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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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19385675 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Bayes nets

Recent research has considered the stochastic thermodynamics of multiple interacting systems, representing the overall system as a Bayes net. I derive fluctuation theorems governing the entropy production (EP)of arbitrary sets of the systems in such a Bayes net. I also derive ``conditional'' fluctuation theorems, gover…

2019-11-07abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithms bound graph structure sampling and learning high-dimensional graphical models.

problem Learning high-dimensional graphical models and efficient graph structure sampling.
method Online learning framework with exponentially weighted average (EWA) or randomized weighted majority (RWM) forecasters using log loss function.
result New sample complexity bounds and efficient algorithms for learning Bayes nets, including trees and chordal skeletons.

Oracle inequality for sparse neural nets adapts to unknown structure.

problem Sparse deep neural nets in nonparametric regression.
method Gibbs posterior distribution with Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithms and mixture of uniform priors.
result Oracle inequality showing adaptation to unknown regularity and structure, achieving minimax-optimal rate of convergence.

Traditional approaches to Bayes net structure learning typically assume little regularity in graph structure other than sparseness. However, in many cases, we expect more systematicity: variables in real-world systems often group into classes that predict the kinds of probabilistic dependencies they participate in. Her…

2012-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Improves model accuracy for neural nets in stochastic dynamics with partial prior knowledge.

problem Stability and accuracy in neural nets modeling stochastic dynamics with many parameters.
method Three steps: probabilistic weights, partial knowledge incorporation, and PAC-Bayesian training.
result Improved model fit with partial and noisy prior knowledge.

We explore the family of methods "PAC-Bayes with Backprop" (PBB) to train probabilistic neural networks by minimizing PAC-Bayes bounds. We present two training objectives, one derived from a previously known PAC-Bayes bound, and a second one derived from a novel PAC-Bayes bound. Both training objectives are evaluated o…

2019-08-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Observed associations in a database may be due in whole or part to variations in unrecorded (latent) variables. Identifying such variables and their causal relationships with one another is a principal goal in many scientific and practical domains. Previous work shows that, given a partition of observed variables such …

2012-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Study examines how classifier performance is affected by training data quality.

problem How classifier performance is affected by training data quality.
method Extensive numerical experiments with four classifiers (Bayes, neural nets, partition models, random forests) on metagenomic assembly data.
result Classifier performance degrades as training data quality degrades, leading to breakdown-like behavior.

A novel Bayesian computation method using importance weighting improves numerical stability and performance.

problem Bayesian computation stability and performance issues.
method Nonparametric approach via feature means, importance weighting, and kernel Bayes' rule.
result Importance weighted kernel Bayes' rule yields superior numerical stability and performance.

The Frame Problem (FP) is a puzzle in philosophy of mind and epistemology, articulated by the Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy as follows: "How do we account for our apparent ability to make decisions on the basis only of what is relevant to an ongoing situation without having explicitly to consider all that is not …

2017-01-26abs ↗pdf ↗

New approach shows why overparameterized neural nets generalize well.

problem Understanding why overparameterized neural nets generalize well in practice.
method An alternative notion of capacity for attention-based models based on the effective rank of attention matrices.
result Generalization bound matches empirical scaling laws observed in large language models.

Optimal classifiers derived from GMMs are approximated by deep neural networks.

problem Binary classification of high-dimensional overlapping Gaussian mixtures.
method Closed-form expressions for Bayes optimal decision boundaries derived from GMMs' eigenstructure. Empirical validation through synthetic and real-world data.
result Deep neural networks approximate optimal classifiers for GMMs, with decision thresholds related to covariance eigenvectors.

Root Cause Analysis for Anomalies is challenging because of the trade-off between the accuracy and its explanatory friendliness, required for industrial applications. In this paper we propose a framework for simple and friendly RCA within the Bayesian regime under certain restrictions (that Hessian at the mode is diago…

2018-08-13abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the problem of obfuscating sensitive information while preserving utility, and we propose a machine learning approach inspired by the generative adversarial networks paradigm. The idea is to set up two nets: the generator, that tries to produce an optimal obfuscation mechanism to protect the data, and the c…

2019-04-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Variational Bayes (VB) has become a widely-used tool for Bayesian inference in statistics and machine learning. Nonetheless, the development of the existing VB algorithms is so far generally restricted to the case where the variational parameter space is Euclidean, which hinders the potential broad application of VB me…

2019-08-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian neural networks predict stress fields and uncertainty in materials.

problem Uncertainty in stress field predictions for complex materials.
method Modified Bayesian U-net architecture with three inference algorithms.
result High accuracy predictions and interpretable uncertainty estimates.

