Paper tackles robust federated learning for affine distribution shifts.
problem Statistical heterogeneity and distribution shifts degrade model performance in federated learning.
method Develops a robust federated learning algorithm (FLRA) for affine distribution shifts.
result FLRA achieves significant performance gains against affine distribution shifts.
Paper proposes a method to design molecules with specific properties.
problem Designing molecules with desired chemical and biological properties.
method Energy-based model in latent space, SGDS algorithm for gradual distribution shifting.
result Method achieves strong performances on various molecule design tasks.
New measures quantify how data augmentation improves model performance.
problem Understanding the effectiveness of data augmentation in deep learning.
method Introduced Affinity and Diversity measures to quantify augmentation performance.
result Augmentation performance is best achieved by optimizing both Affinity and Diversity.
New framework explains leading digit patterns without probabilistic assumptions.
problem Explaining leading digit distributions without relying on probabilistic models.
method Shift-invariant functional equation and affine-plus-periodic formulas.
result Unified mathematical foundation for understanding digit distributions.
We define a multi-variable version of the Affine Index Polynomial for virtual links. This invariant reduces to the original Affine Index Polynomial in the case of virtual knots, and also generalizes the version for compatible virtual links recently developed by L. Kauffman. We prove that this invariant is a Vassiliev i…
This paper introduces a new transfer learning method for regression.
problem Boosting predictive power in scenarios with scarce data.
method Affine model transfer, following expected-square loss minimization.
result The affine model transfer method encompasses various existing methods and clarifies its theoretical properties.
MELO predicts electricity loads by adapting to shifts without external indicators.
problem Adapting to non-stationary prediction challenges in online settings.
method MELO combines multiple forgetting factors and aggregation rules to adaptively predict.
result MELO reduces RMSE by 34.7% compared to base predictors and external covariates.
We prove a version of the affine Kempf-Ness theorem for non-algebraic symplectic structures and shifted moment maps, and use it to describe hyperkahler quotients of T*G, where G is a complex reductive group.
Few-shot domain adaptation improves autoencoder performance in changing wireless channels.
problem Frequent retraining of autoencoder for low decoding error rate in changing channel conditions is impractical.
method Uses Gaussian mixture density network and class and component-conditional affine transformations for few-shot adaptation.
result Effective adaptation using very small number of target domain samples, improving performance in real mmWave setups.
New approach models how explanations shift with distribution changes.
problem Model performance drops with changing input data distributions.
method Models explanation shifts and compares them to state-of-the-art techniques.
result Modeling explanation shifts better detects out-of-distribution behavior.
Unified framework certifies predictor performance under distribution shift.
problem Certifying predictor performance under distribution shift.
method Unified framework with explicit inequalities, sound verification, and identifiable structure.
result Explicit upper bound on excess risk under shift.
This research examines how model explanations change under distribution shifts in tabular data.
problem Detecting distribution shifts in tabular data affecting model performance and explanations.
method Investigates the relationship between model performance and explanation characteristics under distribution shifts.
result Explanation shifts are a better indicator for detecting predictive performance changes than traditional distribution shift techniques.
Paper tackles high-dimensional quantile regression with distribution shift using transfer learning.
problem Efficiency of knowledge transfer is severely impacted by distribution shift in high-dimensional regression.
method Proposes a novel transferable set and framework for three types of distribution shift: parameter, covariate, and residual.
result Establishes estimation error bounds and source detection consistency for the proposed method.
This work evaluates graph models' robustness to structural distributional shifts.
problem Evaluating graph models' robustness to structural distributional shifts.
method Proposes a general approach for inducing diverse distributional shifts based on graph structure.
result Simple models often outperform more sophisticated methods on structural distributional shifts.
A new policy for contextual bandits adapts to reward vector shifts.
problem Learning under reward vector shifts with ordered rewards.
method Adaptive-discretization and optimistic elimination policy.
result Established upper bounds on preference-based regret.
Paper proposes SJS model to estimate model performance under covariate and label shifts.
problem Estimating model performance when both covariates and labels shift.
method Sparse Joint Shift (SJS) model and SEES algorithm.
result SEES achieves significant shift estimation error improvements over existing approaches.
