DANCE method improves large-scale learning efficiency via accumulating sample strategy.
problem Efficiently solving large-scale empirical risk minimization problems.
method Distributed Accumulated Newton Conjugate gradient (DANCE) method with multistage approach.
result The method achieves satisfactory statistical accuracy with fewer passes over data.
Improved statistical computation through efficient matrix sampling.
problem Reducing computational cost in large-scale statistical methods.
method Accumulative sub-sampling method to improve statistical efficiency.
result Effective matrix size control improves computational efficiency.
This paper presents a numerical model to solve the problem of cash accumulation strategies for products with an unknown future price, like assets. Stock prices are modeled by a discretized Wiener Process, and by the means of ordinary integrals this Wiener Process will be exactly matched at a preset terminal time. Three…
VCoTTA uses variational Bayesian methods to adapt models under continuous domain shifts.
problem Error accumulation in continual test-time adaptation.
method VCoTTA employs variational Bayesian techniques to update a Bayesian Neural Network (BNN) during testing, combining priors from source and teacher models.
result VCoTTA effectively mitigates error accumulation in CTTA, as shown by experimental results on three datasets.
Analyzes error sources in global feature effect estimation methods.
problem Unexplored error sources in global feature effect estimation methods.
method Systematic, estimator-level analysis of bias and variance.
result Holdout data is theoretically cleanest, but estimation variance depends on sample size and model characteristics.
Financial investment returns lead to growing wealth inequality.
problem Recent rise in wealth inequality in active financial markets.
method Minimalist modelling strategy combining financial markets, wealth accumulation, and compound interest.
result Accumulated financial investment returns cause ever-increasing wealth concentration and inequality.
New optimization method for portfolio management maximizing wealth and utility with risk control.
problem Maximizing terminal wealth and utility with mean-variance risk control.
method Transformed into a single-objective problem using overall happiness, solved in game theoretic framework.
result Closed-form solutions for specific utility functions reveal new optimal investment strategies.
This paper revisits optimal investment strategies for defined contribution pension schemes using forward preferences.
problem Optimal investment strategies derived from backward models are not time-consistent and sub-optimal in real scenarios.
method Introduces forward preferences and solves optimal investment strategies for defined contribution pension schemes.
result Constructs optimal investment strategies for defined contribution pension schemes using forward preferences.
Improves likelihood-free inference by using a new sampling approach to avoid biased data collection.
problem Efficient Bayesian inference without likelihood evaluation for real-world datasets.
method Introduces Neural Proposal (NP) to sample simulation inputs i.i.d. for unbiased posterior inference.
result Demonstrates improved performance, especially for multi-modal posteriors, through experiments.
Central bank strategy to maintain currency exchange rate within limits.
problem Maintaining a currency exchange rate within a target zone despite adverse economic trends.
method Modeling the problem with a continuous-time market impact model and solving it as a stochastic control problem.
result Optimal strategy minimizes accumulated inventory of foreign currency.
Investment strategies ensure wealth bounded away from zero in a competitive market.
problem Ensuring wealth bounded away from zero in a competitive investment market.
method Stochastic game-theoretic model with survival strategies.
result Survival strategies are asymptotically equivalent and allow faster wealth accumulation.
RePS improves diffusion models for solving inverse problems efficiently.
problem Solving inverse problems with incomplete or noisy measurements.
method Restart for Posterior Sampling (RePS) using pre-trained diffusion models.
result RePS achieves faster convergence and superior reconstruction quality.
We investigate different strategies for active learning with Bayesian deep neural networks. We focus our analysis on scenarios where new, unlabeled data is obtained episodically, such as commonly encountered in mobile robotics applications. An evaluation of different strategies for acquisition, updating, and final trai…
Retirees who exhaust their savings while still alive are said to experience financial ruin. These savings are typically grown during the accumulation phase then spent during the retirement decumulation phase. Extensive research into invest-and-harvest decumulation strategies has been conducted, but recommendations diff…
Novel method for nonlinear data assimilation using Langevin sampling.
problem Nonlinear data assimilation challenges in Bayesian filtering.
method Score-based sequential Langevin sampling (SSLS) with dynamic models and annealing.
result Asymptotic stability and error bounds for local posterior sampling.
Optimizes dividend payments to balance risk and reward.
problem Maximizing mean-variance of accumulated discounted dividends up to ruin.
method Develops a time-consistent equilibrium strategy using a verification lemma.
result Equilibrium strategy is a barrier strategy for low risk aversion.
