The paper improves asymmetric causality tests by addressing inefficiencies and statistical significance issues.
problem Inefficiencies and statistical significance issues in asymmetric causality tests.
method Improved asymmetric causality tests via partial cumulative sums for positive and negative components, explicitly testing differences between causal parameters.
result Efficiently tested hypotheses on asymmetric causal interaction between financial markets.
Study uncovers new phase transitions in asymmetric causal inference scenarios.
problem Understanding typical phase transitions in asymmetric causal inference.
method Combining Causal inference (C-inf) and Low-rank recovery (LRR) with Random duality - Free probability theory (RDT-FPT).
result Discovering a doubling low-rankness phenomenon in asymmetric scenarios.
The paper finds that bear markets cause recessions and bull markets cause expansions, with bull markets having a stronger causal effect.
problem Understanding the asymmetric causal relationships between market conditions and economic cycles.
method Asymmetric causality tests using partial sums of positive and negative market components, with bootstrap simulations and leverage adjustments.
result Bear markets cause recessions and bull markets cause expansions, with bull markets having a stronger causal effect.
Explaining AI systems is fundamental both to the development of high performing models and to the trust placed in them by their users. The Shapley framework for explainability has strength in its general applicability combined with its precise, rigorous foundation: it provides a common, model-agnostic language for AI e…
Develops a model for causal discovery in path spaces.
problem Discover causal relationships in path spaces using asymmetric independence.
method Theory linking E-separation in DMGs to conditional independence in SDEs, proving global Markov property, characterizing equivalence classes of graphs.
result Each equivalence class of graphs has a greatest element as a parsimonious representation, which can be identified from data.
New method identifies causal effects with categorical unobserved confounders.
problem Estimating causal effects in the presence of unobserved confounders.
method Mixture learning and tensor decomposition for consistent estimation.
result Causal effects are identifiable with categorical unobserved confounders under suitable conditions.
The relationship between statistical dependency and causality lies at the heart of all statistical approaches to causal inference. Recent results in the ChaLearn cause-effect pair challenge have shown that causal directionality can be inferred with good accuracy also in Markov indistinguishable configurations thanks to…
SKI speeds up Toeplitz Neural Networks by avoiding explicit decay bias and using frequency response.
problem Efficiently compute and update Toeplitz matrices in neural networks.
method Sparse plus low-rank decomposition, asymmetric SKI, frequency response modeling.
result Achieved significant speedup with minimal performance loss.
We introduce a framework to infer lead-lag networks between the states of elements of complex systems, determined at different timescales. As such networks encode the causal structure of a system, infering lead-lag networks for many pairs of timescales provides a global picture of the mutual influence between timescale…
New method reveals true causal functions in nonlinear time series, not just scores.
problem Causal discovery in nonlinear time series often uses scalar edge scores, which hide true function-valued causal influence.
method Formalized function-valued causal influence for additive, contribution-decomposable architectures. Introduced a practical framework based on ICE for estimating causal response functions directly from trained models.
result Edges with indistinguishable scalar scores can exhibit qualitatively different functional behaviors.
A new algorithm infers causal networks from data using topological thresholds.
problem Inferring causal networks from data.
method Two methods for determining topological thresholds: one to leave no disconnected nodes, the other to find a causal large connected component.
result The novel algorithm is faster and more accurate than the PC algorithm.
Causal inference improves heterophilic graph learning.
problem Capturing asymmetric node dependencies in graph learning.
method Intervention-based causal inference for graph structure learning.
result CausalMP achieves superior link prediction performance.
Information transfer between time series is calculated by using the asymmetric information-theoretic measure known as transfer entropy. Geweke's autoregressive formulation of Granger causality is used to find linear transfer entropy, and Schreiber's general, non-parametric, information-theoretic formulation is used to …
Framework combines HMM and MTGCN for spatiotemporal causal inference in clinical data.
problem Challenges in observing direct treatment effects in clinical domains.
method Integrates Hidden Markov Model and Multi Task and Multi Graph Convolutional Network for spatiotemporal data.
result Advances predictive causal inference by structurally adapting to spatiotemporal complexities.
Study of geometric analysis on asymmetric metric spaces, including heat flow and Sobolev spaces.
problem Analysis of geometric properties on asymmetric metric measure spaces.
method Introduction of upper gradients, q-Laplacian, and q-heat flow in asymmetric settings. result Extension of concepts from symmetric to asymmetric metric measure spaces.
Develops a new framework for conditional independence.
problem Generalizing previous notions of conditional independence.
method Introduces transition probability spaces and transitional random variables.
result Satisfies all desired relevance relations except symmetry.
