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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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3979118157 · Jun 202019922001200920182026
48 results for Bayesian disagreement

Proposes a new method to measure epistemic uncertainty in Bayesian neural networks.

problem Measuring epistemic uncertainty in Bayesian neural networks for out-of-distribution detection.
method Proposes measuring disagreement between logits and their pre-softmax counterparts as an epistemic uncertainty measure.
result Proposed epistemic uncertainty scores outperform mutual information and equal predictive entropy performance.

We provide two main contributions in PAC-Bayesian theory for domain adaptation where the objective is to learn, from a source distribution, a well-performing majority vote on a different, but related, target distribution. Firstly, we propose an improvement of the previous approach we proposed in Germain et al. (2013), …

2017-07-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian neural networks enhance uncertainty estimation in graph contrastive learning.

problem Uncertainty in graph contrastive learning when labeled data is scarce.
method Variational Bayesian neural networks for uncertainty estimation.
result Improved uncertainty estimation and downstream performance on semi-supervised node-classification tasks.

This paper characterizes and explains the disagreement between two graph embedding methods.

problem Understanding why two popular graph embedding methods produce different results.
method End-to-end analysis of ASE-LSE latent subspaces, proving conditions for agreement and disagreement.
result No maximal-disagreement graph exists; disagreement is strictly below its theoretical ceiling.

Financial economics provides intuition for the Rényi divergence.

problem Lack of practical intuition for statistical concepts like Rényi divergence.
method Using financial economics to transform disagreements into investment opportunities.
result The Rényi divergence's practical performance quantifies disagreement.

The study reveals a linear relationship between source and target domain classification errors based on disagreement.

problem Evaluating model performance under distribution shift with limited labeled data.
method Developed a theoretical foundation for analyzing disagreement in high-dimensional random features regression.
result The disagreement-on-the-line phenomenon occurs when classification error under the source domain is a linear function of the target domain.

We study the issue of PAC-Bayesian domain adaptation: We want to learn, from a source domain, a majority vote model dedicated to a target one. Our theoretical contribution brings a new perspective by deriving an upper-bound on the target risk where the distributions' divergence---expressed as a ratio---controls the tra…

2015-06-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Traditional multi-view learning approaches suffer in the presence of view disagreement,i.e., when samples in each view do not belong to the same class due to view corruption, occlusion or other noise processes. In this paper we present a multi-view learning approach that uses a conditional entropy criterion to detect v…

2012-06-13abs ↗pdf ↗

SCoreBO improves Bayesian optimization by learning hyperparameters and self-correcting.

problem Efficient hyperparameter tuning for Gaussian process models in Bayesian optimization.
method Introduces SAL and SCoreBO, which prioritize hyperparameter learning and perform simultaneous optimization and learning.
result SCoreBO outperforms state-of-the-art methods on traditional benchmarks and atypical tasks.

This study finds ESG rating disagreement reduces corporate productivity, especially in certain types of firms.

problem The impact of ESG rating disagreement on corporate productivity.
method Analysis of A-share listed companies data from 2015 to 2022 using XGBoost regression and SHAP.
result ESG rating disagreement reduces corporate productivity, especially in certain types of firms.

Bayesian active learning method improved for censored regression data.

problem Challenges in estimating BALD for censored regression data.
method Derived entropy and mutual information for censored distributions, developed C\mathcal{C}-BALD objective, proposed novel modelling approach.
result Demonstrated C\mathcal{C}-BALD outperforms other methods in censored regression.

Study investor sentiment and disagreement on StockTwits during COVID-19.

problem Understanding investor beliefs and sentiment during the pandemic.
method Analysis of social media data (StockTwits) for investor messages.
result Sentiment and disagreement sharply decreased in early March 2020, followed by a reversal.

Paper improves imitation learning from observations by minimizing inverse dynamics disagreement.

problem Challenges in Learning from Observations (LfO) due to incomplete expert guidance.
method IDDM method that minimizes the disagreement between inverse dynamics models of the imitator and expert.
result Empirical results show consistent improvements over other LfO methods.

Bayesian neural networks fail at OOD detection, revealing fundamental issues.

problem The ability of Bayesian neural networks to detect out-of-distribution data.
method Empirical study of Bayesian inference in neural networks, including infinite-width and finite-width cases using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo.
result Bayesian inference in common neural network architectures does not lead to good OOD detection.

Learning with noisy labels is one of the hottest problems in weakly-supervised learning. Based on memorization effects of deep neural networks, training on small-loss instances becomes very promising for handling noisy labels. This fosters the state-of-the-art approach "Co-teaching" that cross-trains two deep neural ne…

2019-01-14abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper improves active learning by using robust divergences for committee disagreement.

problem Active learning with high measurement costs.
method Query by committee with Bregman divergence (including Kullback-Leibler divergence as a special case).
result The proposed method is more robust and performs as well as or better than conventional methods.

