SBAMDT uses adaptive soft splits to model complex decision boundaries.
problem Limited ability of standard decision trees to capture complex decision boundaries.
method Probabilistic additive decision tree model with adaptive soft multivariate splits.
result Demonstrated improved predictive performance on synthetic and real datasets.
Low regularity spacetimes split into simpler structures.
problem Proving splitting theorem for C1 metrics and weights. method Combining elliptic techniques and line-adapted curves.
result Extends Lorentzian splitting theorem to C1 settings. A new adaptive splitting method improves accuracy for Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model.
problem Improving numerical solution accuracy for Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model.
method Adaptive splitting method over deterministic and random meshes, with uniform moment bound and strong error results.
result Uniform moment bound and strong error results of order 1/4 in L1 and L2 for κθ>σ^2, and order 1 for large noise.
Improves decision tree performance by correcting split selection errors.
problem Invalid statistical guarantees in split selection for decision trees.
method Introduces anytime-valid inference to provide valid statistical guarantees.
result Provides anytime-valid control of false splits under arbitrary data streams.
IMPaCT improves node classification in chronological split temporal graphs.
problem Domain adaptation challenges in graph data due to chronological splits.
method IMPaCT proposes a method to impose invariant properties based on realistic assumptions derived from temporal graph structures.
result IMPaCT achieves a 3.8% performance improvement over current SOTA method on the ogbn-mag graph dataset.
In this paper, we describe the space of adapted connections on a metric contact manifold through the space of their torsion tensors. The torsion tensor is an element of the space of TM-valued two-forms, which splits into various subspaces. We study the parts of the torsion tensor according to this splitting to complete…
Paper analyzes nonconvex bandit problems with improved adaptive methods.
problem Continuous armed bandit problems for nonconvex cost functions.
method Simple and adaptive bin splitting methods.
result Adaptive method achieves locally minimax optimal expected cumulative regret.
Adaptive Multilevel Splitting improves rare event pricing for financial derivatives.
problem Efficient pricing of binary options in rare event regimes with discontinuous payoffs.
method Adaptive Multilevel Splitting (AMS) reformulates rare-event problem as conditional events.
result AMS achieves up to 200-fold improvements over standard Monte Carlo, preserving unbiasedness.
Abstract: Proves relative versions of group splitting results.
problem Group splittings and invariant sets.
method Relative versions of earlier results about almost invariant sets and splittings of groups.
result Existence and uniqueness of relative versions of algebraic regular neighbourhoods and JSJ decompositions.
SPlit optimizes dataset splitting for better model performance.
problem Improving model performance through optimal dataset splitting.
method Adapting Support Points (SP) algorithm for subsampling and categorical variables in a sequential nearest neighbor approach.
result SPlit significantly improves worst-case testing performance compared to random splitting.
A new random forest algorithm improves tree construction for optimal performance.
problem Improving the performance of random forests, especially in complex and smooth scenarios.
method Adaptive split-balancing method using permutation-based splitting criterion.
result Achieves minimax optimality under various Lipschitz and Hölder classes.
This paper deals with the efficient numerical solution of the two-dimensional partial integro-differential complementarity problem (PIDCP) that holds for the value of American-style options under the two-asset Merton jump-diffusion model. We consider the adaptation of various operator splitting schemes of both the impl…
LoBoost improves local conformal prediction for gradient-boosted trees without extra data splits.
problem Quantifying uncertainty in gradient-boosted tree predictions.
method Model-native local conformal prediction using leaf structure.
result Competitive interval quality and improved test MSE with large calibration speedups.
We develop a progressive training approach for neural networks which adaptively grows the network structure by splitting existing neurons to multiple off-springs. By leveraging a functional steepest descent idea, we derive a simple criterion for deciding the best subset of neurons to split and a splitting gradient for …
We study the convergence of the predictive surface of regression trees and forests. To support our analysis we introduce a notion of adaptive concentration for regression trees. This approach breaks tree training into a model selection phase in which we pick the tree splits, followed by a model fitting phase where we f…
Most existing examples of full conformal predictive systems, split-conformal predictive systems, and cross-conformal predictive systems impose severe restrictions on the adaptation of predictive distributions to the test object at hand. In this paper we develop split-conformal and cross-conformal predictive systems tha…
Adaptive uncertainty quantification improves black-box model predictions in generative AI.
problem Improving uncertainty quantification for black-box models in generative AI.
method Adaptive partitioning and local calibration of conformity scores.
result Local tightening of uncertainty sets with adaptive bands.