New approach improves linear-time attention for language models.
problem Challenges of quadratic attention in long-sequence modelling, especially for discrete data.
method Reinterpreting linear attention through latent probabilistic graphical models, introducing asymmetric structure and recurrent parameterisation.
result Our model achieves competitive performance and outperforms existing linear attention variants on language modelling benchmarks.
New metrics for Anosov representations defined from Thurston's asymmetric metrics.
problem Defining metrics for Anosov representations.
method Generalizing Thurston's asymmetric metric to Anosov representations.
result Provides a (possibly asymmetric) Finsler distance in some cases.
We derive the exact form of the eigenvalue spectra of correlation matrices derived from a set of time-shifted, finite Brownian random walks (time-series). These matrices can be seen as random, real, asymmetric matrices with a special structure superimposed due to the time-shift. We demonstrate that the associated eigen…
Generalizes Thurston's asymmetric metric to flat metrics.
problem Defining an asymmetric metric on flat metrics.
method Defined an asymmetric metric on the space of unit-area flat metrics.
result Discussed two different topologies from the asymmetry.
This study examines asymmetric cross-correlations in cryptocurrency markets using fractal analysis.
problem Exploring asymmetric multifractal cross-correlations in cryptocurrency markets.
method Fractal analysis and MF-ADCCA method to investigate asymmetric volatility dynamics.
result Cross-correlations are stronger in downtrend markets than in uptrend markets for maturing BTC and ETH.
Theoretical justification for asymmetric actor-critic algorithms in reinforcement learning.
problem Lack of precise theoretical justification for asymmetric actor-critic algorithms in reinforcement learning.
method Adapting a finite-time convergence analysis to the asymmetric actor-critic setting with linear function approximators.
result A finite-time bound reveals that the asymmetric critic eliminates aliasing errors in the agent state.
This work presents deep asymmetric networks with a set of node-wise variant activation functions. The nodes' sensitivities are affected by activation function selections such that the nodes with smaller indices become increasingly more sensitive. As a result, features learned by the nodes are sorted by the node indices…
We consider the problem of designing locality sensitive hashes (LSH) for inner product similarity, and of the power of asymmetric hashes in this context. Shrivastava and Li argue that there is no symmetric LSH for the problem and propose an asymmetric LSH based on different mappings for query and database points. Howev…
New asymmetric kernel methods improve feature learning.
problem Improving feature learning with asymmetric kernels.
method Coupled covariance eigenproblem and Nyström method.
result Empirical evaluations show benefits of KSVD.
The article confirms two quasi-alternating surgeries for 9 asymmetric L-space knots.
problem Understanding quasi-alternating surgeries on asymmetric L-space knots.
method Using the Montesinos trick to confirm known surgeries.
result Confirmation of two quasi-alternating surgeries for each of 9 asymmetric L-space knots.
We study historical correlations and lead-lag relationships between individual stock risk (volatility of daily stock returns) and market risk (volatility of daily returns of a market-representative portfolio) in the US stock market. We consider the cross-correlation functions averaged over all stocks, using 71 stock pr…
Asymmetric expansion preserves convexity in hyperbolic geometry.
problem Maintaining convexity in hyperbolic geometry under asymmetric expansions.
method Generalizing earlier results on radial expansion to asymmetric expansion.
result Asymmetric expansion of hyperbolic convex sets remains convex.
We propose Deep Asymmetric Multitask Feature Learning (Deep-AMTFL) which can learn deep representations shared across multiple tasks while effectively preventing negative transfer that may happen in the feature sharing process. Specifically, we introduce an asymmetric autoencoder term that allows reliable predictors fo…
In this paper we show how the study of asymmetric R&D alliances, that are those between young and small firms and large and MNEs firms for knowledge exploration and/or exploitation, requires the adoption of a coopetitive framework which consider both collaboration and competition. We draw upon the literature on asymmet…
Bayesian VI copula models capture asymmetric intraday equity dependence.
problem Modeling asymmetric and extreme tail dependence in financial data.
method Bayesian variational inference for skew-t copula models in high dimensions.
result The copula captures substantial heterogeneity in asymmetric dependence over equity pairs and time.
This work describes compactifications of metric spaces and vector spaces using asymmetric norms.
problem Compactifying metric spaces and vector spaces using asymmetric norms.
method Nonstandard methods, ultrapowers of the spaces at hand.
result Polyhedral compactifications of vector spaces with stratified structure.
