Tent adapts models during testing by minimizing entropy of predictions.
problem Adapting models to new data during testing with limited information.
method Test entropy minimization (tent) and online channel-wise affine transformations.
result Reduces generalization error on various datasets and benchmarks.
New adaptive test for NPIV models controls size and has superior power.
problem Testing inequality and equality restrictions in nonparametric IV models.
method Adaptive hypothesis test based on modified leave-one-out sample quadratic distance.
result Adaptive test attains the adaptive minimax rate of testing in L2. Optimizes group testing for COVID-19 to reduce test numbers.
problem Minimizing tests for accurate infection detection.
method Bayesian approach with genetic algorithms and sub-modularity.
result Greedy-adaptive method provides theoretical guarantees.
A probabilistic framework for online test-time adaptation
problem Adapting models to new data under distributional shift
method State-space modelling architecture
result Characterizing parameter learning, time evolution, prior tuning, and prediction
Paper tackles test-time adaptation for tabular data.
problem Performance degradation due to distribution shifts in testing.
method Proposes FTAT for robustly adapting tabular models during testing.
result FTAT outperforms state-of-the-art methods on benchmark datasets.
New method learns models to adapt to domain shifts at test time.
problem Learning models robust to distribution shifts in practical applications.
method Adaptive Risk Minimization (ARM) framework.
result Performance gains of 1-4% on image classification problems.
This paper improves test-time adaptation for distribution shifts using confidence maximization and input transformation.
problem Improving deep networks' performance on data shifted from the training distribution.
method Proposes a novel loss function combining confidence maximization and batch-wise entropy maximization with an input transformation module.
result Significantly improves robustness of pretrained networks to corruptions on benchmarks like ImageNet-C.
Testing two potentially multivariate variables for statistical dependence on the basis finite samples is a fundamental statistical challenge. Here we explore a family of tests that adapt to the complexity of the relationship between the variables, promising robust power across scenarios. Building on the distance correl…
Adaptive Stress Testing detects financial fraud by simulating potential failures.
problem Detecting and mitigating vulnerabilities in financial systems.
method Developed a simplified model using historical data and reinforcement learning.
result Identified the most likely path to system failure and improved fraud detection.
AdaPT-GMM improves multiple testing power with covariates.
problem Powerful and robust multiple testing with covariates.
method Covariate-assisted Gaussian mixture model with adaptive thresholding.
result AdaPT-GMM delivers high power in various scenarios.
Risk monitoring detects when TTA models degrade at test time.
problem Detecting when TTA models degrade at test time.
method Extended risk monitoring tools based on sequential testing with confidence sequences.
result Demonstrated effectiveness of TTA monitoring framework across various datasets and methods.
A new approach for test-time adaptation detects and reacts to distribution shifts.
problem Improving test-time accuracy under distribution shifts.
method Online self-training with a detection tool based on entropy values and betting martingales.
result The classifier's entropy values match those of the source domain, building invariance to distribution shifts.
STAD adapts models to evolving time-based data shifts.
problem Gradual distribution shifts over time challenge existing test-time adaptation methods.
method Bayesian filtering method that learns time-varying dynamics in hidden features.
result STAD excels in handling small batch sizes and label shift on real-world data.
We propose a new probabilistic graphical model that jointly models the difficulties of questions, the abilities of participants and the correct answers to questions in aptitude testing and crowdsourcing settings. We devise an active learning/adaptive testing scheme based on a greedy minimization of expected model entro…
Optimal ability estimation in adaptive testing with binary responses.
problem Estimating a continuous ability parameter from sequential binary responses.
method Adaptive selection of questions to maximize Fisher information, updating estimate using method-of-moments, and deciding accuracy with a test statistic.
result Fisher-tracking strategy achieves optimal performance in fixed-confidence and fixed-budget regimes.
Sequential Kernel-based Conditional Independence Testing via Adaptive Betting
problem Testing conditional independence
method Testing-by-betting on an adaptively optimized Kernel Conditional Independence statistic
result Significantly reduces Type I error inflation while preserving high power
We derive new theoretical results on the properties of the adaptive least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (adaptive lasso) for time series regression models. In particular, we investigate the question of how to conduct finite sample inference on the parameters given an adaptive lasso model for some fixed valu…
M-L2O adapts fast to new tasks by self-adapting during test-time.
problem L2O optimizers struggle with out-of-distribution tasks.
method Meta-training an L2O optimizer to adapt quickly to new tasks.
result M-L2O converges significantly faster than vanilla L2O with only 5 steps of adaptation.