Meta-learning performance depends on train-validation split type.
problem Understanding the importance of train-validation split in meta-learning.
method Theoretical and experimental study comparing train-val and train-train methods.
result Train-train method can achieve strictly better excess loss in realizable cases.
A new type of distributional regression tree uses soft split rules for better predictive performance.
problem Estimating complete conditional distributions in regression.
method Distributional adaptive soft regression trees using multivariate soft split rules.
result The method outperforms various benchmark methods, especially in complex non-linear interactions.
CAOS aggregates multiple one-shot predictors for efficient uncertainty quantification.
problem Lack of principled uncertainty quantification in one-shot prediction.
method CAOS, a conformal framework that aggregates multiple one-shot predictors and uses a leave-one-out calibration scheme.
result CAOS produces smaller prediction sets with reliable coverage compared to split conformal baselines.
FedForest adapts RF for federated learning, improving performance and efficiency.
problem Adapting RF for federated learning with heterogeneous data.
method FedForest uses a novel splitting procedure to aggregate client statistics, allowing non-parametric personalization.
result FedForest's federated RF achieves performance close to centralized models while being communication-efficient.
Skew-adaptive method improves prediction intervals for regression.
problem Improving prediction intervals for regression models, especially in cases of skewness and varying scales.
method Develops a skew-adaptive extension of split conformal prediction using an asymmetric interval family and gauge approach.
result Preserves marginal validity and adapts to local scale and skewness, with efficiency gains over existing methods.
Nash integrates covariate-specific side info into sparse regression via neural networks.
problem Sparse linear regression struggles with covariates exhibiting structure or coming from heterogeneous sources.
method Neural Adaptive Shrinkage (Nash) framework that integrates side information into sparse regression via neural networks. Uses split variational empirical Bayes algorithm.
result Nash improves accuracy and adaptability over existing methods in real data experiments.
A new method for causal inference in high-dimensional data using machine learning.
problem Causal inference in high-dimensional observational data.
method Support Points Sample Splitting (SPSS) for efficient double machine learning (DML) in causal inference.
result Deep learning with SPSS and hybrid methods outperform SVM with SPSS in computational efficiency and estimation quality.
Novel methods for splitting Gaussian mixtures improve uncertainty propagation in nonlinear systems.
problem Improving accuracy and efficiency in nonlinear uncertainty propagation.
method Preserving mean and covariance, novel heuristics for selecting splitting direction informed by initial uncertainty and nonlinear function properties.
result Improved accuracy and efficiency in uncertainty propagation compared to existing techniques.
Bayesian mixture models are widely applied for unsupervised learning and exploratory data analysis. Markov chain Monte Carlo based on Gibbs sampling and split-merge moves are widely used for inference in these models. However, both methods are restricted to limited types of transitions and suffer from torpid mixing and…
Develops formal moduli theory for splitting complex supermanifolds.
problem Tackles the splitting problem of complex supermanifolds.
method Constructs a filtered dg Lie algebra to control splittings and transfers the theory to a minimal filtered L∞-model. result Recover classical obstruction classes as leading terms of Maurer-Cartan representatives and proves the existence of higher obstructions.
In this short note, we show how the parallel adaptive Wang-Landau (PAWL) algorithm of Bornn et al. (2013) can be used to automate and improve simulated tempering algorithms. While Wang-Landau and other stochastic approximation methods have frequently been applied within the simulated tempering framework, this note demo…
Enhances Random Forest for imbalanced functional data classification.
problem Challenges in classifying imbalanced functional data.
method Functional Random Forest with Adaptive Cost-Sensitive Splitting (FRF-ACS).
result Significantly improves minority class recall and predictive performance.
We adapt the Douglas-Rachford (DR) splitting method to solve nonconvex feasibility problems by studying this method for a class of nonconvex optimization problem. While the convergence properties of the method for convex problems have been well studied, far less is known in the nonconvex setting. In this paper, for the…
New algorithm reduces discrimination in predictions.
problem Tackles potential discrimination in AI predictions.
method Integrates fairness adjustments into tree-building process.
result Reduces discriminatory predictions without significant loss in accuracy.
