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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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178356533711 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Bayesian factor analysis

VarFA efficiently estimates student skill levels with uncertainty for adaptive testing.

problem Efficiently estimating student skill levels with uncertainty for adaptive testing.
method VarFA uses variational inference to extend factor analysis models for educational data.
result VarFA efficiently handles large datasets and produces uncertainty estimates.

We introduce a factor analysis model that summarizes the dependencies between observed variable groups, instead of dependencies between individual variables as standard factor analysis does. A group may correspond to one view of the same set of objects, one of many data sets tied by co-occurrence, or a set of alternati…

2011-10-14abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper extends and applies a new shrinkage prior in Bayesian factor analysis.

problem Estimating the number of factors in sparse Bayesian factor analysis.
method Introduces and extends a generalized cumulative shrinkage process (CUSP) prior.
result Exchangeable spike-and-slab shrinkage priors imply increasing shrinkage as the column index increases.

A new criterion HBIC improves model selection for factor analysis with missing data.

problem Model selection for factor analysis with incomplete data.
method Proposes a novel criterion HBIC that uses actual observed information in the penalty term.
result HBIC is more accurate than BIC when missing data rates are high.

We propose a nonparametric Bayesian factor regression model that accounts for uncertainty in the number of factors, and the relationship between factors. To accomplish this, we propose a sparse variant of the Indian Buffet Process and couple this with a hierarchical model over factors, based on Kingman's coalescent. We…

2009-08-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Latent factor models are the canonical statistical tool for exploratory analyses of low-dimensional linear structure for an observation matrix with p features across n samples. We develop a structured Bayesian group factor analysis model that extends the factor model to multiple coupled observation matrices; in the cas…

2014-11-11abs ↗pdf ↗

The Bayesian approach to feature extraction, known as factor analysis (FA), has been widely studied in machine learning to obtain a latent representation of the data. An adequate selection of the probabilities and priors of these bayesian models allows the model to better adapt to the data nature (i.e. heterogeneity, s…

2020-01-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified model combines shrinkage, views, and factor models for better portfolio selection.

problem Limitations of mean-variance analysis, estimation errors, and reliance on historical data.
method Bayesian approach integrating shrinkage estimation and Black-Litterman model with Fama-French factor models.
result The model outperforms simple and sample-based optimal portfolios in US equity market.

New method for hyperparameter tuning in sparse matrix factorization.

problem Hyperparameter tuning in sparse matrix factorization.
method Numerical method based on evaluating the zero point of normalization factor in sparse matrix prior.
result Our method outperforms existing algorithms in ground-truth sparse matrix reconstruction.

A gamma process dynamic Poisson factor analysis model is proposed to factorize a dynamic count matrix, whose columns are sequentially observed count vectors. The model builds a novel Markov chain that sends the latent gamma random variables at time (t1)(t-1) as the shape parameters of those at time tt, which are linked …

2015-12-30abs ↗pdf ↗

A key problem in statistical modeling is model selection, how to choose a model at an appropriate level of complexity. This problem appears in many settings, most prominently in choosing the number ofclusters in mixture models or the number of factors in factor analysis. In this tutorial we describe Bayesian nonparamet…

2011-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a method to break symmetries in Bayesian matrix factorization.

problem Symmetries in posterior distribution reduce MCMC sampling efficiency.
method Modification to Gaussian prior mean and covariance to break symmetries.
result Breaking symmetries leads to lower autocorrelation and reconstruction errors.

DF2M uses deep neural networks within a factor model for high-dimensional functional time series forecasting.

problem Forecasting high-dimensional functional time series with explainability and accuracy.
method Bayesian nonparametric model based on Indian Buffet Process and multi-task Gaussian Process, incorporating a deep kernel function.
result DF2M provides better explainability and superior predictive accuracy compared to conventional deep learning models.

Method estimates shared and study-specific factors for multi-study data.

problem Covariance estimation for multi-study data with shared and study-specific components.
method Spectral decomposition for latent factors, surrogate Bayesian regressions for loadings and variances.
result Strong frequentist guarantees and superior performance in simulations and real data.

