A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Oil prices affect Russian banks' stability, with negative impacts from decreases.
New method estimates corporate default probabilities using indirect data.
Study reveals clusters of resilient and vulnerable Spanish agri-food firms post-Ukraine-Russia war.
Russia-Ukraine conflict impacts global agricultural futures and spot markets' extreme risks.
Study examines grain futures connectedness during Russia-Ukraine conflict.
We discuss Russia's underlying motives for issuing its government-backed cryptocurrency, CryptoRuble, and the implications thereof and of other likely-soon-forthcoming government-issued cryptocurrencies to some stakeholders (populace, governments, economy, finance, etc.), existing decentralized cryptocurrencies (such a…
Study analyzes crude oil futures markets using visibility graphs to understand their structure and dynamics.
6 pages, LaTeX, to appear in Proc. of International Conf. "Geometrization of Physics - II", Kazan, Russia, Oct 28 - Nov 2, 1995. Withdrawn
Study creates open-access wildfire dataset for Russia.
There certainly is little or no doubt that politicians, sometimes consciously and sometimes not, exert a significant impact on stock markets. The evolving volatility over the Republican Donald Trump's surprise victory in the US presidential election is a perfect example when politicians, through announced policies, sen…
Investor attention predicts global equity market volatility during Ukraine invasion.
The Oseledets Multiplicative Ergodic theorem is a basic result with numerous applications throughout dynamical systems. These notes provide an introduction to this theorem, as well as subsequent generalizations. They are based on lectures at summer schools in Brazil, France, and Russia.
Modelling of contagion in interbank networks is discussed. A model taking into account bow-tie structure and dissasortativity of interbank networks is developed. The model is shown to provide a good quantitative description of the Russian interbank market. Detailed arguments favoring the non-percolative nature of conta…
In the present paper we prove Liouville-type theorems: non-existence theorems for conformal mappings of complete Riemannian manifolds. In addition, we give an application of these results to the theory of conharmonic transformations. A part of these results was announced in our reports on the conferences "Differential …
An asset network systemic risk (ANWSER) model is presented to investigate the impact of how shadow banks are intermingled in a financial system on the severity of financial contagion. Particularly, the focus of this study is the impact of the following three representative topologies of an interbank loan network betwee…
The study compares profitability of conventional and Islamic banks in Bangladesh.
Geopolitical and geoeconomic shocks affect sovereign risk differently, with distinct transmission channels.
Study on electronic banking satisfaction in Nigeria.
Study analyzes profitability and efficiency of Chinese banks, finding state-owned banks superior.
The European sovereign debt crisis has impaired many European banks. The distress on the European banks may transmit worldwide, and result in a large-scale knock-on default of financial institutions. This study presents a computer simulation model to analyze the risk of insolvency of banks and defaults in a bank credit…
Study uses social network data to analyze regional inflation trends.
This paper examines SVB's failure and its impact on bank stocks.
We report a study of a stylized banking cascade model investigating systemic risk caused by counter party failure using liabilities and assets to define banks' balance sheet. In our stylized system, banks can be in two states: normally operating or distressed and the state of a bank changes from normally operating to d…
We consider the problem of governing systemic risk in an assets-liabilities dynamical model of banking system. In the model considered each bank is represented by its assets and its liabilities.The capital reserves of a bank are the difference between assets and liabilities of the bank. A bank is solvent when its capit…
This study uses high-frequency data to identify early warning signals for bank crises.
Analysis finds no evidence of banks managing deposit run risk prior to 2023 Regional Banking Crisis.
Study examines factors influencing lending to SMEs by Kenyan banks.
Bangladesh's banking sector improved through financial reforms, but challenges remain.
Study evaluates profitability of Islamic banks in Bangladesh using ROA, ROE, and ROD.
A modern version of Monetary Circuit Theory with a particular emphasis on stochastic underpinning mechanisms is developed. It is explained how money is created by the banking system as a whole and by individual banks. The role of central banks as system stabilizers and liquidity providers is elucidated. It is shown how…
Modeling financial contagion through bank networks, revealing solvency correlations.
We analyze the influence and interactions of 60 largest world banks for 195 world countries using the reduced Google matrix algorithm for the English Wikipedia network with 5 416 537 articles. While the top asset rank positions are taken by the banks of China, with China Industrial and Commercial Bank of China at the f…
In the wake of the still ongoing global financial crisis, bank interdependencies have come into focus in trying to assess linkages among banks and systemic risk. To date, such analysis has largely been based on numerical data. By contrast, this study attempts to gain further insight into bank interconnections by tappin…
The paper discusses fairness in bank stress tests, comparing various methods to address institutional differences.
Based on an empirical analysis of the network structure of the Austrian inter-bank market, we study the flow of funds through the banking network following exogenous shocks to the system. These shocks are implemented by stochastic changes in variables like interest rates, exchange rates, etc. We demonstrate that the sy…
The paper models systemic risk in European and U.S. banks using factor copulas.
Bailouts in financial networks are hard to optimize due to NP-hardness.
Study evaluates sustainability of European banks using a new model.
We use bank-level balance sheet data from 2005 to 2010 to study interactions within the banking system of five emerging countries: Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, South Africa, and Taiwan. For each country we construct a financial network based on the leverage ratio dependence between each pair of banks, and find results th…
Study assesses the impact of Basel III reforms on Bangladeshi banks.
We consider the problem of governing systemic risk in a banking system model. The banking system model consists in an initial value problem for a system of stochastic differential equations whose dependent variables are the log-monetary reserves of the banks as functions of time. The banking system model considered gen…
Commercial banks and other depository institutions in some countries are required to hold in reserve against deposits made by their customers at their Central Bank or Federal Reserve. Although some countries have been eliminated it, this requirement is useful as one of many Central Bank's regulation made to control rat…
Islamic banks being commercial entities strive to earn profit within shariah ambit. Therefore, they seem to be basing themselves upon two knowledge streams namely i) Islamic jurisprudence principles, and ii) banking principles. Islamic jurisprudence principles primarily aim at bringing shariah compliance while banking …
The negative externalities from an individual bank failure to the whole system can be huge. One of the key purposes of bank regulation is to internalize the social costs of potential bank failures via capital charges. This study proposes a method to evaluate and allocate the systemic risk to different countries/regions…
Study models systemic risks in BRICS banks under geopolitical shocks.
We propose a simple model of inter-bank borrowing and lending where the evolution of the log-monetary reserves of banks is described by a system of diffusion processes coupled through their drifts in such a way that stability of the system depends on the rate of inter-bank borrowing and lending. Systemic risk is ch…
This paper investigates two mechanisms of financial contagion that are, firstly, the correlated exposure of banks to the same source of risk, and secondly the direct exposure of banks in the interbank market. It will consider a random network of banks which are connected through the inter-bank market and will discuss t…
Central banks play a key role in promoting sustainable finance.