Stochastic methods improve data assimilation with high-frequency sensor data.
problem Computational challenges in data assimilation with high-frequency sensor data.
method Adapted stochastic approximation methods to handle high-frequency observations.
result Produces high-quality estimates using all observations without compromising statistical accuracy.
Machines, not humans, are the world's dominant knowledge accumulators but humans remain the dominant decision makers. Interpreting and disseminating the knowledge accumulated by machines requires expertise, time, and is prone to failure. The problem of how best to convey accumulated knowledge from computers to humans i…
ReSkill reconciles RL skill creation with policy optimization.
problem RL policies lack reusable strategies across tasks.
method Integrates skill creation into RL loop with three mechanisms.
result Consistently outperforms existing methods, especially on unseen tasks.
Sequential hypothesis testing is a desirable decision making strategy in any time sensitive scenario. Compared with fixed sample-size testing, sequential testing is capable of achieving identical probability of error requirements using less samples in average. For a binary detection problem, it is well known that for k…
A new sampling method using log-concave Markov chains.
problem Sampling from unnormalized densities efficiently.
method Decomposes sampling into log-concave Markov chains with noisy measurements.
result Shows remarkable capacity to 'tunnel' between modes of a distribution.
A new correction term improves sample efficiency in deep reinforcement learning.
problem Momentum accumulation in TD learning leads to doubly stale gradients.
method Proposed a correction term to address the issue of doubly stale gradients.
result Improves sample efficiency in policy evaluation.
Short-term incentives lead to riskier trading strategies.
problem Optimal execution with performance barriers.
method Analyzes the impact of short-term performance incentives on trading behavior.
result Short-term incentives result in more aggressive but less risky trading strategies in the short term, but poorer performance over long periods.
A prototype model of stock market is introduced and studied numerically. In this self-organized system, we consider only the interaction among traders without external influences. Agents trade according to their own strategy, to accumulate his assets by speculating on the price's fluctuations which are produced by them…
Study compares deep learning stock trading strategies in adverse market conditions.
problem Comparing deep learning models for stock trading performance in extreme market downturns.
method Reconstructed three deep learning models and compared their strategies through trading simulations.
result Deep learning models, especially LSTM, can mitigate losses in severe market downturns.
Selective pseudo-labeling improves unsupervised domain adaptation.
problem Classifying unlabeled target domain samples with labeled source domain samples.
method Structured prediction for selective pseudo-labeling.
result Selective pseudo-labeling outperforms state-of-the-art methods.
Improves spatio-temporal forecasting by reducing errors between training and inference.
problem Accumulation of small errors in Seq2Seq models during inference due to different distributions of training and inference phases.
method Curriculum learning based on Temporal Progressive Growing Sampling to replace some ground-truth context with generated predictions.
result Better models long-term dependencies and outperforms baseline approaches on two datasets.
Study analyzes cryptocurrency pump-and-dump dynamics using minute-level data.
problem Identifying and quantifying insider trading in cryptocurrency markets.
method Algorithmic identification of insider volume spikes, conservative profit bounds calculation, social-media verification.
result Median returns above 100%, upper-quartile returns exceeding 2000% for insider profits.
New method analyzes accumulation precision in deep learning networks.
problem Lack of precision analysis for accumulation in deep learning training.
method Statistical approach to analyze partial sum accumulations and derive equations for minimum required bits.
result Reduced accumulation precision can lead to loss of information and degraded network quality.
Improves NMT by sampling context from predicted sequence during training.
problem Error accumulation and overcorrection in NMT due to mismatched training and inference contexts.
method Samples context words from both ground truth and predicted sequences during training.
result Significant improvements on multiple datasets, including Chinese->English and WMT'14 English->German.
Study analyzes symmetric two-armed Bernoulli bandit problem with zero mean gap.
problem Analyzing symmetric two-armed Bernoulli bandit problem with zero mean gap.
method Associated with a solution of a linear heat equation, compute leading order terms of minmax optimal regret and pseudoregret.
result Explicitly compute leading order terms in three scaling regimes for the gap.
PES method reduces bias in gradient estimation for unrolled graphs.
problem High variance and bias in gradient estimation for unrolled computation graphs.
method Divide graph into unrolls, apply ES update, accumulate correction terms.
result PES provides unbiased, low-variance gradient estimates.
