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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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150299449598 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Approximate Bayesian Priors

New diagnostic tool for assessing approximate Bayesian inference.

problem Assessing the trustworthiness of approximate Bayesian inference.
method Reframe the problem in terms of incompatible conditional distributions and use Gibbs priors.
result The diagnostic tool can discover the inductive bias in various Bayesian models and approximations.

Fast Bayesian inference with adaptable priors for real-time applications.

problem Intractable exact posterior computation limits Bayesian inference's adoption.
method Distribution Transformer architecture that learns mappings between priors and posteriors.
result Significant reduction in computation time from minutes to milliseconds.

We derive and approximate the conjugate prior of Dirichlet and beta distributions.

problem Intractability of conjugate prior for Dirichlet and beta distributions.
method Derive conjugate prior, define closed-form approximation, and provide algorithm.
result Closed-form approximation enables fully tractable Bayesian treatment.

Some machine learning applications require continual learning - where data comes in a sequence of datasets, each is used for training and then permanently discarded. From a Bayesian perspective, continual learning seems straightforward: Given the model posterior one would simply use this as the prior for the next task.…

2019-02-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Derives TAP approximation for Bayesian linear regression.

problem Log-normalizing constant of posterior distribution in high-dimensional linear regression.
method Variational representation and Thouless-Anderson-Palmer approximation.
result Proves TAP approximation for spherical prior in proportional asymptotic regime.

Bayesian neural networks use ridgelet prior for uncertainty quantification.

problem Combining strong predictive performance with uncertainty quantification in Bayesian neural networks.
method Proposes a ridgelet prior that approximates a Gaussian process covariance function in the output space of the network.
result Establishes universality property allowing Bayesian neural networks to approximate any Gaussian process.

A new method maps high-dimensional Bayesian inverse problems to lower dimensions.

problem High-dimensional Bayesian inverse problems with complex prior information.
method Data-driven VAE prior and KRnet map for posterior approximation in latent space.
result Efficiently reduces computational cost and approximates posterior distributions.

Bayesian priors offer a compact yet general means of incorporating domain knowledge into many learning tasks. The correctness of the Bayesian analysis and inference, however, largely depends on accuracy and correctness of these priors. PAC-Bayesian methods overcome this problem by providing bounds that hold regardless …

2012-02-14abs ↗pdf ↗

New theory for BNNs with Gaussian priors achieves optimal posterior concentration rates.

problem Lack of theoretical results for BNNs with Gaussian priors.
method New approximation theory for non-sparse DNNs with bounded parameters.
result BNNs with non-sparse general priors can achieve near-minimax optimal posterior concentration rates.

GPNs use unlabeled data to estimate uncertainty in Bayesian problems.

problem Limited training data in high-dimensional problems.
method Generative Posterior Networks (GPNs) that approximate the posterior distribution using unlabeled data.
result GPNs improve epistemic uncertainty estimation and scalability.

Proposes a new method to approximate Bayesian predictive uncertainty.

problem Bayesian uncertainty quantification in model predictions.
method Self-supervised learning approach to approximate posterior predictive distribution.
result SSLA and ASSLA outperform classical Laplace approximations in predictive calibration.

A new method for Bayesian neural networks using probabilistic backpropagation.

problem Approximating posterior distributions in Bayesian neural networks.
method Variational Expectation Propagation (VEP) with probabilistic backpropagation.
result Efficient algorithm for approximate integration over posterior distributions.

Informative Bayesian priors are often difficult to elicit, and when this is the case, modelers usually turn to noninformative or objective priors. However, objective priors such as the Jeffreys and reference priors are not tractable to derive for many models of interest. We address this issue by proposing techniques fo…

2017-04-04abs ↗pdf ↗

The explore{exploit dilemma is one of the central challenges in Reinforcement Learning (RL). Bayesian RL solves the dilemma by providing the agent with information in the form of a prior distribution over environments; however, full Bayesian planning is intractable. Planning with the mean MDP is a common myopic approxi…

2012-03-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Study shows prior Lipschitz continuity can improve adversarial robustness of Bayesian Neural Networks.

problem Improving adversarial robustness of Bayesian Neural Networks.
method Analysis of i.i.d., zero-mean Gaussian priors and posteriors approximated via mean-field variational inference.
result Adversarial robustness is sensitive to the prior variance.

Bayesian neural networks approximate Student-t processes in the infinite-width limit.

problem Modeling uncertainty in neural networks with greater flexibility.
method Extending asymptotic properties of Gaussian processes to Student-t processes in the infinite-width limit of BNNs.
result Posterior BNNs converge to Student-t processes in the infinite-width limit.

The paper proposes a method to improve Bayesian inference for periodic data using data-driven priors.

problem Efficiency in approximating posterior distribution in models with periodicity.
method Construct a prior distribution from data using a Gaussian process with a periodic kernel, approximated using adaptive importance sampling.
result The proposed method improves the marginal posterior distribution of the period parameter.

A new method learns priors for Bayesian optimisation to improve performance.

problem Bayesian optimisation tasks often assume strong similarity, which is violated in many cases.
method Replace strong similarity assumption with shape similarity, learn priors for hyperparameters.
result PLeBO and prior transfer find good inputs in fewer evaluations.

