arXiv research

Study arbitrage-free models in financial markets under uncertainty.

Novel bounds improve TD learning consistency in RL.

When the underlying stock price is a strict local martingale process under an equivalent local martingale measure, Black-Scholes PDE associated with an European option may have multiple solutions. In this paper, we study an approximation for the smallest hedging price of such an European option. Our results show that a…

In the paper, the martingales and super-martingales relative to a convex set of equivalent measures are systematically studied. The notion of local regular super-martingale relative to a convex set of equivalent measures is introduced and the necessary and sufficient conditions of the local regularity of it in the disc…

The paper studies projections of asset prices under equivalent martingale measures.

Develops a martingale expansion for stochastic volatility models.

We compute and discuss the Esscher martingale transform for exponential processes, the Esscher martingale transform for linear processes, the minimal martingale measure, the class of structure preserving martingale measures, and the minimum entropy martingale measure for stochastic volatility models of Ornstein-Uhlenbe…

The paper models asset prices using Wiener chaos expansions for efficient calibration to implied volatility surfaces.

Existence proved for $q$-Bass martingales with specific marginals.

Extends martingale Schrödinger bridge to arbitrary dimensions and characterizes it.

In the framework of bilateral Gamma stock models we seek for adequate option pricing measures, which have an economic interpretation and allow numerical calculations of option prices. Our investigations encompass Esscher transforms, minimal entropy martingale measures, $p$-optimal martingale measures, bilateral Esscher…

Optimizing option exercise policies based on variance optimal martingale measure can lead to unappealing results.

Paper analyzes convergence of two time-scale stochastic approximation using martingale approach.

Deviation inequalities for stochastic approximation methods.

Dual martingales improve primal optimal stopping problem efficiency.

This papers addresses the stock option pricing problem in a continuous time market model where there are two stochastic tradable assets, and one of them is selected as a numéraire. It is shown that the presence of arbitrarily small stochastic deviations in the evolution of the numéraire process causes significant chang…

In the paper, the martingales and super-martingales relative to a regular set of measures are systematically studied. The notion of local regular super-martingale relative to a set of equivalent measures is introduced and the necessary and sufficient conditions of the local regularity of it in the discrete case are fou…

We derive integral tests for the existence and absence of arbitrage in a financial market with one risky asset which is either modeled as stochastic exponential of an Ito process or a positive diffusion with Markov switching. In particular, we derive conditions for the existence of the minimal martingale measure. We al…

The study examines markets with multiple numéraires and finds equivalent martingale measures.

In credit risk literature, the existence of an equivalent martingale measure is stipulated as one of the main assumptions in the hazard process model. Here we show by construction the existence of a measure that turns the discounted stock and defaultable bond prices into martingales by identifying a no-arbitrage condit…

We investigate exponential stock models driven by tempered stable processes, which constitute a rich family of purely discontinuous Lévy processes. With a view of option pricing, we provide a systematic analysis of the existence of equivalent martingale measures, under which the model remains analytically tractable. Th…

Transform drift of diffusions without knowing if measure change is a martingale.

Study uses viscosity solutions to solve control problems involving measure-valued martingales.

Kuroda and Nagai \cite{KN} state that the factor process in the Risk Sensitive control Asset Management (RSCAM) is stable under the Föllmer-Schweizer minimal martingale measure . Fleming and Sheu \cite{FS} and more recently Föllmer and Schweizer \cite{FoS} have observed that the role of the minimal martingale measure i…

We consider a general class of diffusion-based models and show that, even in the absence of an Equivalent Local Martingale Measure, the financial market may still be viable, in the sense that strong forms of arbitrage are excluded and portfolio optimisation problems can be meaningfully solved. Relying partly on the rec…

New method for non-arbitrage pricing in risky assets.

New deep learning architecture learns martingales efficiently.

Deep Hedging removes drift for cleaner option pricing.

Study optimal semistatic portfolios using martingale Schrödinger bridges.

We study strict local martingales via h-transforms, a method which first appeared in Delbaen-Schachermayer. We show that strict local martingales arise whenever there is a consistent family of change of measures where the two measures are not equivalent to one another. Several old and new strict local martingales are i…

As a crucial problem in statistics is to decide whether additional variables are needed in a regression model. We propose a new multivariate test to investigate the conditional mean independence of Y given X conditioning on some known effect Z, i.e., E(Y|X, Z) = E(Y|Z). Assuming that E(Y|Z) and Z are linearly related, …

The main result of this paper that a martingale evolution can be chosen for Libor such that all the Libor interest rates have a common market measure; the drift is fixed such that each Libor has the martingale property. Libor is described using a field theory model, and a common measure is seen to be emerge naturally f…

We develop a technique based on Malliavin-Bismut calculus ideas, for asymptotic expansion of dual control problems arising in connection with exponential indifference valuation of claims, and with minimisation of relative entropy, in incomplete markets. The problems involve optimisation of a functional of Brownian path…

We prove that, for locally bounded processes, absence of arbitrage opportunities of the first kind is equivalent to the existence of a dominating local martingale measure. This is related to and motivated by results from the theory of filtration enlargements.

In the context of jump-diffusion market models we construct examples that satisfy the weaker no-arbitrage condition of NA1 (NUPBR), but not NFLVR. We show that in these examples the only candidate for the density process of an equivalent local martingale measure is a supermartingale that is not a martingale, not even a…

Entropy-minimal measure calculated for a stochastic volatility model.

We consider implied volatilities in asset pricing models, where the discounted underlying is a strict local martingale under the pricing measure. Our main result gives an asymptotic expansion of the right wing of the implied volatility smile and shows that the strict local martingale property can be determined from thi…

We provide a new characterization of mean-variance hedging strategies in a general semimartingale market. The key point is the introduction of a new probability measure $P^{\star}$ which turns the dynamic asset allocation problem into a myopic one. The minimal martingale measure relative to $P^{\star}$ coincides with t…

For several decades, the no-arbitrage (NA) condition and the martingale measures have played a major role in the financial asset's pricing theory. We propose a new approach for estimating the super-replication cost based on convex duality instead of martingale measures duality: Our prices will be expressed using Fenche…

New approach shows continuity and compactness of martingale measures.

In a model independent discrete time financial market, we discuss the richness of the family of martingale measures in relation to different notions of Arbitrage, generated by a class $\mathcal{S}$ of significant sets, which we call Arbitrage de la classe $\mathcal{S}$. The choice of $\mathcal{S}$ reflects into the int…

Extends specific relative entropy to multidimensional continuous martingales.

The problem of completeness of the forward rate based bond market model driven by a Lévy process under the physical measure is examined. The incompleteness of market in the case when the Lévy measure has a density function is shown. The required elements of the theory of stochastic integration over the compensated jump…

Geometric Bass martingales linked to Brownian motion and geometric Brownian motion.

Volterra square-root process boundary behavior and martingale measures

Fast pricing of American-style options has been a difficult problem since it was first introduced to financial markets in 1970s, especially when the underlying stocks' prices follow some jump-diffusion processes. In this paper, we propose a new algorithm to generate tight upper bounds on the Bermudan option price witho…

We study exponential Levy models with change-point which is a random variable, independent from initial Levy processes. On canonical space with initially enlarged filtration we describe all equivalent martingale measures for change-point model and we give the conditions for the existence of f-divergence minimal equival…

Unified framework for PE and TD methods in continuous time and space.