A major hurdle to clinical translation of brain-machine interfaces (BMIs) is that current decoders, which are trained from a small quantity of recent data, become ineffective when neural recording conditions subsequently change. We tested whether a decoder could be made more robust to future neural variability by train…
Optimal asset allocation strategy outperforms stochastic benchmark.
problem Achieving higher terminal wealth than a stochastic benchmark.
method Data-driven Neural Network optimization framework for dynamic asset allocation.
result Optimal adaptive strategy outperforms benchmark with higher median and right-skewed terminal wealth.
Optimal exit strategies of CPT gamblers in unfair gambles
problem Optimal exit strategies of gamblers with CPT preferences in games with strictly negative expected payoffs
method Formulating the problem as an optimal stopping problem on asymmetric random walks, applying geometric transformation, randomized strategies, and changing the decision variable
result The unfair problem in the infinite time horizon has finite values for a wide range of CPT parameter specifications
A new method improves training speed and robustness for deep learning models.
problem Training deep learning models with heavy-tailed gradient noise.
method Per-sample gradient clipping combined with SGD.
result PS-Clip-SGD achieves optimal convergence rates and high-probability guarantees.
Paper explores low-precision SGLD for neural networks, reducing costs without sacrificing performance.
problem Infeasibility of low-precision sampling in large-scale scenarios.
method Developed low-precision SGLD with quantization function and full-precision gradient accumulators.
result Low-precision SGLD achieves comparable performance to full-precision SGLD with only 8 bits.
Investors optimize liquid staking decisions in LSP and AMM protocols.
problem Optimal timing and allocation in liquid staking protocols.
method Derive optimal allocation strategy and model optimal exit timing using Laplace transforms and free-boundary techniques.
result Optimal stop-loss strategy maximizes expected payoff, influenced by fees and opportunity gains.
Training-free method improves text-to-image generation quality.
problem Error accumulation in simultaneous token updates of masked diffusion models.
method Training-free self-correction framework exploiting inductive biases.
result Significantly improved generation quality on text-to-image tasks.
Growth-optimal portfolios are guaranteed to accumulate higher wealth than any other investment strategy in the long run. However, they tend to be risky in the short term. For serially uncorrelated markets, similar portfolios with more robust guarantees have been recently proposed. This paper extends these robust portfo…
Accumulated stock returns exhibit tempered skew t-distribution.
problem Analyzing the distribution of stock returns over multiple days.
method Employing a tempered skew t-distribution model.
result Tempered skew t-distribution fits the distribution of accumulated stock returns well.
Optimizes tax payments for insurance companies using Lévy risk processes.
problem Maximizing expected accumulated discounted tax payments with a modified objective function.
method Loss-carry-forward tax system applied to spectrally negative Lévy processes until general draw-down time.
result Optimal tax return function and strategy derived.
Approves updates to machine learning models in healthcare based on accumulating data.
problem Designing policies to autonomously approve updates to machine learning algorithms in non-stationary settings.
method Learning-to-approve (L2A) approach that uses accumulating monitoring data to learn how to approve modifications.
result L2A learns to abstain when performance drops are common and approves beneficial modifications quickly when the distribution is stable.
RL optimizes resource allocation in MG by balancing experience and exploration.
problem Optimal resource allocation in competitive scenarios.
method Introduced RL to MG, allowing dynamic strategy adjustment based on experience and expected rewards.
result Achieves optimal resource coordination by balancing exploitation and exploration.
Strategy evaluation schemes are a crucial factor in any agent-based market model, as they determine the agents' strategy preferences and consequently their behavioral pattern. This study investigates how the strategy evaluation schemes adopted by agents affect their performance in conjunction with the market circumstan…
Neural CDEs correct errors in learned time-series models for better forecasting.
problem Error accumulation in multi-step forecasts of learned time-series models.
method Predictor-Corrector framework with a neural controlled differential equation.
result The proposed framework consistently improves forecasting performance across various models.
Study optimizes insurance investment to maximize utility across all capital levels.
problem Maximizing expected utility across all capital levels in an insurance company's investment strategy.
method Dynamic Programming Principle and Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation to prove existence of optimal strategy.
result Existence of optimal investment strategy proven under certain conditions.
Unfolding paths in Outer space accumulate on a simplex, not converge.
problem Understanding accumulation points in Outer space.
method Constructing an unfolding path in Outer space.
result Unfolding paths accumulate on a 1-simplex, not converge.