Motivated by control-affine systems in optimal control theory, we introduce the notion of a point-affine distribution on a manifold X - i.e., an affine distribution F together with a distinguished vector field contained in F. We compute local invariants for point-affine distributions of constant type when dim(X)=n, ran…
A TTA framework improves forecasting accuracy in non-stationary time series.
problem Improving forecasting accuracy in non-stationary time series.
method Normalization-based test-time adaptation for causal timeseries forecasting and direction classification.
result Normalization-based TTA improves forecasting error in synthetic gradual drift and can even hurt in aggressive norm-only adaptation in financial markets.
Affine connections linked to Riccati distributions on compact surfaces.
problem Understanding affine structures on complex compact surfaces.
method Established a correspondence between affine connections and Riccati distributions.
result One-to-one correspondence between affine structures and Riccati foliations on compact surfaces.
Paper proposes a framework to detect distribution shifts using embedding space geometry.
problem Detecting distribution shifts in candidate datasets to improve model generalizability.
method Non-parametric framework using embedding space geometry for two tests: robustness boundary and in-distribution/out-of-distribution classification.
result Both tests successfully detect distribution shifts in various scenarios for both synthetic and real-world datasets.
AdapTable adapts tabular models to shifts without source data, improving HELOC performance.
problem Distribution shifts in tabular data threaten model performance.
method Shift-aware uncertainty calibrator and label distribution handler.
result Up to 16% improvement on HELOC dataset.
New perspective on distribution shift helps make learning easier.
problem Learning with different training and target distributions.
method Formalizing and exploring Positive Distribution Shift (PDS).
result Distribution shift can be positive, making learning easier.
Study evaluates methods for improving model robustness to various real-world distribution shifts.
problem Improving model robustness to real-world distribution shifts like geographic changes.
method Introduced new datasets and evaluated existing methods on four types of shifts (style, blurriness, location, camera operation).
result Data augmentations and larger models can improve robustness on real-world distribution shifts, contrary to prior claims.
New CPS model tackles conditional probability shift in machine learning.
problem Discrepancy between source and target distributions in machine learning.
method Conditional Probability Shift Model (CPSM) using multinomial regression and EM algorithm.
result Superior balanced classification accuracy on target data compared to existing methods.
Study shows current image classification models lack robustness to real-world dataset shifts.
problem Robustness of current image classification models to natural distribution shifts in real datasets.
method Evaluation of 204 ImageNet models in 213 different test conditions.
result Little to no transfer of robustness from synthetic to natural distribution shifts.
Extends FJS analysis to general label spaces, including classification and regression.
problem Distribution shift in general label spaces, including covariate and label shifts.
method Proposes a framework for analyzing FJS in general label spaces and generalizes existing results.
result Generalizes FJS analysis to general label spaces, including classification and regression.
Graphs models are vulnerable to distribution shifts, which this work explains and mitigates.
problem Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are susceptible to distribution shift, leading to performance degradation.
method Theoretical analysis quantifying conditional shift, proposing an approach to estimate and minimize it.
result The proposed approach demonstrates up to 10% absolute ROC AUC improvement under various distribution shifts.
Unsupervised learning representations generalize better than supervised learning under distribution shifts.
problem Robustness of unsupervised representations to distribution shift.
method Extensive evaluation on synthetic and realistic datasets, including controllable domain generalization datasets.
result Unsupervised representations learned from SSL and AE generalize better than supervised learning under various distribution shifts.
Develops estimators for near-optimal linear regression under distribution shift.
problem Linear regression under distribution shift with scarce target domain data.
method Minimax linear risk estimators covering various transfer learning settings.
result Achieves near-optimal risk for linear regression problems under distribution shift.
SwISS improves scalability of Bayesian inference for large datasets.
problem Scalability issues in Bayesian inference for large datasets.
method Divide-and-conquer approach with SwISS for recombining sub-posterior samples.
result SwISS accurately approximates the original posterior distribution.
Unified learning bound for covariate and concept shifts.
problem Generalization under distribution shift in machine learning.
method Support-agnostic definitions of covariate and concept shifts using entropic optimal transport, leading to a unified error bound applicable to various loss functions and label spaces.
result Development of estimators for shifts with concentration guarantees and the DataShifts algorithm for quantifying and estimating the error bound.
Combines adversarial and interventional robustness for machine learning models.
problem Designing robust models for distribution shifts in machine learning.
method RISe formulation using distributionally robust optimization.
result Demonstrates efficacy of RISe approach with synthetic and real-world datasets.
STAD adapts models to evolving time-based data shifts.
problem Gradual distribution shifts over time challenge existing test-time adaptation methods.
method Bayesian filtering method that learns time-varying dynamics in hidden features.
result STAD excels in handling small batch sizes and label shift on real-world data.
