indian Buffet Process (IBP) prior for dynamic model expansion and factorization of weight matrices.
result The method promotes positive knowledge transfer between tasks and allows for dynamic model complexity.

We propose a new IRT model that directly factors test items without factor analysis.

problem Existing multidimensional IRT methods require factorization, which is posthoc and linear.
method We use a sparsity-promoting horseshoe prior to factorize items directly within the IRT model.
result Our model performs factorization directly and consistently selects the correct number of factors.

Unified model combines shrinkage, views, and factor models for better portfolio selection.

problem Limitations of mean-variance analysis, estimation errors, and reliance on historical data.
method Bayesian approach integrating shrinkage estimation and Black-Litterman model with Fama-French factor models.
result The model outperforms simple and sample-based optimal portfolios in US equity market.

We introduce a factor analysis model that summarizes the dependencies between observed variable groups, instead of dependencies between individual variables as standard factor analysis does. A group may correspond to one view of the same set of objects, one of many data sets tied by co-occurrence, or a set of alternati…

2011-10-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Latent factor models are the canonical statistical tool for exploratory analyses of low-dimensional linear structure for an observation matrix with p features across n samples. We develop a structured Bayesian group factor analysis model that extends the factor model to multiple coupled observation matrices; in the cas…

2014-11-11abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper addresses the issue of model selection for hidden Markov models (HMMs). We generalize factorized asymptotic Bayesian inference (FAB), which has been recently developed for model selection on independent hidden variables (i.e., mixture models), for time-dependent hidden variables. As with FAB in mixture model…

2012-06-18abs ↗pdf ↗

A key problem in statistical modeling is model selection, how to choose a model at an appropriate level of complexity. This problem appears in many settings, most prominently in choosing the number ofclusters in mixture models or the number of factors in factor analysis. In this tutorial we describe Bayesian nonparamet…

2011-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a nonparametric Bayesian factor regression model that accounts for uncertainty in the number of factors, and the relationship between factors. To accomplish this, we propose a sparse variant of the Indian Buffet Process and couple this with a hierarchical model over factors, based on Kingman's coalescent. We…

2009-08-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Evidence Networks simplify Bayesian model comparison for complex models.

problem Bayesian model comparison challenges with intractable likelihoods or priors.
method Loss functions and neural networks for fast, amortized estimation of Bayes factors.
result Evidence Networks provide accurate and scalable Bayes factor estimation.

A study finds that only a few factors explain corporate bond risk, rendering extensive bond factor literature redundant.

problem The redundancy of extensive bond factor literature in explaining corporate bond risk premia.
method Bayesian Model Averaging Stochastic Discount Factor analysis of 18 quadrillion models.
result A Bayesian Model Averaging SDF explains risk premia better than low-dimensional models, with an out-of-sample Sharpe ratio of 1.5 to 1.8.

Relational learning can be used to augment one data source with other correlated sources of information, to improve predictive accuracy. We frame a large class of relational learning problems as matrix factorization problems, and propose a hierarchical Bayesian model. Training our Bayesian model using random-walk Metro…

2012-03-15abs ↗pdf ↗

This project compares MCMC and VI for Bayesian PMF on MovieLens.

problem Intractable posterior distribution in PMF.
method Employed MCMC and VI for Bayesian inference on MovieLens.
result VI converges faster, MCMC provides more accurate estimates.

A new criterion HBIC improves model selection for factor analysis with missing data.

problem Model selection for factor analysis with incomplete data.
method Proposes a novel criterion HBIC that uses actual observed information in the penalty term.
result HBIC is more accurate than BIC when missing data rates are high.

The paper extends and applies a new shrinkage prior in Bayesian factor analysis.

problem Estimating the number of factors in sparse Bayesian factor analysis.
method Introduces and extends a generalized cumulative shrinkage process (CUSP) prior.
result Exchangeable spike-and-slab shrinkage priors imply increasing shrinkage as the column index increases.

BKTF uses tensor factorization for Bayesian optimization of complex functions.

problem Complex functions with nonstationary, nonseparable, and multimodal features.
method Bayesian Kernelized Tensor Factorization (BKTF) approximates complex functions using a low-rank tensor CP decomposition with GP priors.
result BKTF provides flexible and effective surrogate modeling with uncertainty quantification.

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric method for low-pass filtering that can naturally handle unevenly-sampled and noise-corrupted observations. The proposed model is constructed as a latent-factor model for time series, where the latent factors are Gaussian processes with non-overlapping spectra. With this construction,…

2019-02-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Compact parameterization improves Bayesian neural network performance.

problem Improving performance of Bayesian neural networks using variational methods.
method Restricting variational distribution to a k-tied Normal distribution with low-rank factorization.
result Compact parameterization improves signal-to-noise ratio and convergence speed.

New method improves Bayesian inference for parametric models, robust to misspecification.

problem Inference can be untrustworthy when parametric models are wrong.
method Adaptive nonparametric corrections for parametric Bayesian models using generalized Bayes.
result The method achieves robustness and efficiency, converging fast when the parametric model is close to true.