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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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3569104138 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for AI portfolio management

AI agents manage portfolios, improving on human oversight.

problem Improving strategic asset allocation for institutional investors.
method 50 specialized agents produce capital market assumptions, construct portfolios, critique, and vote on each other's output.
result Meta-agent compares forecasts with realized returns and improves agent performance.

New AI platform screens portfolios for desirable firms and news.

problem Optimizing portfolio selection with AI.
method Two LLM agents screen for firm fundamentals and news sentiment. Agents deliberate to generate buy/sell signals. High-dimensional estimation determines optimal weights.
result Screened portfolio's Sharpe ratio consistently estimates target, superior to baseline and conventional approaches.

Paper uses AI to optimize crypto portfolios, showing better risk-adjusted returns.

problem Managing volatile crypto markets with high volatility.
method Multi-agent system designed to autonomously construct and evaluate crypto-asset allocations.
result Dynamic optimization strategy outperforms static equal weighting strategy in terms of risk-adjusted returns.

Generative AI models enhance sector-based investment portfolios, but performance varies by market conditions.

problem Improving investment performance through better stock selection in volatile markets.
method Applied LLMs from OpenAI, Google, Anthropic, DeepSeek, and xAI to select and weight stocks within S&P 500 sectors.
result LLM-weighted portfolios outperform sector indices in stable markets but underperform in volatile ones.

MILLION framework optimizes portfolio risk and return efficiently.

problem Optimizing risk and return in AI for FinTech portfolio management.
method Two phases: return maximization with auxiliary objectives and risk control with portfolio interpolation and improvement.
result Framework achieves fine-grained risk control and improved return rates.

Hybrid approach combines Markowitz's theory with reinforcement learning for optimal portfolio management.

problem Optimizing investment portfolios while balancing returns and risks.
method Knowledge distillation for training reinforcement learning agents.
result Achieves highest yield and Sharpe ratio of 2.03, ensuring top profitability with low risk.

AI system analyzes financial analyst recommendations and track records for portfolio construction.

problem Human PMs rely on analyst recommendations and track records for portfolio decisions.
method Develops AI-based Recommender Systems to replicate analyst conviction and track records.
result AI can improve portfolio construction by integrating analyst conviction and track records.

AI models outperform simple rules in cross-asset futures timing, especially with lower transaction costs.

problem Optimizing cross-asset portfolio weights using traditional forecasting and optimization methods.
method End-to-end AI policies that map market states directly to portfolio weights, trained on CME futures using a differentiable Sharpe ratio loss function.
result Transformer-based AI policies outperform simple rules and equal weighting, trading less and matching or exceeding equal weighting through moderate transaction costs.

A new model validation framework for agentic AI systems based on POMDPs.

problem Model validation of agentic AI systems.
method A POMDP-based framework for belief-state, forecast, and policy validation.
result The framework decomposes autonomous decision making into information, beliefs, forecasts, actions, and utility.

The paper analyzes risk spillovers between AI ETFs, AI tokens, and green markets.

problem Risk spillovers among AI ETFs, AI tokens, and green markets.
method R2 decomposition method
result AI ETFs and clean energy act as risk transmitters, while AI tokens and green assets act as receivers.

FinCARE combines financial data and AI reasoning to improve causal analysis of financial performance.

problem Correlation-based analysis fails to capture true causal relationships in financial performance.
method Hybrid framework integrating causal discovery algorithms with financial domain knowledge from SEC filings and LLM reasoning.
result KG+LLM-enhanced methods improve causal discovery across PC, GES, and NOTEARS by 36-366%.

This paper explores portfolio management strategies to maximize alpha and minimize beta.

problem Maximizing returns while minimizing risk in investment portfolios.
method Examines asset allocation, diversification, active management, and risk management strategies.
result Combining these strategies optimizes portfolio performance.

AI enhances bank credit risk management through deep learning and data analysis.

problem Inaccurate credit decisions and potential risks in bank credit risk management.
method Innovative application of AI technology, including deep learning and big data analysis.
result AI provides more accurate and comprehensive credit decision support, reducing risks and losses.

GAICF proposes a framework for managing generative AI risks in banking.

problem Generative AI's impact on financial decision-making and governance.
method SR 26-2-compatible governance framework for generative AI.
result GAICF aligns generative AI practices with SR 26-2 supervisory expectations.

Deep learning improves portfolio management by optimizing asset weights.

problem Traditional portfolio managers are outperformed by deep learning models in trading.
method Proposes a deep reinforcement learning portfolio manager that allocates weights to assets.
result The proposed portfolio manager outperforms conventional managers in risk-adjusted returns.