Paper develops a new method to improve model calibration under distribution shifts.
problem Challenges in uncertainty quantification with different training and test distributions.
method Develops multi-domain temperature scaling to handle distribution shifts.
result Outperforms existing methods on in-distribution and out-of-distribution test sets.
New method learns distribution shifts caused by predictive models in social computing.
problem Learning distribution shifts due to predictive models in social computing.
method Reverse causal model with microfoundation for agents' actions.
result Effective in minimizing performative prediction risk.
This paper improves conformal prediction for robust interval estimation under distribution shifts.
problem Robustness of conformal prediction under distribution shifts.
method Modeling distribution shifts using Levy-Prokhorov (LP) ambiguity sets, which capture both local and global perturbations.
result Constructs robust conformal prediction intervals that remain valid under distribution shifts.
The study diagnoses fairness issues in healthcare models under distribution shifts.
problem Understanding and diagnosing fairness changes in machine learning models under distribution shifts in healthcare.
method Causal framing and conditional independence tests to characterize distribution shifts.
result Knowledge of distribution shifts helps diagnose fairness transfer failures, including complex cases.
Gordian complex of knots was defined by Hirasawa and Uchida as the simplicial complex whose vertices are knot isotopy classes in S3. Later Horiuchi and Ohyama defined Gordian complex of virtual knots using v-move and forbidden moves. In this paper we discuss Gordian complex of knots by region crossing cha…
Paper tackles online adaptation to changing label distributions.
problem Adapting machine learning models to changing label distributions in real-world settings.
method Leverages novel analysis to show estimation of expected test loss is possible without true labels. Proposes adaptation algorithms inspired by classical online learning techniques.
result Empirically verified that OGD is particularly effective and robust to various label shift scenarios.
Study addresses RTB model performance drops due to distribution shifts.
problem Distribution shifts between training and target environments in RTB markets.
method Applies Exponential Tilt Reweighting Alignment (ExTRA) algorithm to estimate and correct model weights.
result Demonstrates improved RTB model performance using ExTRA algorithm.
Proposes a new measure to evaluate stability of statistical parameters under distributional shifts.
problem Difficulty in transferring knowledge across data sets due to distributional changes.
method Introduces a measure of instability quantifying sensitivity of statistical parameters to Kullback-Leibler divergence and directional shifts.
result The proposed measure can elucidate the type of shifts a parameter is sensitive to and improve estimation accuracy under shifted distributions.
REx tackles distributional shift by reducing risk differences across domains.
problem Tackling distributional shift when transferring machine learning systems to real-world applications.
method Risk Extrapolation (REx) assumes training domains represent test-time variations and uses extrapolated domains to minimize risk variance.
result REx reduces sensitivity to extreme distributional shifts, including causal and anti-causal inputs.
Proposes FSM-IRL to learn invariant network representations considering feature and structural shifts.
problem Spatial heterogeneity and temporal dynamics lead to OOD generalization issues in geographic networks.
method Introduces FSM-IRL model that accounts for feature and structural distribution shifts using causal attention and reweighting.
result Demonstrates strong learning capabilities on geographic and social network datasets in OOD scenarios.
For a polygon in Euclidean space we consider a transformation T which is obtained by applying the midpoints polygon construction twice and using an index shift. For a closed polygon this is a curve shortening process. A polygon is called (affine) soliton of the transformation T if its image under T is an affine image o…
Research tackles distribution shift issues in ML to improve AI reliability.
problem Distribution shift limits ML reliability and trustworthiness.
method Study three distribution shifts (perturbation, domain, modality) and investigate robustness, explainability, adaptability.
result Proposes effective solutions and fundamental insights for enhancing ML robustness, adaptability, and safety.
RIA method improves OoD generalization for covariate shift.
problem Improving out-of-distribution generalization under covariate shift.
method Adversarial label invariant graph data augmentations for OoD generalization.
result RIA method achieves high accuracy compared to OoD baselines.
Paper proposes a new regularization method to prevent model degradation under distribution shifts.
problem Model performance degrades under distribution shifts.
method Supervised contrastive learning with heterogeneous similarity.
result The proposed method outperforms existing regularization methods on benchmark datasets.
New insights into how high-dimensional models handle covariate shifts.
problem Covariate shift in high-dimensional random feature regression.
method Exact high-dimensional asymptotics of random feature regression under covariate shift.
result Overparameterized models exhibit enhanced robustness to covariate shift.