This paper establishes the asymptotic consistency of the {\it loss-calibrated variational Bayes} (LCVB) method. LCVB was proposed in~\cite{LaSiGh2011} as a method for approximately computing Bayesian posteriors in a `loss aware' manner. This methodology is also highly relevant in general data-driven decision-making con…
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48 results for “Asymptotic Consistency”
We consider a jump-type Cox--Ingersoll--Ross (CIR) process driven by a standard Wiener process and a subordinator, and we study asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for its growth rate. We distinguish three cases: subcritical, critical and supercritical. In the subcritical case we prove weak …
Although consistency is a minimum requirement of any estimator, little is known about consistency of the mean partition approach in consensus clustering. This contribution studies the asymptotic behavior of mean partitions. We show that under normal assumptions, the mean partition approach is consistent and asymptotic …
WSINDy algorithm proves robust to noise in identifying differential equations.
problem Identifying differential equations from noisy data.
method Weak-form sparse identification of nonlinear dynamics (WSINDy) algorithm.
result WSINDy is asymptotically consistent for a wide class of models, including Navier-Stokes and Kuramoto-Sivashinsky equations.
The study investigates the consistency of -means clustering under finite expectation assumptions.
problem Consistency of -means clustering under finite expectation assumptions.
method Investigates the conditions under which -means clustering is consistent, considering finite expectation instead of finite variance.
result Inconsistency can arise due to extreme cluster imbalance, leading to some clusters having few points.
Cluster Analysis on Locally Asymptotically Self-similar Processes with Known Number of Clustersstat.ML
We conduct cluster analysis on a class of locally asymptotically self-similar stochastic processes, which includes multifractional Brownian motion as a representative. When the true number of clusters is supposed to be known, a new covariance-based dissimilarity measure is introduced, from which we obtain the approxima…
Proof of Gaussian ML estimator consistency in linear auto-regressive models.
problem Consistency of Gaussian maximum likelihood estimator in linear auto-regressive models.
method Information-theoretic proof without stability assumptions.
result Nearly optimal non-asymptotic rates for parameter recovery.
New theory for clustering in geometric and adaptive settings.
problem Clustering in non-Euclidean spaces and adaptive parameters.
method Asymptotic theory for -means and related methods.
result Strong consistency and asymptotic limit theorems for various clustering procedures.
Study tightens bounds for interpolating noisy data using minimum l1-norm.
problem Predicting noisy data with minimum l1-norm interpolation.
method Provided matching upper and lower bounds for prediction error.
result Tight consistency up to negligible terms for .
New insights into tSNE for large datasets.
problem Limitations of tSNE in handling large datasets.
method Identified continuum limit of tSNE objective function, proposed rescaled model.
result Rescaled model has a consistent limit for large datasets.
We study asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood estimators of drift parameters for a jump-type Heston model based on continuous time observations, where the jump process can be any purely non-Gaussian Lévy process of not necessarily bounded variation with a Lévy measure concentrated on . We prove stro…
Consistent estimator derived for confounding strength in observational data.
problem Estimating confounding strength in observational data is challenging due to unobserved confounders.
method Derived and adapted a consistent estimator using tools from random matrix theory.
result The original estimator is not consistent, but an adapted one is.
Study shows robust method for estimating density ratios even with heavy contamination.
problem Estimating density ratios in the presence of heavy contamination.
method Weighted density ratio estimation (DRE) with doubly strong robustness.
result Weighted DRE achieves sparse consistency under heavy contamination.
Paper proposes robust LAD estimators for 2D sinusoidal model, proving consistency and normality.
problem Estimation of parameters in 2D sinusoidal models with outliers or heavy-tailed noise.
method Least absolute deviation (LAD) estimators for robust parameter estimation.
result Strong consistency and asymptotic normality of LAD estimators for 2D sinusoidal model parameters.
New conditions for ACD model consistency and normality.
problem Random number of durations in ACD model.
method Additional sufficient conditions for consistency and normality of QMLE.
result Finite mean of durations is required for consistency and normality.
Bayesian methods often misinterpret data and asymptotic concepts.
problem Misunderstandings in Bayesian predictive inference.
method Discussion of two specific misunderstandings.
result Consequences of misinterpretations illustrated through examples.
Novel framework for uncertainty quantification in metric spaces.
problem Uncertainty quantification in regression models with metric responses.
method Developed algorithms for large datasets, agnostic to predictive models, with asymptotic and non-asymptotic guarantees.
result Asymptotic and non-asymptotic guarantees for special cases, demonstrated in clinical applications.
