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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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3647291,0931,457 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Bayesian Mixture Model

The paper uses Gaussian mixture models for Bayesian networks and proposes an optimization algorithm.

problem Modeling nodes in Bayesian networks with complex distributions.
method Gaussian mixture models combined with double iteration algorithm.
result The double iteration algorithm optimizes Gaussian mixture models effectively.

The parsimonious Gaussian mixture models, which exploit an eigenvalue decomposition of the group covariance matrices of the Gaussian mixture, have shown their success in particular in cluster analysis. Their estimation is in general performed by maximum likelihood estimation and has also been considered from a parametr…

2015-01-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian approach learns nonparametric mixture components from heterogeneous data.

problem Realistic modeling of heterogeneous data populations with nonparametric mixture components.
method Bayesian nonparametric modeling using Dirichlet process mixture priors.
result Posterior contraction rates for component densities are nearly polynomial, improving over deconvolution methods.

Posterior regularization enhances Bayesian hierarchical mixture clustering by improving node separation.

problem High nodal variance in BHMC trees, leading to weak separation between nodes at higher levels.
method Employing Posterior Regularization to impose max-margin constraints on nodes at every level.
result Improves cluster separation in BHMC models, enhancing overall model performance.

Novel connections between Neyman-Scott processes and Bayesian nonparametric mixture models enable scalable inference.

problem Efficiently modeling and detecting clusters in spatiotemporal data.
method Adapting collapsed Gibbs sampling for Neyman-Scott processes via connections to mixture of finite mixture models.
result Demonstrated scalability and effectiveness on neural spike trains and document streams.

New method for summarizing Bayesian mixture models using sliced Wasserstein distances.

problem Estimating the mixing measure in nonparametric Bayesian mixture models.
method Decision-theoretic approach using sliced Wasserstein distances for Gaussian mixtures.
result Effective estimation of the mixing measure and mixture density.

A new sampler speeds up Bayesian mixture models.

problem Sampling from Bayesian finite mixture models is slow and hard.
method Introduces a non-reversible sampling scheme for Bayesian finite mixture models.
result The new sampler outperforms classical samplers in many scenarios, especially during convergence.

Bayesian models combine experts with a flexible gating mechanism for complex data.

problem Theoretical properties of Bayesian mixture-of-experts models with softmax gating remain unexplored.
method Investigated asymptotic behavior of posterior distribution for density estimation, parameter estimation, and model selection.
result Established posterior contraction rates for density estimation and parameter estimation, providing insights for practical model design.

In binary-transaction data-mining, traditional frequent itemset mining often produces results which are not straightforward to interpret. To overcome this problem, probability models are often used to produce more compact and conclusive results, albeit with some loss of accuracy. Bayesian statistics have been widely us…

2012-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a VB method for TS-SBP mixture models with reduced computational cost.

problem Efficiently learning tree-structured stick-breaking process mixture models.
method Utilizes Bayes coding algorithm for context tree models to calculate sums over all possible trees.
result Proposes a learning algorithm with less computational cost for TS-SBP mixture of Gaussians.

New algorithm improves mixing in Bayesian mixture models.

problem Slow mixing in Bayesian mixture models.
method A new Monte Carlo algorithm for sampling from the marginal posterior of a general integrable mixture.
result The new algorithm achieves excellent mixing times, outperforming standard Gibbs sampling in some cases.

New methods combine model predictions to avoid linear mixtures' limitations.

problem Combining predictions from different models to avoid linear mixtures' limitations.
method Log-linear pooling (locking) and quantum superposition (quacking) to optimise model weights.
result Demonstrated locking method with illustrative example and practical application.

Survey on Bayesian inference for Gaussian mixture models.

problem Estimating parameters of Gaussian mixture models using Bayesian methods.
method Uses Bayesian inference to estimate parameters and uncertainty of Gaussian mixture models.
result Bayesian approach provides point estimates and associated uncertainty for mixture model parameters.

Bayesian approach approximates probability functions of Gaussian mixtures.

problem Approximating probability functions of non-spherical Gaussian mixtures.
method Bayesian decomposition, spherical radial decomposition, random sampling.
result Established differentiability and integral representation of gradient for probability functions.

Improved Bayesian analysis for SVM models using a mixture sampler.

problem Efficient simulation-based analysis of stochastic volatility in mean models.
method Developed a generalized mixture sampler for SVM models, approximating non-central chi-squared distributions as mixtures of normal distributions.
result The proposed method outperforms other volatility models based on marginal likelihoods in empirical studies.

Bayesian networks with hidden variables help identify causal relationships obscured by confounding.

problem Identifying causal relationships obscured by unobserved confounders.
method Use finite kk-mixtures of Bayesian networks with hidden variables to recover the joint probability distribution and identify causal relationships.
result First algorithm to learn mixtures of non-empty DAGs, recovering identifiable causal relationships.

Bayesian framework learns latent preference archetypes for many-objective optimization.

problem Expanding space of trade-offs and context-dependent human values.
method Dirichlet-process mixture model for latent preference archetypes, hybrid queries for efficient information.
result Mixture-aware Bayesian optimization outperforms standard methods on synthetic and real-world benchmarks.

Bayesian model averaging improves causal effect estimation by averaging over multiple models.

problem Estimating causal effects under linear Structural Causal Models (SCMs).
method Bayesian model averaging using Gaussian scale mixture distributions for computational efficiency.
result Bayesian model averaging is optimal for causal effect estimation.