Unified framework for Bayesian PDE-constrained inversion using physics-informed neural networks.

problem Incorporating prior distributions in function space into Bayesian PINN-based inversion.
method Functional-prior-based approaches (fpBPINN) to Bayesian PDE-constrained inversion using physics-informed neural networks (PINNs). Two complementary approaches: FPI-BPINN and fParVI-PINN.
result Accurate estimation of posterior distributions in seismic traveltime tomography and Darcy-flow permeability inversion.

Enhances RL with function approximation, improving regret bounds.

problem Improving exploration in reinforcement learning with function approximation.
method Prior-dependent Bayesian regret bound for PSRL with linear mixture MDPs, using value-targeted model learning and variance reduction.
result Established an upper bound of O(dH3TlogT){\mathcal{O}}(d\sqrt{H^3 T \log T}) for PSRL.

Variational Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) perform variational inference over weights, but it is difficult to specify meaningful priors and approximate posteriors in a high-dimensional weight space. We introduce functional variational Bayesian neural networks (fBNNs), which maximize an Evidence Lower BOund (ELBO) defi…

2019-03-14abs ↗pdf ↗

In the Bayesian approach to structure learning of graphical models, the equivalent sample size (ESS) in the Dirichlet prior over the model parameters was recently shown to have an important effect on the maximum-a-posteriori estimate of the Bayesian network structure. In our first contribution, we theoretically analyze…

2012-06-13abs ↗pdf ↗

This work tackles the challenge of Bayesian deep learning by proposing a new framework for matching Gaussian process priors with neural network parameters.

problem The challenge of specifying priors over neural network parameters, which affects the induced functional prior and is uncontrolled.
method The approach involves defining functional priors using Gaussian processes and matching these priors with the functional prior of neural networks through the minimization of Wasserstein distance.
result The proposed framework offers systematic performance improvements over alternative priors and approximate Bayesian deep learning approaches.

BI-EqNO improves Bayesian inference with flexible neural operators.

problem Inaccurate estimation of marginal likelihoods in approximate Bayesian methods.
method Equivariant neural operator framework for generalized approximate Bayesian inference.
result BI-EqNO enhances both deterministic and stochastic approaches to Bayesian inference.

Bayesian deep learning uses function-space priors to improve model uncertainty and robustness.

problem Bayesian deep learning struggles with model-specific weight-space priors that are hard to interpret and specify.
method Apply a Dirichlet prior in predictive space and perform approximate function-space variational inference.
result The approach improves uncertainty quantification, scalability, and adversarial robustness in large-scale image classification.

GABI learns geometry from diverse systems to improve Bayesian inference.

problem Bayesian inversion of physical systems with varying geometries.
method Geometric Autoencoders for Bayesian Inversion (GABI) learns geometry-aware priors from large datasets.
result GABI yields comparable predictive accuracy to deterministic methods and well-calibrated uncertainty quantification.

We develop a scoring and classification procedure based on the PAC-Bayesian approach and the AUC (Area Under Curve) criterion. We focus initially on the class of linear score functions. We derive PAC-Bayesian non-asymptotic bounds for two types of prior for the score parameters: a Gaussian prior, and a spike-and-slab p…

2014-10-07abs ↗pdf ↗

New method for density estimation without approximating posterior distributions.

problem Challenges in non-smooth data distributions for Bayesian density estimation.
method Autoregressive likelihood decomposition and Gaussian process prior in a quasi-Bayesian framework.
result Achieves state-of-the-art results in small-data regimes.

Existing Bayesian treatments of neural networks are typically characterized by weak prior and approximate posterior distributions according to which all the weights are drawn independently. Here, we consider a richer prior distribution in which units in the network are represented by latent variables, and the weights b…

2018-10-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Wide BNNs with odd activations fail to approximate data under mean-field inference.

problem Theoretical limitations of mean-field variational inference in wide, deep Bayesian neural networks.
method Analysis of mean-field variational inference in fully-connected BNNs with odd activation functions and Gaussian likelihood.
result The optimal mean-field variational posterior predictive distribution converges to the prior predictive distribution as network width increases.

Bayesian Tensor Network combines prior and data likelihood for efficient prediction and parameter estimation.

problem Overfitting and poor performance in Tensor Network models.
method Introduce prior distribution, use Laplace approximation for posterior predictive distribution, and propose stable initialization for parameter estimation.
result Reduces overfitting and improves performance of Tensor Network models.

A new method uses mixture approximations to improve diffusion models for Bayesian inverse problems.

problem Approximating posterior distributions in Bayesian inverse problems with intractable likelihoods.
method Proposes a mixture-based approximation of intermediate posterior distributions and uses Gibbs sampling for practical sampling.
result Validated the approach on image inverse problems and audio source separation, demonstrating improved performance.

Bayesian neural networks with Mercer priors for interpretable uncertainty quantification.

problem Uncertainty quantification in neural networks, especially for complex input-to-output mappings.
method Introducing Mercer priors for BNNs, which approximate a specified GP and are scalable.
result BNNs with Mercer priors can approximate the uncertainty of a specified GP, making them interpretable and scalable.

Bayesian framework calibrates imperfect models using physics-informed priors and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo.

problem Quantifying uncertainty in imperfect computer models described by differential equations.
method Physics-informed Gaussian process priors, discrepancy function, Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, data approximations.
result Framework accurately recovers true parameters and produces accurate predictions.

Gaussian multiplicative noise is commonly used as a stochastic regularisation technique in training of deterministic neural networks. A recent paper reinterpreted the technique as a specific algorithm for approximate inference in Bayesian neural networks; several extensions ensued. We show that the log-uniform prior us…

2017-11-08abs ↗pdf ↗