GAICF proposes a framework for managing generative AI risks in banking.
problem Generative AI's impact on financial decision-making and governance.
method SR 26-2-compatible governance framework for generative AI.
result GAICF aligns generative AI practices with SR 26-2 supervisory expectations.
GAICF proposes a framework for governing generative AI in banking.
problem Generative AI's impact on financial decision-making and governance.
method SR 26-2-compatible governance framework for generative AI applications.
result GAICF aligns generative AI practices with SR 26-2 supervisory expectations.
Framework for controlling multiple risks in AI models.
problem Enforcing multiple risk constraints in generative AI models.
method Formalizes problem, introduces two dynamic programming algorithms.
result Achieves nearly tight control of all constraint risks under mild assumptions.
Research creates a taxonomy to bridge AI security and regulatory gaps.
problem Disciplinary disconnect between technical and legal teams in AI risk assessment.
method Developed an AI System Threat Vector Taxonomy with 9 domains and 53 sub-threats.
result Empirically validated and aligned with ISO/IEC 42001 controls and NIST AI RMF functions.
Develops a framework for quantifying agentic AI model risk using LLM-inferred Bayesian state filters.
problem Quantifying the risk of agentic AI systems due to uncertain beliefs and actions.
method Representing the system as a partially observed Markov decision process with latent states, Bayesian belief updates, control-dependent losses, and tail-risk functionals.
result Develops a rigorous framework for separating uncertainty quantification from risk measurement.
Financial institutions face new model risks with AI, requiring enhanced model risk management.
problem New model risks from Generative AI applications in financial institutions.
method Enhanced model risk framework with additional testing and controls.
result Financial institutions need to enhance their model risk management for Generative AI applications.
GenAI offers financial benefits but requires risk management.
problem Managing risks in financial applications of AI.
method Balancing AI's potential with risk control strategies.
result Proper risk management is essential for AI growth in finance.
ToolChain-CRC addresses the risk-control problem for retrieval-augmented and tool-using agents under drift.
problem Risk-control problem for retrieval-augmented and tool-using agents under drift.
method ToolChain-CRC uses conformal risk-control under exchangeable calibration runs.
result Trajectory-level risk control keeps accepted-trajectory risk below the target.
Paper defines AI-specific loss reconstruction problem and introduces CER framework.
problem Reconstructing AI-generated losses, especially in agentic systems.
method CER framework: C (control boundary), E (evidence reconstruction), R (insurance response).
result Defines AI-specific reconstruction problem and operationalizes it.
The paper proposes a method to align AI models using conformal risk control.
problem Aligning AI models to meet end-user requirements in non-generative settings.
method Post-processing a pre-trained model to better align with a subset of functions using conformal risk control.
result A probabilistic guarantee that the resulting conformal interval around a model contains a function approximately satisfying a desired property.
MILLION framework optimizes portfolio risk and return efficiently.
problem Optimizing risk and return in AI for FinTech portfolio management.
method Two phases: return maximization with auxiliary objectives and risk control with portfolio interpolation and improvement.
result Framework achieves fine-grained risk control and improved return rates.
AI enhances quantitative investment for better returns and risk control.
problem Achieving stable returns through AI in quantitative investment.
method Application of AI technology in quantitative investment strategies.
result AI improves investment performance and risk management.
This research develops a new framework to measure AI investment returns considering both gains and risks.
problem Traditional ROI calculations fail to account for AI's dual impact on risk reduction and new exposures.
method Integrates ISO 42001 and regulatory exposure into a comprehensive financial framework using risk quantification methods.
result Accurate AI investment evaluation requires modeling both productivity gains and risk exposures.
New AI governance framework tackles risks in finance.
problem Risks from evolving AI models in finance.
method Agent-based framework with modular governance architecture.
result Controls quarantine harmful behavior in real time.
A new framework for SPX and VIX hedging that combines AI and market dynamics.
problem Jointly hedging SPX and VIX exposures under transaction costs and regime shifts.
method Integrates an SSVI-based implied-volatility surface and a Cboe-compliant VIX computation with a control layer that enforces safety as constraints.
result Reduces expected shortfall while suppressing nuisance turnover in a reproducible synthetic environment.
New method extends supervised learning for non-stationary control problems.
problem Optimal control in non-stationary, reset-free environments.
method Prospective Learning with Control (PLuC) using Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM).
result ERM asymptotically achieves Bayes optimal policy in non-stationary environments.
The paper explores how AI trading agents' similar information representation can cause financial market instability.
problem Systemic instability in AI-dominated financial markets due to similar information representation.
method Structural multi-agent market model with two-layer decision architecture for AI agents.
result Representation homogeneity can lead to systemic instability in financial markets.