PETAL adapts models to changing target domains over time.
problem Lifelong test-time adaptation in changing target domains.
method Probabilistic framework with student-teacher model and data-driven parameter restoration.
result PETAL achieves better results than state-of-the-art for online lifelong test-time adaptation.
CPATTA uses conformal prediction for efficient test-time adaptation.
problem Low data selection efficiency in existing ATTA methods.
method Conformal Prediction, online weight-update algorithm, domain-shift detector, staged update scheme.
result CPATTA consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods by 5% in accuracy.
VCoTTA uses variational Bayesian methods to adapt models under continuous domain shifts.
problem Error accumulation in continual test-time adaptation.
method VCoTTA employs variational Bayesian techniques to update a Bayesian Neural Network (BNN) during testing, combining priors from source and teacher models.
result VCoTTA effectively mitigates error accumulation in CTTA, as shown by experimental results on three datasets.
Paper studies federated nonparametric testing with privacy constraints, achieving optimal rates and adaptive testing.
problem Federated nonparametric goodness-of-fit testing under distributed differential privacy constraints.
method Establishes matching lower and upper bounds on minimax separation rate, constructs adaptive testing procedure.
result Achieves optimal rates and demonstrates phase transition phenomena in federated testing.
Method adapts frozen models for few-shot tasks without training.
problem Deployment constraints limit model updates, necessitating new adaptation methods.
method Exponential tilting of latent distribution for inference.
result Method outperforms parameter-update methods across benchmarks.
Deep neural nets optimize kernel parameters for non-parametric two-sample tests.
problem Determining if two samples come from the same distribution.
method Deep kernels trained to maximize test power, adapting to distribution smoothness and shape.
result Deep kernels outperform simpler kernels in high dimensions and complex data.
Adaptive sequential testing optimizes epidemic control by learning optimal test strategies.
problem Optimizing test allocation in epidemics with network and temporal dependence.
method Adaptive sequential design with Online Super Learner for optimal test strategies.
result Superior performance in simulated university COVID-19 pandemic.
Adapts CNN for robust medical image segmentation across different scanners and protocols.
problem Performance degradation of CNNs in medical image segmentation due to mismatch between training and test images.
method Designs a segmentation CNN as a concatenation of a shallow normalization CNN and a deep CNN. At test time, adapts the normalization sub-network for each test image using a denoising autoencoder.
result Consistently improves performance on multi-center MRI datasets of brain, heart, and prostate.
In this paper we investigate the adaptive market efficiency of the agricultural commodity futures market, using a sample of eight futures contracts. Using a battery of nonlinear tests, we uncover the nonlinear serial dependence in the returns series. We run the Hinich portmanteau bicorrelation test to uncover the momen…
Detects dense subhypergraphs in heterogeneous random hypergraphs.
problem Testing for the existence of a dense subhypergraph in heterogeneous random hypergraphs.
method Established detection boundaries and constructed asymptotically powerful and adaptive tests.
result Developed tests for distinguishing between null and alternative hypotheses.
Adaptive auditing improves AI robustness testing with anytime-valid guarantees.
problem Cost and time of annotation limit rigorous AI failure mode characterization.
method Introduces hypothesis testing framework for adaptive audits using SAVI.
result Proves anytime-valid type-I error control and robustness certification.
New test detects independence in streaming data, adapting to data complexity.
problem Independence testing in streaming data with adaptive stopping.
method Sequential kernelized independence tests using betting principles.
result Valid inference in streaming data with improved power.
Test-time training adapts a pretrained model to each prompt via parameter updates, improving accuracy under pretraining-to-test distribution shifts.
problem Improving accuracy of pretrained models under distribution shifts.
method Explaining TTT behavior through a decision-theoretic lens.
result TTT reduces prediction error when updates are spectrally matched to the prompt's signal-to-noise ratio and aligned with query-relevant eigen-directions.
A new test method improves goodness-of-fit tests for copulas.
problem Developing robust tests for copula goodness-of-fit.
method Binary Expansion Approximation of UniformiTY (BEAUTY) and Binary Expansion Adaptive Symmetry Test (BEAST).
result The BEAST method improves empirical power against various alternatives.
