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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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265278104 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for AI decision-making

Explainable AI improves human decision accuracy but does not enhance it significantly.

problem Improving human decision-making through explainable AI.
method Comparing human decision accuracy with and without AI predictions, including or excluding explanations.
result Providing AI predictions improves human decision accuracy, but explanations do not significantly enhance it.

This work advances collaborative decision making by combining human and AI strengths in uncertainty quantification.

problem Current AI lacks robust decision-making capabilities under uncertainty, especially in high-stakes contexts.
method Introduces Human AI Collaborative Uncertainty Quantification (HACUQ) framework, formalizing AI-human collaboration and developing calibration algorithms.
result Optimal collaborative prediction sets follow a two-threshold structure, and online adaptation algorithms can adapt to evolving human behavior.

FST.ai 2.0 improves Taekwondo decision-making with AI, reducing review time and increasing trust.

problem Fair, transparent, and explainable decision-making in Taekwondo.
method Pose-based action recognition, epistemic uncertainty modeling, interactive dashboards.
result 85% reduction in decision review time, 93% referee trust in AI-assisted decisions.

The paper tackles AI advice giving by considering adherence levels and defer options.

problem Inadequate consideration of human adherence to AI recommendations.
method Sequential decision-making model that considers adherence levels and incorporates a defer option.
result Specialized learning algorithms provide better convergence and empirical performance.

Framework enhances AI explainability by aligning with human cognitive models.

problem Lack of explainability in AI models hinders trust and accountability.
method Integrates explainability techniques with Malle's five category model of behavior explanation.
result Demonstrates practical relevance in credit risk assessment and regulatory analysis.

Study shows how AI model can improve decision-making with missing data.

problem Sequential decision-making with missing covariates.
method Introduced model elasticity to quantify imputation discrepancy; used statistical learning and regression for calibration.
result Calibrating pre-trained models can significantly reduce regret in decision-making.

The paper integrates AI and expert knowledge to optimize radiotherapy decisions.

problem Optimizing radiation dose planning considering patient-specific information.
method Integrating Gaussian process models with deep neural networks to quantify uncertainty.
result Improves AI model performance and guides clinical decision making.

Optimal allocation of human effort to correct AI assessments in decision-making.

problem How to allocate costly human effort to correct noisy or biased AI-generated assessments.
method Decision-theoretic framework treating AI assessments as signals and human judgments as costly information. Developed estimation procedures under nonparametric and linear models.
result Our approach substantially outperforms LLM-only predictions and achieves performance comparable to full human review while using only 20-30% of the human information.

Paper analyzes uncertainty metrics in ensemble learning for healthcare AI.

problem Selecting appropriate uncertainty metrics for ensemble learners in healthcare AI.
method Rigorous analysis of two uncertainty metrics: ensemble mean and variance.
result Ensemble mean is preferable to ensemble variance for decision making in healthcare AI.

Generative AI tasks analyzed for text, images, audio, video, code, and molecules.

problem What is the core question when using generative AI?
method Survey of generative model families, probabilistic framework, game-theoretic setup, post-training modifications, socially responsible considerations.
result Generative AI is a distinct machine learning task with connections to prediction, compression, and decision-making.

Develops methods for AI self-assessment to improve trustworthiness.

problem Uncertainty in AI predictions and lack of trust in AI systems.
method Uncertainty estimation techniques considering practical impacts and costs.
result Guidelines for selecting and designing effective AI self-assessment methods.

The paper explores AI in finance, focusing on XAI's role in enhancing interpretability and trust.

problem The need for AI in finance and the importance of XAI for better decision-making.
method Tracing AI's evolution in finance, highlighting XAI's role, and demonstrating through simulations.
result XAI enhances trust in AI systems, leading to more responsible decision-making.

