A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Bayesian mixture models are widely applied for unsupervised learning and exploratory data analysis. Markov chain Monte Carlo based on Gibbs sampling and split-merge moves are widely used for inference in these models. However, both methods are restricted to limited types of transitions and suffer from torpid mixing and…
Study minimax estimation of stratified structure from i.i.d. samples.
problem Estimating stratified structure from i.i.d. samples of stratified mixtures of immersed manifolds.
method Ascending hierarchical co-detection of points belonging to different layers, identifying number of layers and their dimensions, assigning points to layers accurately, estimating tangent spaces optimally.
result Achieves optimal estimation of mixture components at their optimal dimension-specific rates adaptively.
Deep sum-product networks learn faster than shallow models.
problem The speed of parameter optimization in sum-product networks.
method Theoretical analysis and empirical experiments on overparameterized sum-product networks.
result Gradient-based optimization in deep sum-product networks is equivalent to gradient ascent with adaptive and time-varying learning rates and additional momentum terms.
We develop a sequential low-complexity inference procedure for Dirichlet process mixtures of Gaussians for online clustering and parameter estimation when the number of clusters are unknown a-priori. We present an easily computable, closed form parametric expression for the conditional likelihood, in which hyperparamet…
Understanding proper distance measures between distributions is at the core of several learning tasks such as generative models, domain adaptation, clustering, etc. In this work, we focus on mixture distributions that arise naturally in several application domains where the data contains different sub-populations. For …
We introduce a balloon estimator in a generalized expectation-maximization method for estimating all parameters of a Gaussian mixture model given one data sample per mixture component. Instead of limiting explicitly the model size, this regularization strategy yields low-complexity sparse models where the number of eff…
We develop a mixture procedure for multi-sensor systems to monitor data streams for a change-point that causes a gradual degradation to a subset of the streams. Observations are assumed to be initially normal random variables with known constant means and variances. After the change-point, observations in the subset wi…
Paper tackles online multi-source domain adaptation using Gaussian mixtures and dictionary learning.
problem Adapting multiple, heterogeneous source domains to a target domain in a streaming fashion.
method Introduces a novel approach for online fitting of Gaussian Mixture Models based on Wasserstein geometry, combined with dataset dictionary learning.
result Demonstrates ability to adapt 'on the fly' to target domain data streams.
Adaptive importance sampling for stochastic optimization is a promising approach that offers improved convergence through variance reduction. In this work, we propose a new framework for variance reduction that enables the use of mixtures over predefined sampling distributions, which can naturally encode prior knowledg…
How to forecast next year's portfolio-wide credit default rate based on last year's default observations and the current score distribution? A classical approach to this problem consists of fitting a mixture of the conditional score distributions observed last year to the current score distribution. This is a special (…
Although Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) has been a powerful tool for modeling sequential data, its performance is inadequate when processing sequences with multiple patterns. In this paper, we address this challenge by introducing a novel mixture layer and constructing an adaptive RNN. The mixture layer augmented RNN (…
A mixture of factor analyzers is a semi-parametric density estimator that generalizes the well-known mixtures of Gaussians model by allowing each Gaussian in the mixture to be represented in a different lower-dimensional manifold. This paper presents a robust and parsimonious model selection algorithm for training a mi…
This paper studies identifiability and convergence behaviors for parameters of multiple types in finite mixtures, and the effects of model fitting with extra mixing components. First, we present a general theory for strong identifiability, which extends from the previous work of Nguyen [2013] and Chen [1995] to address…
In this paper we propose a new class of Dynamic Mixture Models (DAMMs) being able to sequentially adapt the mixture components as well as the mixture composition using information coming from the data. The information driven nature of the proposed class of models allows to exactly compute the full likelihood and to avo…
Singularities of a statistical model are the elements of the model's parameter space which make the corresponding Fisher information matrix degenerate. These are the points for which estimation techniques such as the maximum likelihood estimator and standard Bayesian procedures do not admit the root-n parametric rate…
We propose infinite mixture prototypes to adaptively represent both simple and complex data distributions for few-shot learning. Our infinite mixture prototypes represent each class by a set of clusters, unlike existing prototypical methods that represent each class by a single cluster. By inferring the number of clust…
Optimal classification rules control error rates in multiclass mixture models.
problem Classifying observations in multiclass mixture models while controlling error rates.
method Finding optimal classification rules by searching an optimal region in the observation space, using Maximum A Posteriori (MAP) rule and heuristic computation.
result The FDR-like optimal rule can be significantly less conservative than thresholded MAP rules.