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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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4386129172 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Bayesian EM

As an automatic method of determining model complexity using the training data alone, Bayesian linear regression provides us a principled way to select hyperparameters. But one often needs approximation inference if distribution assumption is beyond Gaussian distribution. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian linear reg…

2016-04-15abs ↗pdf ↗

In recent years there has been a flurry of works on learning Bayesian networks from data. One of the hard problems in this area is how to effectively learn the structure of a belief network from incomplete data- that is, in the presence of missing values or hidden variables. In a recent paper, I introduced an algorithm…

2013-01-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Gradient-EM Bayesian meta-learning accelerates adaptation with reduced computation and improved robustness.

problem Efficient and robust adaptation to new tasks with uncertainty assessment.
method Extends Bayesian meta-learning with gradient-EM algorithm, decoupling inner-update from meta-update.
result Improves accuracy with less computation cost and enhanced robustness to uncertainty.

This paper uses dynamical systems to analyze and ensure convergence of the Bayesian EM algorithm.

problem Ensuring convergence of the Bayesian EM algorithm in incomplete-data scenarios.
method Applying Lyapunov stability theory to discrete-time dynamical systems.
result Conditions for convergence and potential for fast convergence of MAP-EM are established.

This paper re-examines the problem of parameter estimation in Bayesian networks with missing values and hidden variables from the perspective of recent work in on-line learning [Kivinen & Warmuth, 1994]. We provide a unified framework for parameter estimation that encompasses both on-line learning, where the model is c…

2013-02-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian neural network models improve uncertainty quantification in multivariate regression.

problem Uncertainty quantification in multivariate regression models with heteroscedastic noise.
method Proposes Bayesian Last Layer neural network models and EM algorithms for parameter learning.
result Capable of disentangling aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty.

EDML is a recently proposed algorithm for learning MAP parameters in Bayesian networks. In this paper, we present a number of new advances and insights on the EDML algorithm. First, we provide the multivalued extension of EDML, originally proposed for Bayesian networks over binary variables. Next, we identify a simplif…

2012-10-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimates parameters in max-linear Bayesian networks with noise.

problem Causal inference in extreme-value settings with noise parameters.
method Max-plus algebra and logarithm transformation, normal distribution estimation, EM algorithm and quadratic optimization.
result An estimator of a parameter for each edge in a DAG is normally distributed.

Clarifies EM algorithm and variational Bayesian inference concepts.

problem Gaps in AI literature understanding of EM and variational concepts.
method Tutorial presentation of EM algorithm, variational Bayesian inference, and autoencoded variational Bayes.
result Establishes clear links between EM and variational methods.

Paper proves EM algorithm convergence for mixtures of discrete and continuous parameters.

problem Nontrivial convergence analysis for EM algorithms with mixed-integer parameters.
method Introduces conditions for EM convergence in mixed-integer optimization.
result Proves convergence of EM-based sparse Bayesian learning algorithm.

In classical Hawkes process, the baseline intensity and triggering kernel are assumed to be a constant and parametric function respectively, which limits the model flexibility. To generalize it, we present a fully Bayesian nonparametric model, namely Gaussian process modulated Hawkes process and propose an EM-variation…

2019-05-29abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper addresses the estimation of parameters of a Bayesian network from incomplete data. The task is usually tackled by running the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm several times in order to obtain a high log-likelihood estimate. We argue that choosing the maximum log-likelihood estimate (as well as the max…

2011-10-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes an EM algorithm for high-dimensional Markov-switching VAR models.

problem Estimating regime shifts in high-dimensional time series data.
method Approximate EM algorithm for Markov-switching VAR models.
result Established consistency of the proposed EM algorithm in high dimensions.

The paper improves error bounds for Bayesian quadrature in noisy settings.

problem Improving error bounds for Bayesian quadrature in noisy settings.
method Develops a two-step meta-algorithm to relate average-case quadrature error to L2L^2-function approximation error.
result Provides new average-case results for various kernels and noise settings.

We consider the problem of how decision making can be fair when the underlying probabilistic model of the world is not known with certainty. We argue that recent notions of fairness in machine learning need to explicitly incorporate parameter uncertainty, hence we introduce the notion of {\em Bayesian fairness} as a su…

2017-05-31abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method clusters data from multiple sources using a mixture of multilayer SBMs.

problem Aggregating multiple clustering results from different data sources.
method Uses a mixture of multilayer Stochastic Block Models (SBM) to group co-membership matrices.
result Identifies and clusters observations based on their specificities within components.

Bayesian SPCA method tackles orthogonality constraint with spike and slab prior.

problem Bayesian SPCA method for high-dimensional data with orthogonality constraint.
method Parameter-expanded coordinate ascent variational inference (PX-CAVI) with spike and slab prior.
result PX-CAVI algorithm outperforms existing SPCA approaches in performance.

Bayesian EM method improves ridge regression tuning without LOOCV's limitations.

problem Tuning ridge regression hyper-parameter λλ efficiently and accurately.
method Bayesian formulation of ridge regression with expectation maximization (EM) procedure.
result Guaranteed unique optimal solution for large nn without candidate λλ specification.

In this paper we address the problem of learning the structure of a Bayesian network in domains with continuous variables. This task requires a procedure for comparing different candidate structures. In the Bayesian framework, this is done by evaluating the {em marginal likelihood/} of the data given a candidate struct…

2013-01-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Study uses DNNs for real-time EM inversion, highlighting model errors and proposing solutions.

problem Model errors in DNNs affect real-time geosteering decisions in EM measurements.
method Bayesian ensemble smoothing with DNNs for thousands of model evaluations, identifying multimodality.
result Model errors can lead to biased estimates, necessitating error reduction techniques.

In this article, we propose a new class of priors for Bayesian inference with multiple Gaussian graphical models. We introduce fully Bayesian treatments of two popular procedures, the group graphical lasso and the fused graphical lasso, and extend them to a continuous spike-and-slab framework to allow self-adaptive shr…

2018-05-18abs ↗pdf ↗

In this work, dynamic Bayesian multinets are introduced where a Markov chain state at time t determines conditional independence patterns between random variables lying within a local time window surrounding t. It is shown how information-theoretic criterion functions can be used to induce sparse, discriminative, and c…

2013-01-16abs ↗pdf ↗