A new method uses mixture approximations to improve diffusion models for Bayesian inverse problems.

problem Approximating posterior distributions in Bayesian inverse problems with intractable likelihoods.
method Proposes a mixture-based approximation of intermediate posterior distributions and uses Gibbs sampling for practical sampling.
result Validated the approach on image inverse problems and audio source separation, demonstrating improved performance.

SMI uses mixture models to improve SVGD's performance in Bayesian inference.

problem Variance collapse in SVGD for Bayesian inference, especially with small models.
method Generalizes SVGD to Stein mixture models, optimizing an ELBO lower bound.
result SMI avoids variance collapse and accurately estimates uncertainty for small BNNs.

Bayesian Optimization improves data mixture selection for large language models.

problem Optimizing the training data mixtures for large language models.
method Viewed as a black-box hyperparameter optimization problem, using Bayesian Optimization.
result Consistently strong results with speed-ups of over 500%.

Bayesian framework uses context trees for efficient time series modeling.

problem Building flexible and interpretable mixture models for real-valued time series.
method Hierarchical Bayesian modelling with context trees and autoregressive models.
result The methods outperform state-of-the-art techniques on simulated and real-world experiments.

Bayesian framework for analyzing heterogeneous covariance data with a novel MoE-Wishart model.

problem Analyzing complex multivariate systems with varying covariance structures.
method Comprehensive Bayesian framework using mixture-of-experts Wishart model with predictor-dependent mixture weights.
result Accurate subpopulation recovery and estimation in heterogeneous covariance scenarios.

This work relates the framework of model-based clustering for spatial functional data where the data are surfaces. We first introduce a Bayesian spatial spline regression model with mixed-effects (BSSR) for modeling spatial function data. The BSSR model is based on Nodal basis functions for spatial regression and accom…

2015-08-04abs ↗pdf ↗

A Bayesian filtering algorithm is developed for a class of state-space systems that can be modelled via Gaussian mixtures. In general, the exact solution to this filtering problem involves an exponential growth in the number of mixture terms and this is handled here by utilising a Gaussian mixture reduction step after …

2017-05-16abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper addresses the issue of model selection for hidden Markov models (HMMs). We generalize factorized asymptotic Bayesian inference (FAB), which has been recently developed for model selection on independent hidden variables (i.e., mixture models), for time-dependent hidden variables. As with FAB in mixture model…

2012-06-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved phylogenetic inference using VBPI-Mixtures for tree topology and branch length.

problem Multimodality of tree-topology posterior distributions in phylogenetic inference.
method VBPI-Mixtures algorithm that uses mixture learning within the BBVI framework.
result VBPI-Mixtures captures tree-topology distributions better than VBPI.

VMoER improves uncertainty quantification in MoE layers for scalable foundation models.

problem Uncertainty quantification in large-scale models like MoE layers.
method Structured Bayesian approach with amortized variational inference over routing logits and temperature parameter inference.
result Improves routing stability, reduces calibration error, and increases AUROC by 12%.

Bayesian models overestimate clusters, but practical summaries can correct this.

problem Bayesian mixture models overestimate the number of clusters.
method Simulations and gene expression data analysis using MCMC summarisation.
result Overestimation is limited in finite samples and can be corrected, but misspecification leads to significant overestimation.

We propose the Bayesian bridge estimator for regularized regression and classification. Two key mixture representations for the Bayesian bridge model are developed: (1) a scale mixture of normals with respect to an alpha-stable random variable; and (2) a mixture of Bartlett--Fejer kernels (or triangle densities) with r…

2011-09-11abs ↗pdf ↗

This work investigates training infinite mixtures with maximum likelihood for improved uncertainty quantification.

problem Improving uncertainty quantification in neural networks.
method Investigates training infinite mixtures with maximum likelihood instead of variational inference.
result The proposed method leads to stochastic networks with increased predictive variance, improved robustness, and higher entropy on out-of-distribution data.

We present a case-study demonstrating the usefulness of Bayesian hierarchical mixture modelling for investigating cognitive processes. In sentence comprehension, it is widely assumed that the distance between linguistic co-dependents affects the latency of dependency resolution: the longer the distance, the longer the …

2017-02-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian approach to robust risk measures under model uncertainty.

problem Representing robust risk measures as a single probability measure.
method Introducing two types of risk measures and analyzing their relation to robust risk measures.
result Robust risk measures can be represented by a mixture probability measure, a Bayesian approach.

We introduce a copula mixture model to perform dependency-seeking clustering when co-occurring samples from different data sources are available. The model takes advantage of the great flexibility offered by the copulas framework to extend mixtures of Canonical Correlation Analysis to multivariate data with arbitrary c…

2012-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian models offer great flexibility for clustering applications---Bayesian nonparametrics can be used for modeling infinite mixtures, and hierarchical Bayesian models can be utilized for sharing clusters across multiple data sets. For the most part, such flexibility is lacking in classical clustering methods such a…

2011-11-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on Dirichlet process mixtures for clustering consistency.

problem Consistency of clustering with Dirichlet process mixtures.
method Analysis of posterior distribution as sample size increases, focusing on consistency for the number of clusters.
result Consistency for the number of clusters can be achieved with a properly adapted concentration parameter in a Bayesian setting.

Enhances RL with function approximation, improving regret bounds.

problem Improving exploration in reinforcement learning with function approximation.
method Prior-dependent Bayesian regret bound for PSRL with linear mixture MDPs, using value-targeted model learning and variance reduction.
result Established an upper bound of O(dH3TlogT){\mathcal{O}}(d\sqrt{H^3 T \log T}) for PSRL.