FACTM combines FA with correlated topic modeling for structured data integration.

problem Integrating structured data modalities like text and single cell sequencing.
method Bayesian FACTM model combining FA and correlated topic modeling with variational inference.
result FACTM outperforms other methods in identifying clusters in structured data and integrating them with simple modalities.

In (exploratory) factor analysis, the loading matrix is identified only up to orthogonal rotation. For identifiability, one thus often takes the loading matrix to be lower triangular with positive diagonal entries. In Bayesian inference, a standard practice is then to specify a prior under which the loadings are indepe…

2014-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

A beta-negative binomial (BNB) process is proposed, leading to a beta-gamma-Poisson process, which may be viewed as a "multi-scoop" generalization of the beta-Bernoulli process. The BNB process is augmented into a beta-gamma-gamma-Poisson hierarchical structure, and applied as a nonparametric Bayesian prior for an infi…

2011-12-15abs ↗pdf ↗

A study finds that only a few factors explain corporate bond risk, rendering extensive bond factor literature redundant.

problem The redundancy of extensive bond factor literature in explaining corporate bond risk premia.
method Bayesian Model Averaging Stochastic Discount Factor analysis of 18 quadrillion models.
result A Bayesian Model Averaging SDF explains risk premia better than low-dimensional models, with an out-of-sample Sharpe ratio of 1.5 to 1.8.

Bayesian analysis shows unlabeled data improve graph-based semi-supervised learning.

problem Improving semi-supervised learning with limited labeled data.
method Bayesian nonparametric approach using unlabeled data for graph-based learning.
result Posterior contracts optimally around the truth with sufficient unlabeled data.

Unified Bayesian framework improves clinical trial hypothesis testing.

problem Lack of transparency and inability to quantify evidence in traditional P-values.
method Interval null hypothesis framework combined with Bayes factor-based tests.
result Bayesian interval hypothesis testing ensures frequentist error control and interpretability.

A multi-way factor analysis model is introduced for tensor-variate data of any order. Each data item is represented as a (sparse) sum of Kruskal decompositions, a Kruskal-factor analysis (KFA). KFA is nonparametric and can infer both the tensor-rank of each dictionary atom and the number of dictionary atoms. The model …

2016-12-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian Tensor Ring factorization improved for scalability and handling of discrete data.

problem Scalability issues and handling of discrete data in Bayesian Tensor Ring factorization.
method Proposes a novel Bayesian Tensor Ring model with a nonparametric Multiplicative Gamma Process prior and Pólya-Gamma augmentation for discrete data. Developed efficient Gibbs sampler and online EM algorithm for scalability.
result Significantly improved scalability and handling of discrete data compared to previous methods.

Novel framework analyzes economic shifts in data-poor economies.

problem Data scarcity and unreliability in LMICs hinder accurate assessment of structural transformation.
method Bayesian hierarchical modeling, machine learning, data imputation, factor analysis.
result Framework predicts structural changes even with up to 60% missing data.

A new matrix factorization method for high-dimensional data.

problem Exploiting sparse structures in complex data for better interpretability.
method Bayesian shrinkage priors and flexible sparse patterns modeled through row and column dependencies.
result Demonstrated practical advantages through simulation and soccer heatmap analysis.

GFA model uncovers brain-behavior associations in incomplete data sets.

problem Incomplete data sets and lack of robust statistical inferences.
method Hierarchical Bayesian model that handles missing data and models modality-specific associations.
result GFA identified four relevant shared factors and predicted non-imaging measures from brain connectivity.

We propose a generative model of a group EEG analysis, based on appropriate kernel assumptions on EEG data. We derive the variational inference update rule using various approximation techniques. The proposed model outperforms the current state-of-the-art algorithms in terms of common pattern extraction. The validity o…

2012-12-18abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce Bayesian multi-tensor factorization, a model that is the first Bayesian formulation for joint factorization of multiple matrices and tensors. The research problem generalizes the joint matrix-tensor factorization problem to arbitrary sets of tensors of any depth, including matrices, can be interpreted as u…

2014-12-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian model infers factor dimensionality and sparse loading matrix adaptively.

problem Inference of high-dimensional sparse factor model with varying sparsity and factor dimensions.
method Adaptive Bayesian sparse factor model with posterior concentration.
result Posterior distribution asymptotically concentrates on true factor dimensionality and sparsity.