Extends multidimensional scaling to analyze three-way asymmetric proximities.
problem Analyzing asymmetric and three-way proximities in a Euclidean space.
method Unified h-plot methodology for three-way asymmetric proximities, including symmetric and conditional frameworks.
result Identification of archetypal profiles and clustering structures.
Extends metric to Margulis spacetimes for convex properties.
problem No specific problem stated; extends metric.
method Extends Thurston's asymmetric metric to Margulis spacetimes and proves convex properties.
result Established convex properties of the extended metric.
In recent years, correntropy has been seccessfully applied to robust adaptive filtering to eliminate adverse effects of impulsive noises or outliers. Correntropy is generally defined as the expectation of a Gaussian kernel between two random variables. This definition is reasonable when the error between the two random…
This paper introduces constrained mixtures for continuous distributions, characterized by a mixture of distributions where each distribution has a shape similar to the base distribution and disjoint domains. This new concept is used to create generalized asymmetric versions of the Laplace and normal distributions, whic…
Enhances reinforcement learning with partial state information.
problem Improving learning under partial observability with limited privileged signals.
method Introduced informed asymmetric actor-critic framework that uses arbitrary state-dependent privileged signals.
result Unbiased policy gradient estimates with arbitrary privileged signals.
This paper studies gradient flows in asymmetric metric spaces and proves existence results.
problem Investigating gradient flows in asymmetric metric spaces.
method Discrete approximation and natural convexity assumption on potential function.
result Existence of curves of maximal slope in asymmetric metric spaces.
Paper defines saddle points in asymmetric Dynkin games using martingale theory.
problem Tackles saddle point conditions in asymmetric Dynkin games with partial information.
method Uses martingale theory to identify super and submartingales related to equilibrium payoffs.
result Characterizes saddle point strategies in terms of equilibrium payoffs' dynamics and Doob-Meyer decompositions.
Modified asymmetric hidden Markov models for time series with autoregressive components.
problem Dynamic relationships between variables in time series data.
method Introducing an asymmetric autoregressive component to recent asymmetric hidden Markov models.
result The model can choose the optimal autoregressive order for better likelihood.
Mixtures of multivariate contaminated shifted asymmetric Laplace distributions are developed for handling asymmetric clusters in the presence of outliers (also referred to as bad points herein). In addition to the parameters of the related non-contaminated mixture, for each (asymmetric) cluster, our model has one param…
In this paper, we propose a novel asymmetric ε-insensitive pinball loss function for quantile estimation. There exists some pinball loss functions which attempt to incorporate the ε-insensitive zone approach in it but, they fail to extend the ε-insensitive approach for quantile estimation in true sense. The propo…
Study proves value of non-Markovian games with partial, asymmetric info.
problem Value of non-Markovian Dynkin games with partial and asymmetric information.
method Probabilistic and functional analytic approach based on Sion's min-max theorem.
result Existence of optimal strategies for both players in randomised stopping times.
We highlight several analogies between the Finsler (infinitesimal) properties of Teichmüller's metric and Thurston's asymmetric metric on Teichmüller space. Thurston defined his asymmetric metric in analogy with Teichmüllers' metric, as a solution to an extremal problem, which consists, in the case of the asymmetric me…
Innovative extensions to option pricing models using asymmetric Brownian motion and random walk approaches.
problem Capturing empirical phenomena like return skewness, heavy tails, and volatility asymmetry in option pricing models.
method Developing the Geometric Asymmetric Brownian Motion (GABM) within the Bachelier--Black--Scholes--Merton framework.
result Deriving closed-form option pricing formulas and a discrete-time binomial tree algorithm that converges to the GABM limit.
Online Active Learning (OAL) aims to manage unlabeled datastream by selectively querying the label of data. OAL is applicable to many real-world problems, such as anomaly detection in health-care and finance. In these problems, there are two key challenges: the query budget is often limited; the ratio between classes i…
Markov boundary improves tabular prediction but not as expected.
problem Improving tabular prediction using the Markov boundary.
method Evaluation on a synthetic SCM benchmark with feature counts from 40 to 1000.
result Restricting a regressor to the Markov boundary often improves prediction, but existing discovery and training pipelines do not fully exploit this.
This paper applies Thompson Sampling to asymmetric α-stable bandits for financial and wireless data.
problem Optimizing exploration-exploitation in multi-armed bandits with asymmetric α-stable distributions. method Thompson Sampling applied to unknown asymmetric α-stable reward distributions. result Demonstrates effectiveness of Thompson Sampling for asymmetric α-stable bandits.