Stochastic methods with coordinate-wise adaptive stepsize (such as RMSprop and Adam) have been widely used in training deep neural networks. Despite their fast convergence, they can generalize worse than stochastic gradient descent. In this paper, by revisiting the design of Adagrad, we propose to split the network par…
Causal trees struggle with accuracy in estimating treatment effects.
problem Estimating heterogeneous causal treatment effects using recursive decision trees.
method Adaptive recursive partitioning with and without sample splitting.
result Causal tree estimators can have uniform-norm errors decreasing more slowly than any power of the sample size.
In the following paper we present a new type of optimization algorithms adapted for neural network training. These algorithms are based upon sequential operator splitting technique for some associated dynamical systems. Furthermore, we investigate through numerical simulations the empirical rate of convergence of these…
We partially solve the conjecture by A.Shumakovitch about torsion in the Khovanov homology of prime, non-split links in S^3. We give a size restriction on the Khovanov homology of almost alternating links. We relate the Khovanov homology of the connected sum of a link diagram and the Hopf link with the Khovanov homolog…
Paper proposes adaptive parameter selection for KGD algorithms.
problem Improving parameter selection for kernel-based gradient descent.
method Integrates bias-variance analysis with splitting method, introduces empirical effective dimension.
result Adaptive parameter selection strategy achieves optimal generalization error bound.
agtboost speeds up gradient tree boosting with automatic complexity adjustment.
problem Speeding up and simplifying gradient tree boosting computations.
method Adaptive gradient tree boosting with automatic complexity adjustment and feature importance.
result Significant decrease in computation time and simplification of model complexity.
New approach for distributed learning of Gaussian mixtures.
problem Large datasets distributed across different centers.
method Split-and-conquer approach with MM algorithm.
result New estimator is consistent and retains root-n consistency.
We present FIESTA, a model selection approach that significantly reduces the computational resources required to reliably identify state-of-the-art performance from large collections of candidate models. Despite being known to produce unreliable comparisons, it is still common practice to compare model evaluations base…
The paper proposes a method for constructing confidence sets that adapt to the cardinality of the smallest component of a mean vector.
problem Forming confidence sets for the smallest component of an unknown mean vector.
method Sample splitting and self-normalization approach to test each component for being the smallest, maintaining validity regardless of d and n. result The proposed tests achieve the local minimax separation rate and robust to heavy-tailed distributions.
Decision trees with binary splits are popularly constructed using Classification and Regression Trees (CART) methodology. For binary classification and regression models, this approach recursively divides the data into two near-homogenous daughter nodes according to a split point that maximizes the reduction in sum of …
This work approximates full conformal prediction for neural networks without sample splitting.
problem Uncertainty quantification for neural network regression models.
method Approximating full conformal prediction using Gauss-Newton influence for post-hoc uncertainty estimation.
result Locally-adaptive and often tighter prediction intervals compared to split-CP.
CIT and CIF improve feature selection for downstream prediction.
problem Feature selection bias in machine learning models.
method Conditional inference trees and forests with Bonferroni correction.
result CIF ranks top 3 among 18 regression methods and top 4 among 17 classification methods.
Annotating large unlabeled datasets can be a major bottleneck for machine learning applications. We introduce a scheme for inferring labels of unlabeled data at a fraction of the cost of labeling the entire dataset. Our scheme, bounded expectation of label assignment (BELA), greedily queries an oracle (or human labeler…
We derive and analyze a generic, recursive algorithm for estimating all splits in a finite cluster tree as well as the corresponding clusters. We further investigate statistical properties of this generic clustering algorithm when it receives level set estimates from a kernel density estimator. In particular, we derive…
This paper improves prediction intervals for heteroskedastic regression.
problem Adaptive prediction intervals for heteroskedastic regression.
method Normalized and Mondrian conformal prediction methods.
result Conditional validity of chosen conformal predictors related to data-generating assumptions.
Paper proposes a new DR estimator for adaptive experiments with improved performance.
problem Improving policy evaluation in adaptive experiments with dependent samples.
method Adaptive-fitting variant of sample-splitting for non-Donsker nuisance estimators.
result Proposed DR estimator shows better performance than other estimators with dependent samples.
This paper proposes SplitSGD, a new dynamic learning rate schedule for stochastic optimization. This method decreases the learning rate for better adaptation to the local geometry of the objective function whenever a stationary phase is detected, that is, the iterates are likely to bounce at around a vicinity of a loca…