New algorithm improves active learning in agnostic pool-based classification.

problem Efficient active learning in the agnostic setting with minimized sample complexity.
method Solves an experimental design problem to determine a distribution over examples for label requests.
result Achieves sample complexity bounds never worse than best disagreement coefficient-based bounds, sometimes significantly smaller.

Structured credal learning separates covariate shift and label disagreement.

problem Uncertainty in real-world learning tasks due to covariate shift and noisy labels.
method Introduces a structured credal learning framework that explicitly separates these sources.
result Geometric bounds and decomposition reveal how covariate shifts affect label disagreement contributions.

Our work investigates disagreement in neural network feature attribution methods.

problem Disagreement among feature attribution methods for neural networks.
method Investigates the fundamental and distributional behavior of feature attribution methods.
result Illustrates the impact of scaling and encoding techniques on explanation quality.

The paper analyzes how multiple classifiers' disagreement and polarization affect overall accuracy.

problem Improving accuracy through ensembling multiple classifiers.
method The paper derives an upper bound for polarization, proposes a neural polarization law, and presents a tight upper bound for the error of majority vote classifiers.
result Disagreement and polarization among classifiers are linearly correlated with the target, and polarization is nearly constant for a dataset.

The issue of disagreements amongst human experts is a ubiquitous one in both machine learning and medicine. In medicine, this often corresponds to doctor disagreements on a patient diagnosis. In this work, we show that machine learning models can be trained to give uncertainty scores to data instances that might result…

2018-07-04abs ↗pdf ↗

GRANITE unifies feature-based explanation methods to reduce disagreement.

problem Disagreement among feature-based explanation methods.
method GRANITE partitions feature space into regions minimizing interaction and distribution influences.
result Unified and consistent feature explanations.

Study compares and contrasts various ML explanation methods, highlighting their disagreements and similarities.

problem Understanding and quantifying the differences between various machine learning explanation methods.
method Synthesized and visualized various explanation methods for global and local aspects of ML models.
result There is substantial agreement on the top features but less on specific rankings, and tree interpreter is comparable to SHAP for feature effects.

EXAGREE selects a stakeholder-aligned model to reduce conflicting explanations in machine learning.

problem Conflicting explanations from different attribution methods limit the adoption of machine learning models in safety-critical domains.
method EXAGREE is a two-stage framework that selects a Stakeholder-Aligned Explanation Model (SAEM) from a set of similar-performing models, maximizing Stakeholder-Machine Agreement (SMA).
result EXAGREE achieves simultaneous gains in faithfulness, plausibility, and fairness over baselines while preserving task accuracy.

Paper tackles ESG rating disagreement in sustainable investing portfolios.

problem Lack of alignment between ESG ratings from different agencies affects investment decisions.
method Proposes a nonlinear optimization model reformulated as a convex quadratic program to address ESG rating disagreement.
result The proposed model can effectively manage ESG rating disagreement and improve investment decisions.

AutoDIME automates design of multi-agent environments for RL.

problem Designing multi-agent environments for reinforcement learning is challenging.
method Developed intrinsic teacher rewards for multi-agent settings and evaluated them in various tasks.
result Value disagreement was found to be most consistent and effective across tasks.

New method gives provable error bounds for neural nets under distribution shift.

problem Proving reliable error bounds for neural networks under distribution shift.
method Optimizing a classifier to disagree with another, using a new 'disagreement loss'.
result Valid error bounds with comparable accuracy to competitive methods.

REALITrees uses a Rashomon ensemble approach for active learning in sparse decision trees.

problem Active learning reduces labeling costs by selecting informative samples, but current methods often sacrifice model diversity and direct characterization of the hypothesis space.
method REALITrees constructs a committee of all near-optimal sparse decision tree models using a Rashomon Set and a Gibbs posterior to weight them by empirical risk.
result REALITrees outperforms randomized ensembles, especially in noisy environments, by leveraging expanded model multiplicity.

New method reduces version space for CNNs, improving active learning performance.

problem Sampling bias in active learning hinders optimal hypothesis finding in neural networks.
method Version space reduction through prior mass reduction and diameter reduction, proposing a new Gibbs-vote disagreement method.
result Diameter-based querying method reduces version space more effectively than prior mass reduction and other methods.

Bayesian neural networks fail at out-of-distribution detection, revealing fundamental issues.

problem Out-of-distribution detection with Bayesian neural networks.
method Study of Bayesian inference with function space priors and comparison to Gaussian processes.
result Bayesian inference with function space priors does not lead to good OOD detection.

Ensembling improves performance when classifiers disagree more than average.

problem When do ensembles provide significant performance improvements in classification tasks?
method Theoretical and empirical analysis of ensemble improvement rate and disagreement-error ratio.
result Ensembling improves performance significantly when the disagreement rate is large relative to the average error rate.

New method pools labels from similar data items to improve learning from small samples.

problem Learning from small, human-annotated samples with potential disagreement among annotators.
method Proposes neighborhood-based pooling for sharing labels across similar data items.
result Improves learning from small, noisy samples by pooling labels from similar items.