Platform combines RL and language models to study narrative influence on AI decisions.

problem Understanding how narrative elements shape AI decision-making.
method Dual-system architecture with reinforcement learning and language model integration.
result Initial experiments show narrative frameworks can influence AI decision-making.

AI enhances personalized drug development and decision-making in pharma.

problem Traditional drug development lacks personalized treatment plans.
method Application of AI in drug discovery, clinical trials, and post-marketing assessment.
result AI improves personalized medicine, optimizing health outcomes.

Blackwell's theorems influence modern AI through information compression and decision making.

problem Information compression and decision making under uncertainty.
method Theorems developed in the 1940s and 1950s, applied to modern AI.
result Blackwell theorems remain relevant and influence modern AI subfields.

AI enhances financial services but humans are irreplaceable for empathy, presence, and ethics.

problem AI's limitations in financial services, especially with small datasets and human judgment.
method EPOCH framework highlighting five irreplaceable human capabilities: Empathy, Presence, Opinion, Creativity, and Hope.
result Humans are essential for trust, innovation, and consumer experience in financial services.

This review examines bandit problems in AI using statistical methods.

problem Sequential decision-making under uncertainty in AI environments.
method Foundational models, concentration inequalities, minimax regret bounds, frequentist and Bayesian algorithms, K-armed contextual bandits, SCAB, functional data analysis.
result Exploration-exploitation trade-offs and regret analyses in various bandit problems.

Unified Bayesian-AI framework improves epidemiological risk prediction and uncertainty quantification.

problem Lack of calibrated uncertainty in machine learning models for epidemiology.
method Combines Bayesian prediction with Bayesian hyperparameter optimization using logistic regression and Gaussian-process Bayesian optimization.
result Unified Bayesian-AI framework provides reliable coverage and improved calibration, enhancing epidemiological decision making.

AI systems are being deployed to support human decision making in high-stakes domains. In many cases, the human and AI form a team, in which the human makes decisions after reviewing the AI's inferences. A successful partnership requires that the human develops insights into the performance of the AI system, including …

2019-06-04abs ↗pdf ↗

There is an analogy between machine learning systems and economic entities in that they are both adaptive, and their behaviour is specified in a more-or-less explicit way. It appears that the area of AI that is most analogous to the behaviour of economic entities is that of morally good decision-making, but it is an op…

2019-12-29abs ↗pdf ↗

AI-Trader benchmarks LLMs in live financial markets, revealing poor trading performance.

problem Challenges in real-time financial decision-making by autonomous agents.
method Fully automated, live evaluation benchmark with minimal human intervention.
result General intelligence does not translate to effective trading, highlighting limitations.

AI-Interpret transforms opaque policies into simple, interpretable decision rules.

problem Designing effective decision aids for professionals to mitigate decision-making biases.
method Combining imitation learning, program induction, and clustering to transform learned policies into interpretable descriptions.
result Providing interpretable decision rules as flowcharts significantly improves people's planning strategies and decisions.

New concept of within-group fairness improves AI fairness without sacrificing accuracy.

problem Fairness issues in AI models treating individuals in the same sensitive group unfairly.
method Introducing within-group fairness, proposing mathematical definitions, and developing learning algorithms.
result Improves within-group fairness without sacrificing accuracy and between-group fairness.

Experiment shows cognitive biases impact human-AI collaboration, highlighting the need for diverse evaluator samples.

problem Cognitive biases affect human-AI collaboration, leading to suboptimal outcomes.
method Randomized experiment with 2,784 participants, manipulating AI suggestion quality, task burden, and financial incentives.
result Individual attitudes toward AI are the strongest predictor of performance, influencing accuracy and overcorrection.

Conformal prediction sets improve human decision making by quantifying model uncertainty.

problem Humans signal uncertainty and offer alternatives when unsure, but machine learning models often lack this feature.
method Conducted a randomized controlled trial with human subjects given conformal prediction sets.
result Human accuracy improves when given conformal prediction sets compared to fixed-size prediction sets.