Paper tackles AI risks by customizing metrics and models.
problem AI risks are multidimensional and immaturely managed.
method Decomposes AI risks into data protection, fairness, etc., and develops metrics and models.
result Customized metrics and models reduce AI risk uncertainty.
The paper analyzes risk spillovers between AI ETFs, AI tokens, and green markets.
problem Risk spillovers among AI ETFs, AI tokens, and green markets.
method R2 decomposition method
result AI ETFs and clean energy act as risk transmitters, while AI tokens and green assets act as receivers.
Hierarchical AI multi-agent framework optimizes equity portfolios in China's A-share market.
problem Optimizing equity portfolios in China's A-share market using AI and multi-agent systems.
method A hierarchical multi-agent design integrating macro, firm-level, and reinforcement learning approaches.
result Consistently outperforms benchmarks and state-of-the-art systems on risk-adjusted returns and drawdown control.
The construction of artificial general intelligence (AGI) was a long-term goal of AI research aiming to deal with the complex data in the real world and make reasonable judgments in various cases like a human. However, the current AI creations, referred to as "Narrow AI", are limited to a specific problem. The constrai…
SCoRE provides risk control for selective prediction models.
problem Enforcing strict error control in selective prediction models.
method SCoRE framework based on conformal inference and hypothesis testing.
result SCoRE offers binary trust decisions with finite-sample error control.
Modeling vessel speed to balance efficiency and environmental risks in Arctic shipping.
problem Balancing vessel speed with environmental and ecological risks in Arctic shipping.
method Inverse control constrained optimization framework with risk parameters estimated from AIS data.
result Distinct decision-making patterns across vessel types and navigational statuses, with varying sensitivity to ice and whale risks.
LibAUC optimizes X-risks for AI tasks like CID, LTR, and CLR.
problem Optimizing risk functions in AI for tasks like classification, ranking, and representation learning.
method Developed a new mini-batch pipeline for deep X-risk optimization (DXO) algorithms.
result Achieved great success in solving CID, LTR, and CLR tasks with faster convergence and scalable performance.
Paper develops framework for AI agents in financial markets.
problem Systemic implications of AI in finance depend on agent architectures.
method Four-layer architecture and AFMM model for analysis.
result AI agents can improve market efficiency and resilience.
AI-Trader benchmarks LLMs in live financial markets, revealing poor trading performance.
problem Challenges in real-time financial decision-making by autonomous agents.
method Fully automated, live evaluation benchmark with minimal human intervention.
result General intelligence does not translate to effective trading, highlighting limitations.
AlphaX uses AI to outperform Brazilian stock market benchmarks.
problem AI strategies often overperform in backtests but underperform in real markets due to lookahead bias.
method Controlled simulations to mitigate lookahead bias, using Value Investing principles.
result AlphaX strategy outperforms major benchmarks and technical indicators.
AI enhances bank credit risk management through deep learning and data analysis.
problem Inaccurate credit decisions and potential risks in bank credit risk management.
method Innovative application of AI technology, including deep learning and big data analysis.
result AI provides more accurate and comprehensive credit decision support, reducing risks and losses.
Data science principles enhance AI interpretability for better user control.
problem Risks from opaque AI models without clear impacts.
method Synthesizes principles from interpretability literature, emphasizing audience goals.
result Illustrates basic techniques and criteria for evaluating interpretability.
Algorithmic insurance tackles financial risks from AI errors, proving CVaR-optimal thresholds reduce tail risk.
problem High-stakes AI errors lead to heterogeneous losses, challenging traditional insurance assumptions.
method Analyzed binary classification performance to tail risk exposure, using CVaR to quantify extreme losses.
result CVaR-optimal thresholds reduce tail risk up to 13-fold compared to accuracy maximization.
Mathematical conditions and practical computations for adversarial robustness measures are established.
problem Existence, uniqueness, and scalability of adversarial robustness measures for AI classifiers.
method Formulated and proven mathematical conditions for existence, uniqueness, and explicit analytical computation of minimal adversarial paths and distances. Practical computation demonstrated on various AI tools and synthetic benchmarks.
result Explicit mathematical conditions and practical computations for adversarial robustness measures are established.
Generative AI reduces IR evaluation costs but introduces errors; this work provides reliable CIs.
problem Generating relevance annotations using AI introduces errors that affect IR evaluation metrics.
method Proposes two methods: prediction-powered inference and conformal risk control to place reliable CIs around IR metrics.
result Proposed methods accurately capture both variance and bias in evaluation based on AI-generated annotations.