We introduce an adaptive output-sensitive Metropolis-Hastings algorithm for probabilistic models expressed as programs, Adaptive Lightweight Metropolis-Hastings (AdLMH). The algorithm extends Lightweight Metropolis-Hastings (LMH) by adjusting the probabilities of proposing random variables for modification to improve c…
Adaptive RL optimizes testing resource allocation for dynamic software environments.
problem Optimizing resource allocation for evolving software testing environments.
method Integrates Q-learning with hybrid reward design for sequential decision-making.
result Consistently outperforms static and optimization-based baselines in simulation studies.
AdapTable adapts tabular models to shifts without source data, improving HELOC performance.
problem Distribution shifts in tabular data threaten model performance.
method Shift-aware uncertainty calibrator and label distribution handler.
result Up to 16% improvement on HELOC dataset.
New method controls false discoveries in real-time data streams.
problem Online testing of hypotheses with strict error constraints and no future data.
method Structure-adaptive sequential testing (SAST) with alpha-investment algorithm.
result Substantial power gain over existing online testing rules.
Perfect adaptation in systems is identified and tested using graphical tools.
problem Identifying perfect adaptation in dynamical systems.
method Causal ordering algorithm and graphical representations of dynamical systems.
result Sufficient graphical and testing conditions for perfect adaptation.
Paper proposes SCQ and P-TAMS for structured OOD testing in high-stakes ML.
problem Difficulty of incorporating auxiliary information in traditional conformal methods.
method Structure-adaptive conformal q-value (SCQ) and pseudo-score-guided transductive automated model selection (P-TAMS).
result Unified framework controls false discovery rate and improves power across diverse settings.
Transfer and adaptation to new unknown environmental dynamics is a key challenge for reinforcement learning (RL). An even greater challenge is performing near-optimally in a single attempt at test time, possibly without access to dense rewards, which is not addressed by current methods that require multiple experience …
Study improves BN TTA under distribution shift using higher-order asymptotics.
problem Improving BN TTA for changing data distributions.
method Integrates Edgeworth expansion and saddlepoint approximation with one-step M-estimation.
result Derives optimal weighting parameter for minimized mean-squared error.
aLTT selects hyperparameters efficiently with statistical guarantees.
problem Statistical validity and efficiency in hyperparameter selection.
method Sequential data-dependent multiple hypothesis testing with early termination.
result Reduces testing rounds while maintaining statistical validity.
Enhances image quality to improve test-time adaptation accuracy.
problem Reducing accuracy loss due to distribution shift in deep networks.
method Integrates image enhancement with TTA methods to reduce prediction uncertainty.
result TECA method increases accuracy of TTA methods without hyperparameters.
Paper proposes a new method for more accurate group testing of infected patients.
problem Identifying infected patients efficiently with reduced tests and corrected errors.
method Adaptive design of pools based on Bayesian posterior prediction using belief propagation algorithm.
result The proposed method results in more accurate identification of infected patients.
Private online FDR control for adaptive testing under differential privacy.
problem Controlling false discoveries in adaptive multiple hypothesis testing with privacy constraints.
method Private online algorithms based on non-private results, ensuring privacy and statistical performance.
result Strong guarantees for privacy and statistical performance in FDR and power.
In practice, the data distribution at test time often differs, to a smaller or larger extent, from that of the original training data. Consequentially, the so-called source classifier, trained on the available labelled data, deteriorates on the test, or target, data. Domain adaptive classifiers aim to combat this probl…
This paper explores two classes of model adaptation methods for Web search ranking: Model Interpolation and error-driven learning approaches based on a boosting algorithm. The results show that model interpolation, though simple, achieves the best results on all the open test sets where the test data is very different …
This paper proposes a simple adaptive sensing and group testing algorithm for sparse signal recovery. The algorithm, termed Compressive Adaptive Sense and Search (CASS), is shown to be near-optimal in that it succeeds at the lowest possible signal-to-noise-ratio (SNR) levels, improving on previous work in adaptive comp…
New method infers viral load from pooled tests.
problem Inefficient viral load inference in pooled testing.
method Message passing algorithm with PCR noise function.
result Accurate viral load inference possible.