Researchers prove NP-hardness of learning parameter-bounded Bayes nets.
problem Learning parameter-bounded Bayes nets is computationally hard.
method Proved NP-hardness of learning parameter-bounded Bayes nets and a promise search variant.
result Proved NP-hardness of a promise search variant of LEARN.
Derives fluctuation theorems and thermodynamic uncertainty relations for systems modeled as Bayes nets.
problem Entropy production in interacting systems modeled as Bayes nets.
method Derives fluctuation theorems and thermodynamic uncertainty relations for arbitrary sets and conditioned sets of systems in Bayes nets.
result Relates the entropy production of the overall system to the precisions of probability currents in individual systems.
New bounds explain deterministic non-smooth deep nets without large Lipschitz constants.
problem Challenges in explaining generalization of deterministic non-smooth deep nets.
method De-randomized PAC-Bayes margin bounds for deterministic non-convex and non-smooth predictors.
result New bounds avoid large Lipschitz constants, providing generalization guarantees.
New algorithms bound graph structure sampling and learning high-dimensional graphical models.
problem Learning high-dimensional graphical models and efficient graph structure sampling.
method Online learning framework with exponentially weighted average (EWA) or randomized weighted majority (RWM) forecasters using log loss function.
result New sample complexity bounds and efficient algorithms for learning Bayes nets, including trees and chordal skeletons.
Oracle inequality for sparse neural nets adapts to unknown structure.
problem Sparse deep neural nets in nonparametric regression.
method Gibbs posterior distribution with Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithms and mixture of uniform priors.
result Oracle inequality showing adaptation to unknown regularity and structure, achieving minimax-optimal rate of convergence.
Traditional approaches to Bayes net structure learning typically assume little regularity in graph structure other than sparseness. However, in many cases, we expect more systematicity: variables in real-world systems often group into classes that predict the kinds of probabilistic dependencies they participate in. Her…
Improves model accuracy for neural nets in stochastic dynamics with partial prior knowledge.
problem Stability and accuracy in neural nets modeling stochastic dynamics with many parameters.
method Three steps: probabilistic weights, partial knowledge incorporation, and PAC-Bayesian training.
result Improved model fit with partial and noisy prior knowledge.
We explore the family of methods "PAC-Bayes with Backprop" (PBB) to train probabilistic neural networks by minimizing PAC-Bayes bounds. We present two training objectives, one derived from a previously known PAC-Bayes bound, and a second one derived from a novel PAC-Bayes bound. Both training objectives are evaluated o…
Observed associations in a database may be due in whole or part to variations in unrecorded (latent) variables. Identifying such variables and their causal relationships with one another is a principal goal in many scientific and practical domains. Previous work shows that, given a partition of observed variables such …
Study examines how classifier performance is affected by training data quality.
problem How classifier performance is affected by training data quality.
method Extensive numerical experiments with four classifiers (Bayes, neural nets, partition models, random forests) on metagenomic assembly data.
result Classifier performance degrades as training data quality degrades, leading to breakdown-like behavior.
Dealing with uncertainty in Bayesian Network structures using maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation or Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) is often intractable due to the superexponential number of possible directed, acyclic graphs. When the prior is decomposable, two classes of graphs where efficient learning can take plac…
Hierarchical Bayesian networks and neural networks with stochastic hidden units are commonly perceived as two separate types of models. We show that either of these types of models can often be transformed into an instance of the other, by switching between centered and differentiable non-centered parameterizations of …
A novel Bayesian computation method using importance weighting improves numerical stability and performance.
problem Bayesian computation stability and performance issues.
method Nonparametric approach via feature means, importance weighting, and kernel Bayes' rule.
result Importance weighted kernel Bayes' rule yields superior numerical stability and performance.
The Frame Problem (FP) is a puzzle in philosophy of mind and epistemology, articulated by the Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy as follows: "How do we account for our apparent ability to make decisions on the basis only of what is relevant to an ongoing situation without having explicitly to consider all that is not …
New approach shows why overparameterized neural nets generalize well.
problem Understanding why overparameterized neural nets generalize well in practice.
method An alternative notion of capacity for attention-based models based on the effective rank of attention matrices.
result Generalization bound matches empirical scaling laws observed in large language models.