The paper proves the consistency and efficiency of a volatility estimator in noisy data.
problem Proving the consistency and efficiency of a volatility estimator in the presence of microstructure noise.
method Proves asymptotic normality using Central Limit Theorem for Fourier spot volatility estimator.
result Proves consistency and asymptotic efficiency of the Fourier spot volatility estimator in noisy data.
A key challenge for modern Bayesian statistics is how to perform scalable inference of posterior distributions. To address this challenge, variational Bayes (VB) methods have emerged as a popular alternative to the classical Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. VB methods tend to be faster while achieving comparabl…
Asymptotics for The -meansstat.ML
A new -means method improves clustering accuracy and robustness.
problem Insufficient asymptotic properties in existing -means methods.
method Introducing clustering consistency and proposing a new -means method.
result The new -means method has lower clustering error rates and is more robust.
We consider the boundary rigidity problem for asymptotically hyperbolic manifolds. We show injectivity of the X-ray transform in several cases and consider the non-linear inverse problem which consists of recovering a metric from boundary measurements for the geodesic flow.
New method shows spectral clustering is consistent with theoretical guarantees.
problem Lack of theoretical support for anchor-based spectral clustering.
method Defined and analyzed a specific anchor-based algorithm.
result Theoretical consistency of the method in asymptotic settings.
A new family of penalty functions, adaptive to likelihood, is introduced for model selection in general regression models. It arises naturally through assuming certain types of prior distribution on the regression parameters. To study stability properties of the penalized maximum likelihood estimator, two types of asym…
Improved nonparametric regression with debiasing for root-n consistency.
problem Challenges in achieving root-n consistency and normal distribution for nonparametric estimators.
method Debiasing technique by adding a correction term to nonparametric estimators.
result Achieves root-n consistency and asymptotic normality.
The paper develops methods to estimate the high-dimensional efficient frontier without distributional assumptions.
problem Estimating the mean-variance efficient frontier in high-dimensional settings.
method Random matrix theory and asymptotic analysis for high-dimensional data.
result Developed consistent estimators for the mean, variance, and covariance of the efficient frontier.
The consistency of doubly robust estimators relies on consistent estimation of at least one of two nuisance regression parameters. In moderate to large dimensions, the use of flexible data-adaptive regression estimators may aid in achieving this consistency. However, -consistency of doubly robust estimators is…
For an affine two factor model, we study the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood and least squares estimators of some appearing parameters in the so-called subcritical (ergodic) case based on continuous time observations. We prove strong consistency and asymptotic normality of the estimators in question.
Corrects mismatch in consistency of nuisance estimators for doubly robust methods.
problem Mismatch in consistency of nuisance estimators in doubly robust methods.
method Calibrated debiased machine learning (calibrated DML) with isotonic regression adjustment.
result Calibrated DML yields doubly robust asymptotic normality with slower convergence of nuisance estimators.
The paper proposes methods to estimate MCMC quality with couplings, bounding Wasserstein distance.
problem Improving MCMC efficiency without sacrificing asymptotic consistency.
method Estimators based on couplings of Markov chains to assess quality of asymptotically biased sampling methods.
result Empirical upper bounds of Wasserstein distance for assessing MCMC quality.
We consider the least-square linear regression problem with regularization by the -norm, a problem usually referred to as the Lasso. In this paper, we first present a detailed asymptotic analysis of model consistency of the Lasso in low-dimensional settings. For various decays of the regularization parameter, w…
We review some developments on clustering stochastic processes and come with the conclusion that asymptotically consistent clustering algorithms can be obtained when the processes are ergodic and the dissimilarity measure satisfies the triangle inequality. Examples are provided when the processes are distribution ergod…
The paper analyzes network models with binary values and sub-Gamma noise, deriving asymptotic properties.
problem Analyzing network models with binary values and sub-Gamma noise.
method Derives asymptotic properties of network models with binary values and sub-Gamma noise.
result Established asymptotic consistency and normality of parameter estimators in network models.
A new model for sparse networks improves consistency of score estimators.
problem Statistical inference in large sparse networks.
method General pairwise comparison model with flexible parametrization.
result Maximum likelihood estimator is uniformly consistent under sparse conditions.