Introduces PIT-plot for prioritizing projects based on their impact.

problem Optimizing R&D investments in project portfolios.
method Develops a new tool (PIT-plot) focusing on project impact rather than project properties.
result Identifies projects with the largest impact for risk mitigation or value-adding.

Financial institutions face new model risks with AI, requiring enhanced model risk management.

problem New model risks from Generative AI applications in financial institutions.
method Enhanced model risk framework with additional testing and controls.
result Financial institutions need to enhance their model risk management for Generative AI applications.

Deep learning enhances financial asset management through new models and data sources.

problem Improving portfolio performance and price forecasting accuracy in financial asset management.
method Systematic review using Scopus database, focusing on deep learning applications in financial asset management from 2018 to 2023.
result Deep learning models show promise in enhancing portfolio performance and price forecasting accuracy.

Study proposes DRL for investor-specific portfolio optimization considering asset volatility.

problem Dynamic allocation of funds balancing risk and return under market conditions.
method Volatility-guided Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) framework.
result Proposed DRL portfolios outperform baseline strategies.

The paper develops a new framework for managing asymmetric volatility.

problem Managing asymmetric volatility to improve recovery and participation.
method Path-dependent framework for asymmetric volatility management.
result Skew engineering reduces harmful downside participation more than productive upside participation.

GAICF proposes a framework for governing generative AI in banking.

problem Generative AI's impact on financial decision-making and governance.
method SR 26-2-compatible governance framework for generative AI applications.
result GAICF aligns generative AI practices with SR 26-2 supervisory expectations.

ChatGPT selects stocks for investment portfolios, but optimization models improve results.

problem Using AI for investment advice due to model inaccuracies.
method Used ChatGPT to generate a stock universe, then compared various portfolio optimization strategies.
result Combining AI-generated stock selection with advanced optimization models yields better investment outcomes.

Deep RL for portfolio management shows poor robustness.

problem Robustness of Deep RL algorithms in online portfolio management.
method Proposed a training and evaluation process for assessing DRL algorithms.
result Most Deep RL algorithms are not robust, generalizing poorly and degrading quickly.

New method for portfolio management learns from past wealth evolution.

problem Optimizing portfolio selection based on past performance.
method Simulated annealing clustering for asset selection, considering past wealth evolution.
result Strategy effectively learns from past performance and performs well in practice.

This research develops a new framework to measure AI investment returns considering both gains and risks.

problem Traditional ROI calculations fail to account for AI's dual impact on risk reduction and new exposures.
method Integrates ISO 42001 and regulatory exposure into a comprehensive financial framework using risk quantification methods.
result Accurate AI investment evaluation requires modeling both productivity gains and risk exposures.

Proposes a virtual bidding strategy for electricity markets using stochastic control.

problem Optimizing electricity prices in day-ahead and real-time markets.
method Modeling price differences as Brownian motion with meteorological variables, transforming into portfolio management problem.
result Developed a strategy to manage electricity prices efficiently.

Proposes a bond portfolio solution for managing interest rate risk.

problem Managing long-term assets and liabilities under interest rate risk.
method Proposes a bond portfolio solution based on ambiguity-averse preferences, accommodating various constraints and interest rate perturbations.
result Optimal portfolio can be computed as a simple generalized least squares problem, enhancing out-of-sample performance.

Unified framework combines views and optimization for better portfolio management.

problem Optimizing portfolio weights with dynamic adjustment based on volatility.
method Dynamic sliding window adjusting horizon, factor estimates, BL posterior returns, and weights over time.
result Outperforms dynamic mean-variance optimization without BL views, providing stronger downside risk control.

Develops a framework for quantifying agentic AI model risk using LLM-inferred Bayesian state filters.

problem Quantifying the risk of agentic AI systems due to uncertain beliefs and actions.
method Representing the system as a partially observed Markov decision process with latent states, Bayesian belief updates, control-dependent losses, and tail-risk functionals.
result Develops a rigorous framework for separating uncertainty quantification from risk measurement.

The study analyzes ETFs' portfolio optimization and tail-risk management.

problem Analyzing the performance of actively managed ETFs in managing risk and diversification.
method Daily Bloomberg data for 30 funds, evaluating various strategies under long-only and long-short constraints.
result Tangency-type portfolios generally outperform buy-and-hold benchmarks, while minimum-variance and CVaR-minimizing portfolios sacrifice upside for downside control.

This paper evaluates investment risks in LATAM AI startups using DCF method.

problem Unique challenges and risks faced by LATAM tech startups.
method Total Addressable Market (TAM), Serviceable Available Market (SAM), and Serviceable Obtainable Market (SOM) metrics; Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) method.
result Developed a ranking of emerging powers in Latin America for tech startup investment.