Optimal classifiers derived from GMMs are approximated by deep neural networks.
problem Binary classification of high-dimensional overlapping Gaussian mixtures.
method Closed-form expressions for Bayes optimal decision boundaries derived from GMMs' eigenstructure. Empirical validation through synthetic and real-world data.
result Deep neural networks approximate optimal classifiers for GMMs, with decision thresholds related to covariance eigenvectors.
New GAN design uses conditional independence graphs to improve model-based GANs.
problem Designing model-based GANs using additional information about underlying distribution.
method Study subadditivity properties of probability divergences to design model-based GANs.
result Model-based GANs using neighborhood discriminators provide significant statistical and computational benefits.
Root Cause Analysis for Anomalies is challenging because of the trade-off between the accuracy and its explanatory friendliness, required for industrial applications. In this paper we propose a framework for simple and friendly RCA within the Bayesian regime under certain restrictions (that Hessian at the mode is diago…
We consider the problem of obfuscating sensitive information while preserving utility, and we propose a machine learning approach inspired by the generative adversarial networks paradigm. The idea is to set up two nets: the generator, that tries to produce an optimal obfuscation mechanism to protect the data, and the c…
Variational Bayes (VB) has become a widely-used tool for Bayesian inference in statistics and machine learning. Nonetheless, the development of the existing VB algorithms is so far generally restricted to the case where the variational parameter space is Euclidean, which hinders the potential broad application of VB me…
Bayesian neural networks predict stress fields and uncertainty in materials.
problem Uncertainty in stress field predictions for complex materials.
method Modified Bayesian U-net architecture with three inference algorithms.
result High accuracy predictions and interpretable uncertainty estimates.
LGD algorithm learns optimal hyperparameters for regression tasks.
problem Learning to learn hyperparameters for regression problems.
method Langevin Gradient Descent (LGD) approximates posterior distribution.
result Meta-learning optimal hyperparameters achieves Bayes' optimal solution.
New uniqueness concept for adversarial Bayes classifier.
problem Understanding adversarial Bayes classifiers in binary classification.
method Developed a new notion of uniqueness and analyzed it for a family of one-dimensional data distributions.
result Improved regularity of adversarial Bayes classifiers as perturbation radius increases.
Empirical Bayes rates via variational approximations and prior decomposition.
problem Nonparametric and high-dimensional inference convergence rates.
method Variational perspective and prior decomposition.
result Empirical Bayes posterior rates derived from variational Bayes.
The paper explores discrete isothermic nets using checkerboard patterns in quadrilateral nets.
problem Defining and understanding discrete isothermic nets in quadrilateral nets.
method Using checkerboard patterns and discrete differential geometry to define and analyze isothermic nets.
result The class of isothermic nets is invariant under dualization and Moebius transformations.
We investigate the common underlying discrete structures for various smooth and discrete nets. The main idea is to impose the characteristic properties of the nets not only on elementary quadrilaterals but also on larger parameter rectangles. For discrete planar quadrilateral nets, circular nets, Q∗-nets and conical…
The study compares clustering risk in Hidden Markov and i.i.d. models, showing the Bayes classifier is nearly optimal.
problem Comparing clustering risk in Hidden Markov and i.i.d. models.
method Analysis of Bayes risk, theoretical bounds, and simulations.
result The Bayes classifier is nearly optimal for clustering in both Hidden Markov and i.i.d. models.
In this paper, we introduce transformations of deep rectifier networks, enabling the conversion of deep rectifier networks into shallow rectifier networks. We subsequently prove that any rectifier net of any depth can be represented by a maximum of a number of functions that can be realized by a shallow network with a …
Despite its simplicity, the naive Bayes classifier has surprised machine learning researchers by exhibiting good performance on a variety of learning problems. Encouraged by these results, researchers have looked to overcome naive Bayes primary weakness - attribute independence - and improve the performance of the algo…
Discretizes special surfaces using Koenigs nets.
problem Integrable structure of special surfaces.
method Discretisation via Koenigs nets.
result Preserves integrable structure in discretization.
We discuss discretization of Koenigs nets (conjugate nets with equal Laplace invariants) and of isothermic surfaces. Our discretization is based on the notion of dual quadrilaterals: two planar quadrilaterals are called dual, if their corresponding sides are parallel, and their non-corresponding diagonals are parallel.…
Classifies nets with area-preserving transformations into two types.
problem Classifying nets with area-preserving transformations.
method Classification using Combescure transformations and isotropic metric duality.
result Found two classes of nets: cone nets and Koenigs nets.