Improves risk and variability measures continuity and consistency.
problem Improving the continuity and consistency of risk and variability measures.
method Analyzes convex and order bounded above functionals on Frechet lattices and Orlicz spaces.
result Order-continuous, law-invariant functionals on Orlicz spaces are strongly consistent everywhere.
We consider a stable Cox--Ingersoll--Ross process driven by a standard Wiener process and a spectrally positive strictly stable Lévy process, and we study asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for its growth rate based on continuous time observations. We distinguish three cases: subcritical, c…
Let G be a finitely generated group with a given word metric. The asymptotic density of elements in G that have a particular property P is defined to be the limit, as r goes to infinity, of the proportion of elements in the ball of radius r which have the property P. We obtain a formula to compute the asymptotic densit…
Consistent Causal Inference of Group Effects in Non-Targeted Trials with Finitely Many Effect Levelscs.LG
A new method estimates treatment effects in mixed groups, improving accuracy.
problem Estimating treatment effects in mixed groups with heterogeneous responses.
method PCM (pre-cluster and merge) approach for nonparametric estimation.
result Asymptotic consistency and significant improvement in accuracy over existing methods.
New asymptotic e-values improve inference by eliminating data-dependent scaling inefficiency.
problem Data-dependent scaling inefficiency in existing asymptotic e-values.
method Drawing on Bentkus's near-optimal concentration inequalities, introduce Bentkus-type asymptotic e-values.
result Bentkus-type asymptotic e-values consistently deliver sharper inference than existing alternatives.
Subbagging estimation for big data reduces memory usage while maintaining statistical consistency.
problem Memory constraints in analyzing massive datasets.
method Randomly subsample the data, aggregate estimators from subsamples, and use incomplete U-statistics theory.
result Subbagging estimator achieves -consistency and asymptotic normality under certain conditions.
Insufficient convergence of inverse mean curvature flow on asymptotically hyperbolic manifoldsmath.DG
We construct a solution to inverse mean curvature flow on an asymptotically hyperbolic 3-manifold which does not have the convergence properties needed in order to prove a Penrose--type inequality. This contrasts sharply with the asymptotically flat case. The main idea consists in combining inverse mean curvature flow …
SIGL learns scalable graphons from graphs.
problem Estimating graphons from graphs of varying sizes.
method Combines INRs and GNNs for scalable graphon estimation.
result SIGL learns consistent graphons at arbitrary resolutions.
Feasible Invertibility Conditions for Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Observation-Driven Modelsq-fin.ST
Invertibility conditions for observation-driven time series models often fail to be guaranteed in empirical applications. As a result, the asymptotic theory of maximum likelihood and quasi-maximum likelihood estimators may be compromised. We derive considerably weaker conditions that can be used in practice to ensure t…
Optimal tuning for estimating ECC in proportional asymptotics.
problem Estimating Expected Conditional Covariance (ECC) under proportional asymptotics.
method Debiased ridge regression estimators for nuisance functions, sample splitting strategies, and asymptotic variance analysis.
result Prediction-optimal tuning parameters may not minimize asymptotic variance of ECC estimator.
Optimal Bayesian feature selection (OBFS) is a multivariate supervised screening method designed from the ground up for biomarker discovery. In this work, we prove that Gaussian OBFS is strongly consistent under mild conditions, and provide rates of convergence for key posteriors in the framework. These results are of …
We consider the at-the-money strike derivative of implied volatility as the maturity tends to zero. Our main results quantify the behavior of the slope for infinite activity exponential Lévy models including a Brownian component. As auxiliary results, we obtain asymptotic expansions of short maturity at-the-money digit…
The paper compares theoretical and empirical performance of imputation methods for missing data.
problem Missing data in real-world datasets.
method Contrast of theoretical and empirical imputation methods for prediction.
result Mean-imputation is asymptotically optimal for prediction, while mode-imputation is sub-optimal.
Refined scattering diagrams and theta functions from asymptotic analysis of Maurer-Cartan equationsmath.AG
We further develop the asymptotic analytic approach to the study of scattering diagrams. We do so by analyzing the asymptotic behavior of Maurer-Cartan elements of a differential graded Lie algebra constructed from a (not-necessarily tropical) monoid-graded Lie algebra. In this framework, we give alternative differenti…
Random forests have proven to be reliable predictive algorithms in many application areas. Not much is known, however, about the statistical properties of random forests. Several authors have established conditions under which their predictions are consistent, but these results do not provide practical estimates of ran…