New framework uses OR to ensure AI systems make safe decisions.
problem Ensuring generative AI systems make safe decisions as they gain autonomy.
method Developed a conceptual framework combining flow-based models and adversarial robustness.
result Increased autonomy requires new OR approaches for feasibility, robustness, and stress testing.
AI measures financial risk using linear quantile lasso regression.
problem Measuring systemic financial risk accurately and quantitatively.
method Linear quantile lasso regression with penalization parameter lambda.
result The Financial Risk Meter (FRM) is a valid measure of systemic risk.
This paper maps the insurability of AI risks across various insurance products.
problem Emerging AI risks and their implications for insurance coverage.
method Coding 55 AI threat classes against 26 insurance products using public carrier materials and threat catalogs.
result Identification of a four-tier insurability frontier: affirmatively insured, silent-AI exposures, actively excluded, and unstructured perils.
This paper tackles AI model governance challenges in financial services.
problem Challenges in current AI model governance practices in financial services.
method Proposes a system-level framework for increased self-regulation.
result Enhanced model governance and risk management capabilities.
Examines AI regulation in finance, highlighting risks and gaps in current laws.
problem Rapid AI adoption in finance introduces risks and compliance challenges.
method Reviews current legislation, industry guidelines, and real-world use cases.
result Need for adaptive, technology-neutral policies to balance innovation and consumer protection.
Paper proposes government indemnification for AI risks to solve judgment-proof problem.
problem Uninsurable risks from AI, especially existential risks, create a judgment-proof problem.
method A government-provided, mandatory indemnification program using risk-priced fees and Bayesian Truth Serum.
result The approach better leverages private information and signals risk mitigation efforts.
Framework insures AI actions with reserve capital, preventing loss.
problem Ensuring safety and accountability for AI actions with varying side effects.
method Developed Actuarial Action Interface (AAI) and Authority Frontier to price and gate AI actions.
result Found common refusal and release patterns across domains, with varying required reserve capital.
ChatGPT launch boosted AI-related crypto assets by 10.7% to 15.6%.
problem Investor perception of AI assets after ChatGPT launch.
method Synthetic difference-in-difference methodology.
result AI-related crypto assets experienced significant returns after ChatGPT launch.
Survey examines agentic AI in finance, highlighting its autonomy and challenges.
problem Autonomous AI systems in finance and their implications.
method Systematic review of research, technical architectures, market applications, and governance frameworks.
result Agentic AI offers enhanced market efficiency but introduces new risks.
Conf-Gen applies uncertainty quantification to generative models.
problem Uncertainty quantification for unsupervised generative models.
method Adapts CRC to generative tasks, relaxing theoretical assumptions.
result Demonstrates flexibility and correctness of AI agent outputs.
Unified AI system for data quality control and governance in regulated environments.
problem Isolated data quality control steps in existing systems.
method AI-driven framework integrating rule-based, statistical, and AI methods.
result Empirical gains in anomaly detection, reduced manual remediation, improved auditability.
AI models assess psychological risks in currency trading.
problem Identifying psychological risks in currency traders.
method Developed a decision tree model to identify patterns in historical data.
result Enhanced decision-making through real-time alerts.
Generative AI agents improve ERP systems by automating complex financial tasks.
problem Static, rule-based workflows limit adaptability and intelligence in ERP systems.
method Introducing Generative Business Process AI Agents (GBPAs) that integrate generative AI with business process modeling and multi-agent orchestration.
result GBPAs achieve up to 40% reduction in processing time and 94% drop in error rate.
Unified Bayesian-AI framework improves epidemiological risk prediction and uncertainty quantification.
problem Lack of calibrated uncertainty in machine learning models for epidemiology.
method Combines Bayesian prediction with Bayesian hyperparameter optimization using logistic regression and Gaussian-process Bayesian optimization.
result Unified Bayesian-AI framework provides reliable coverage and improved calibration, enhancing epidemiological decision making.
RestoreAI predicts landmine risk from patterns, improving clearance efficiency.
problem Predicting landmine risk from spatial patterns to enhance clearance efficiency.
method RestoreAI uses landmine patterns for risk prediction, implementing three deminers: linear, curved, and Bayesian.
result RestoreAI significantly boosts clearance efficiency, achieving a 14.37 percentage point increase in cleared landmines per timestep.
AI helps assess nature-related financial risks for financial institutions.
problem Challenges in evaluating nature-related risks due to large data volume and complexity.
method Uses AI to address data gaps, uncertainty, and complex systems.
result Potential AI solutions for two use cases: beef supply and water utility.