Deep learning improves Bayes factor computation for likelihood-free models.
problem Computing Bayes factors for likelihood-free models is challenging.
method Proposes a deep learning estimator of Bayes factors using simulated data.
result Establishes consistency of the Deep Bayes Factor estimator.
Meta-learning bounds derived using PAC-Bayes theory for improved generalization.
problem Uncertainty in generalization performance for meta-learning with new tasks.
method PAC-Bayes relative entropy bounds and empirical risk minimization (ERM) method.
result Competitive generalization performance and rapid convergence with data-dependent prior.
Defines CAMC discrete nets and their properties.
problem Understanding CAMC discrete nets and their properties.
method Defining CAMC discrete nets and proving properties.
result Properties of CAMC discrete nets are equivalent to properties of compatible interpolating quadrics.
PAC-Bayes framework fails on simple 1D linear classification task.
problem Proving the learnability of simple 1D linear classification tasks using PAC-Bayes bounds.
method Demonstrated a specific 1D linear classification task that PAC-Bayes cannot analyze.
result PAC-Bayes framework cannot prove learnability of simple 1D linear classification tasks.
PAC-Bayes bound requires prior to place mass on high-performing predictors.
problem Explaining generalization in machine learning.
method Analyzing necessary conditions for PAC-Bayes bounds to provide meaningful generalization guarantees.
result Achieving a target generalisation level requires the prior to place sufficient mass on high-performing predictors.
We study local and global approximations of smooth nets of curvature lines and smooth conjugate nets by respective discrete nets (circular nets and planar quadrilateral nets) with infinitesimal quads. It is shown that choosing the points of discrete nets on the smooth surface one can obtain second-order approximation g…
New estimators outperform maximum likelihood without hyper-parameter estimation.
problem Improving system identification performance without hyper-parameter estimation.
method Developed generalized Bayes and closed-form biased estimators using excess MSE.
result New estimators have comparable performance to empirical-Bayes-based regularized estimator.
Paper introduces Generalized Naive Bayes for better data fitting.
problem Improving Naive Bayes for better data fitting.
method Developed new greedy and optimal algorithms for GNB.
result Proves GNB fits data at least as well as classical NB.
Circular nets with spherical parameter lines have geometric properties related to Darboux cyclides and terminating Laplace sequences.
problem Discretizing surfaces with spherical curvature lines.
method Lie-geometric discretisation in terms of principal contact element nets.
result Circular nets with two families of spherical parameter lines are related to Darboux cyclides.
Study on identifying AMP chain graph models under known and unknown component decompositions.
problem Identifying AMP chain graph models with known and unknown chain component decompositions.
method Analyzes conditions for identifiability of AMP models and proposes algorithms for structure recovery.
result Conditions for DAG identifiability in AMP models extend equal variance criteria for Bayes nets.
Smart Close-out Netting aims to automate close-out netting processes.
problem Inefficiencies in close-out netting processes for financial institutions.
method Standardisation and automation of legal and regulatory processes using a data-driven framework and controlled natural language.
result Standardisation and automation can improve close-out netting processes for prudentially regulated financial institutions.
Smart Bayes integrates generative and discriminative features for improved classification.
problem Improving classification performance by combining generative and discriminative modeling.
method Integrates generative likelihood-ratio features into a logistic-regression-style classifier.
result Often outperforms logistic regression and Naive Bayes in simulations and real data.
This paper considers the power of deep neural networks (deep nets for short) in realizing data features. Based on refined covering number estimates, we find that, to realize some complex data features, deep nets can improve the performances of shallow neural networks (shallow nets for short) without requiring additiona…
Supercyclides are surfaces with a characteristic conjugate parametrization consisting of two families of conics. Patches of supercyclides can be adapted to a Q-net (a discrete quadrilateral net with planar faces) such that neighboring surface patches share tangent planes along common boundary curves. We call the result…
New method reduces computational cost for estimating PAC-Bayes bounds.
problem High computational cost in estimating PAC-Bayes bounds.
method General alternative method that makes computational savings.
result Reduces computational cost on the order of the dataset size.
This work bounds classification error in machine learning for low Bayes error conditions.
problem Understanding the error mismatch between Bayes error and model-based classification error.
method Applying classification error bounds to study the relationship with Kullback-Leibler divergence and proposing a linear approximation for low Bayes error conditions.
result A linear approximation of the classification error bound for low Bayes error conditions is proposed.