Physics methods improve derivatives pricing accuracy and efficiency.
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Under risk, Arrow-Debreu equilibria can be implemented as Radner equilibria by continuous trading of few long-lived securities. We show that this result generically fails if there is Knightian uncertainty in the volatility. Implementation is only possible if all discounted net trades of the equilibrium allocation are m…
We consider an economy where agents' consumption sets are given by the cone of non-negative measurable functions and whose preferences are defined by additive utilities satisfying the Inada conditions. We extend to this setting the results in \citet{Dana:93} on the existence and uniqueness of Arrow-Deb…
The large majority of risk-sharing transactions involve few agents, each of whom can heavily influence the structure and the prices of securities. This paper proposes a game where agents' strategic sets consist of all possible sharing securities and pricing kernels that are consistent with Arrow-Debreu sharing rules. F…
We consider a power utility maximization problem with additive habits in a framework of discrete-time markets and random endowments. For certain classes of incomplete markets, we establish estimates for the optimal consumption stream in terms of the aggregate state price density, investigate the asymptotic behaviour of…
The paper reviews historical and modern approaches to asset pricing probability measures.
It is shown that absence of arbitrage opportunity in financial markets is a particular case of existence of uncertainty in decision system. Absence of arbitrage opportunity is considered in the sense of the Arrow-Debreu model of financial market with a riskless asset, while uncertainty (or ambiguity) is defined on the …
We propose a simple dynamical model of the formation of production networks among monopolistically competitive firms. The model subsumes the standard general equilibrium approach à la Arrow-Debreu but displays a wide set of potential dynamic behaviors. It robustly reproduces key stylized facts of firms' demographics. O…
This paper provides an attempt to formalize Hayek's notion of spontaneous order within the framework of the Arrow-Debreu economy. Our study shows that if a competitive economy is enough fair and free, then a spontaneous economic order shall emerge in long-run competitive equilibria so that social members together occup…
Nonparametric pricing and hedging of exotic derivatives using signature payoffs.
Our study shows that many firms would accumulate at zero output level (namely, Bankruptcy status) if a perfectly competitive market reaches full employment (namely, those people who should obtain employment have obtained employment). As a result, appearance of economic crisis is determined by two points; that is, (a). …
We provide a lean, non-technical exposition on the pricing of path-dependent and European-style derivatives in the Cox-Ross-Rubinstein (CRR) pricing model. The main tool used in the paper for cleaning up the reasoning is applying static hedging arguments. This can be accomplished by taking various routes through some a…
A quantum financial approach to finite games of strategy is addressed, with an extension of Nash's theorem to the quantum financial setting, allowing for an entanglement of games of strategy with two-period financial allocation problems that are expressed in terms of: the consumption plans' optimization problem in pure…
We consider a nonlinear extension of the generalized network flow model, with the flow leaving an arc being an increasing concave function of the flow entering it, as proposed by Truemper and Shigeno. We give a polynomial time combinatorial algorithm for solving corresponding flow maximization problems, finding an epsi…
The relationship between expectation and price is commonly established with two principles: no-arbitrage, which asserts that both maps are positive; and equivalence, which asserts that the maps share the same null events. Constructed from the Arrow-Debreu securities, classical and quantum models of economics are then d…
These notes discuss several topics in neoclassical economics and alternatives, with an aim of reviewing fundamental issues in modeling economic markets. I start with a brief, non-rigorous summary of the basic Arrow-Debreu model of general equilibrium, as well as its extensions to include time and contingency. I then ar…
We consider a financial contract that delivers a single cash flow given by the terminal value of a cumulative gains process. The problem of modelling and pricing such an asset and associated derivatives is important, for example, in the determination of optimal insurance claims reserve policies, and in the pricing of r…
The argument that the alarming level of Gini coefficient is 0.4 is very popular, especially in the media industry, all around the world for a long time. Although the 0.4 standard is widely accepted, the derivation of the value lacks rigid theoretical foundations. In fact, to the best of our knowledge, it is not based o…
MCD reformulates conditional density estimation into binary classification.
A new model for estimating multivariate densities efficiently.
Paper proposes MMC to avoid high-density bias in clustering.
New method minimizes robust density power-based divergences for general parametric densities.
Modes and ridges of the probability density function behind observed data are useful geometric features. Mode-seeking clustering assigns cluster labels by associating data samples with the nearest modes, and estimation of density ridges enables us to find lower-dimensional structures hidden in data. A key technical cha…
Normalizing flows improve density estimation from noisy data.
Study exact minimax rates for density estimation over convex classes, extending previous work.
New method uses SoS densities and α-divergences for efficient sequential transport maps.
The volume density of a hyperbolic link is defined as the ratio of hyperbolic volume to crossing number. We study its properties and a closely-related invariant called the determinant density. It is known that the sets of volume densities and determinant densities of links are dense in the interval [0,v_{oct}]. We cons…
TAKDE optimizes kernel density estimation for real-time dynamic processes.
Most density-based clustering methods largely rely on how well the underlying density is estimated. However, density estimation itself is also a challenging problem, especially the determination of the kernel bandwidth. A large bandwidth could lead to the over-smoothed density estimation in which the number of density …
Optimizes kernel density ratios for better predictions and information measures.
Study finds a linear lower bound on conformal dimension for random hyperbolic groups.
Chia and Nakano (2009) introduced the concept of M-decomposability of probability densities in one-dimension. In this paper, we generalize M-decomposability to any dimension. We prove that all elliptical unimodal densities are M-undecomposable. We also derive an inequality to show that it is better to represent an M-de…
Quantum method improves neural density estimation in high dimensions.
Roundtrip uses deep generative models for flexible density estimation.
Study on flow-based methods for capturing tail properties in densities.
Log-density gradient estimation is a fundamental statistical problem and possesses various practical applications such as clustering and measuring non-Gaussianity. A naive two-step approach of first estimating the density and then taking its log-gradient is unreliable because an accurate density estimate does not neces…
The study proves optimal isoperimetric regions in manifolds with density.
Fully augmented links have dense volume densities but discrete in certain ranges.
Explains BV Laplacian on half-densities in simple terms.
Defines hierarchical clustering axioms for various densities.
The paper analyzes kNN density estimation's convergence rates under different conditions.
Estimation of density derivatives is a versatile tool in statistical data analysis. A naive approach is to first estimate the density and then compute its derivative. However, such a two-step approach does not work well because a good density estimator does not necessarily mean a good density-derivative estimator. In t…
Develops spherical density-equalizing maps for closed surfaces.
Adapts RKHS methods to estimate density ratios with optimal error.
Method uses normalizing flows to efficiently sample from complex target densities.
DADC algorithm improves clustering for data with varying density.
Develops a new density ratio estimator for causal inference.
New density estimator from Markov Chains outperforms KDE.