New uniqueness concept for adversarial Bayes classifier.

problem Understanding adversarial Bayes classifiers in binary classification.
method Developed a new notion of uniqueness and analyzed it for a family of one-dimensional data distributions.
result Improved regularity of adversarial Bayes classifiers as perturbation radius increases.

The paper explores discrete isothermic nets using checkerboard patterns in quadrilateral nets.

problem Defining and understanding discrete isothermic nets in quadrilateral nets.
method Using checkerboard patterns and discrete differential geometry to define and analyze isothermic nets.
result The class of isothermic nets is invariant under dualization and Moebius transformations.

The study compares clustering risk in Hidden Markov and i.i.d. models, showing the Bayes classifier is nearly optimal.

problem Comparing clustering risk in Hidden Markov and i.i.d. models.
method Analysis of Bayes risk, theoretical bounds, and simulations.
result The Bayes classifier is nearly optimal for clustering in both Hidden Markov and i.i.d. models.

In this paper, we introduce transformations of deep rectifier networks, enabling the conversion of deep rectifier networks into shallow rectifier networks. We subsequently prove that any rectifier net of any depth can be represented by a maximum of a number of functions that can be realized by a shallow network with a …

2017-03-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Despite its simplicity, the naive Bayes classifier has surprised machine learning researchers by exhibiting good performance on a variety of learning problems. Encouraged by these results, researchers have looked to overcome naive Bayes primary weakness - attribute independence - and improve the performance of the algo…

2012-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

We discuss discretization of Koenigs nets (conjugate nets with equal Laplace invariants) and of isothermic surfaces. Our discretization is based on the notion of dual quadrilaterals: two planar quadrilaterals are called dual, if their corresponding sides are parallel, and their non-corresponding diagonals are parallel.…

2007-09-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Meta-learning bounds derived using PAC-Bayes theory for improved generalization.

problem Uncertainty in generalization performance for meta-learning with new tasks.
method PAC-Bayes relative entropy bounds and empirical risk minimization (ERM) method.
result Competitive generalization performance and rapid convergence with data-dependent prior.

We study local and global approximations of smooth nets of curvature lines and smooth conjugate nets by respective discrete nets (circular nets and planar quadrilateral nets) with infinitesimal quads. It is shown that choosing the points of discrete nets on the smooth surface one can obtain second-order approximation g…

2007-06-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Circular nets with spherical parameter lines have geometric properties related to Darboux cyclides and terminating Laplace sequences.

problem Discretizing surfaces with spherical curvature lines.
method Lie-geometric discretisation in terms of principal contact element nets.
result Circular nets with two families of spherical parameter lines are related to Darboux cyclides.

New estimators outperform maximum likelihood without hyper-parameter estimation.

problem Improving system identification performance without hyper-parameter estimation.
method Developed generalized Bayes and closed-form biased estimators using excess MSE.
result New estimators have comparable performance to empirical-Bayes-based regularized estimator.

Smart Close-out Netting aims to automate close-out netting processes.

problem Inefficiencies in close-out netting processes for financial institutions.
method Standardisation and automation of legal and regulatory processes using a data-driven framework and controlled natural language.
result Standardisation and automation can improve close-out netting processes for prudentially regulated financial institutions.

This paper considers the power of deep neural networks (deep nets for short) in realizing data features. Based on refined covering number estimates, we find that, to realize some complex data features, deep nets can improve the performances of shallow neural networks (shallow nets for short) without requiring additiona…

2019-01-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Supercyclides are surfaces with a characteristic conjugate parametrization consisting of two families of conics. Patches of supercyclides can be adapted to a Q-net (a discrete quadrilateral net with planar faces) such that neighboring surface patches share tangent planes along common boundary curves. We call the result…

2014-12-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Smart Bayes integrates generative and discriminative features for improved classification.

problem Improving classification performance by combining generative and discriminative modeling.
method Integrates generative likelihood-ratio features into a logistic-regression-style classifier.
result Often outperforms logistic regression and Naive Bayes in simulations and real data.

Study on identifying AMP chain graph models under known and unknown component decompositions.

problem Identifying AMP chain graph models with known and unknown chain component decompositions.
method Analyzes conditions for identifiability of AMP models and proposes algorithms for structure recovery.
result Conditions for DAG identifiability in AMP models extend equal variance criteria for Bayes nets.

Integrable nets described with curvature relations to pseudospherical surfaces.

problem Describing integrable curve nets and their geometric properties.
method Overview of second-order invariants, specific example of concordant nets, and construction of pseudospherical surfaces.
result Concordant Chebyshev nets correspond to pairs of pseudospherical surfaces.