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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for AI benchmark

This study benchmarks AI agents for personalized retail promotions using simulations.

problem Optimizing coupon targeting for sparse customer purchase events.
method Comprehensive simulations of customer shopping behaviors; training RL agents on batch data.
result Contextual bandit and deep RL methods outperform static policies in sparse reward environments.

AI-Trader benchmarks LLMs in live financial markets, revealing poor trading performance.

problem Challenges in real-time financial decision-making by autonomous agents.
method Fully automated, live evaluation benchmark with minimal human intervention.
result General intelligence does not translate to effective trading, highlighting limitations.

FinSurvival provides a large-scale financial survival modeling benchmark.

problem Lack of large-scale, realistic, and freely available datasets for benchmarking AI survival models.
method Derived 16 survival modeling tasks from cryptocurrency lending data using an automated pipeline.
result Demonstrated that existing AI survival models are not well-suited for these challenging tasks.

Foresight Arena benchmarks AI forecasting on real-world markets, isolating predictive edge.

problem Evaluating AI forecasting ability in real-world markets is challenging due to overfitting, centralized trust, and conflated metrics.
method Permissionless, on-chain benchmark using probabilistic forecasts, commit-reveal protocol, and smart contracts.
result Demonstrates the need for 350 predictions to reliably distinguish agents of different skill levels.

Adaptive AI delegation framework for dynamic decision authority allocation.

problem Dynamic allocation of decision authority to AI-generated recommendations under evolving evidence quality and uncertainty.
method Formulated as a Governance-Aware POMDP, using Bayesian inference for informational state estimation and sequential optimization for authority allocation.
result Sequential Bayesian governance provides the strongest general-purpose policy across AI-quality regimes, adapting to evolving evidence.

QCircuitBench provides a dataset for evaluating AI's ability to design quantum algorithms.

problem Lack of datasets for evaluating AI's capability in designing quantum algorithms.
method Developed a comprehensive benchmark dataset with 120,290 data points, including 25 algorithms and 3 task suites.
result LLMs exhibit consistent error patterns and fine-tuning does not always outperform few-shot learning.

LOB-Bench benchmarks generative AI for financial data, outperforming traditional models.

problem Lack of consensus on evaluating generative AI models for financial data.
method Python-based benchmark with LOB statistics and market impact metrics.
result Generative autoregressive models outperform traditional models in LOB data.

New findings show AI models can't be validated in complex social systems.

problem AI models in complex social systems can't be validated due to data collection practices.
method Formal impossibility results using the MovieLens benchmark.
result AI models in complex social systems are invalid under current data collection practices.

Benchmark evaluates AI-generated financial QA hallucinations, highlighting system vulnerabilities.

problem Ensuring factual accuracy of AI-generated financial QA outputs.
method Developed a benchmark dataset and evaluated six detection methods under clean and noisy conditions.
result LLM-based judges and embedding methods perform best, but degrade under noisy conditions.

AlphaX uses AI to outperform Brazilian stock market benchmarks.

problem AI strategies often overperform in backtests but underperform in real markets due to lookahead bias.
method Controlled simulations to mitigate lookahead bias, using Value Investing principles.
result AlphaX strategy outperforms major benchmarks and technical indicators.

CausalGame benchmarks LLM agents' causal thinking in games.

problem Evaluating causal thinking in AI Scientists with LLMs.
method Interactive games with 14 scenarios incorporating selection bias, measurement error, and hidden confounders.
result None of the 30 LLM agents demonstrated reliable causal thinking, with the best model achieving only 68.0% survival.

Paper proposes FinAR-Bench to evaluate LLMs in financial analysis tasks.

problem Inaccurate financial analysis by LLMs leading to investment and regulatory issues.
method Proposes FinAR-Bench, a benchmark dataset with three steps: key info extraction, financial indicator calculation, and logical reasoning.
result LLMs perform better in key info extraction and indicator calculation but struggle with logical reasoning.

AI agents improve forecast combination in empirical economics.

problem Hidden researcher degrees of freedom in AI-generated code.
method Adapted agent-loop architecture to empirical economics, added holdout evaluation.
result Independent agent searches find better forecast methods than benchmarks.

AI benchmarks evaluate football team performance using generative models.

problem Evaluating human performance in complex interactive tasks is error-prone and unreliable.
method Trained Conditional VRNN Model on player and ball tracking data to imitate and predict team interactions.
result Trained model as a useful benchmark for evaluating team performance in football.

ProEval efficiently estimates AI performance and discovers failures using pre-trained Gaussian Processes.

problem Resource-intensive evaluation of generative AI models.
method ProEval uses pre-trained Gaussian Processes and Bayesian quadrature to estimate performance and discover failures.
result ProEval requires significantly fewer samples to achieve accurate performance estimates and reveals more diverse failure cases.

AI agents improve forecast combination but require transparency.

problem AI coding agents increase flexibility in empirical economics, leading to hidden degrees of freedom.
method Adapted open-source agent-loop architecture to empirical economics workflow, adding post-search holdout evaluation.
result Multiple agent runs outperform standard benchmarks in rolling evaluation but not all on post-search holdout.

AIS uses a suboptimal extended target distribution, which this paper improves using SGM.

problem Improving the efficiency of Annealed Importance Sampling for marginal likelihood estimation.
method Leveraging score-based generative modeling to approximate the optimal extended target distribution.
result Demonstrated novel, differentiable AIS procedures on synthetic and real-world data.

ALPODS AI diagnoses high-dimensional biomedical data with human-understandable explanations.

problem AI decisions in high-dimensional biomedical data are not explainable to humans.
method ALPODS method classifies data based on clusters and generates fuzzy reasoning rules.
result ALPODS provides understandable explanations for AI diagnoses.

AI methods often fail to outperform classical CPU-based solvers on Maximum Independent Set problems.

problem Comparing AI methods with classical CPU-based solvers on Maximum Independent Set problems.
method Comparison of AI methods (e.g., generative models, reinforcement learning) with classical CPU-based solvers (e.g., KaMIS) on Maximum Independent Set problem.
result AI-inspired methods are often outperformed by classical CPU-based solvers, even with post-processing techniques.

Mathematical conditions and practical computations for adversarial robustness measures are established.

problem Existence, uniqueness, and scalability of adversarial robustness measures for AI classifiers.
method Formulated and proven mathematical conditions for existence, uniqueness, and explicit analytical computation of minimal adversarial paths and distances. Practical computation demonstrated on various AI tools and synthetic benchmarks.
result Explicit mathematical conditions and practical computations for adversarial robustness measures are established.

Study benchmarks uncertainty quantification in chest X-ray classification.

problem Reliable uncertainty quantification for medical AI models.
method Evaluation of 13 uncertainty quantification methods on MIMIC-CXR-JPG dataset.
result Insights into effectiveness and disentanglement of epistemic and aleatoric uncertainties.

Hybrid AI system combines technical, sentiment analysis for adaptive equity trading.

problem Traditional trading strategies fail during high volatility and regime shifts.
method Combines trend-following, mean-reversion, sentiment analysis, machine learning, and market regime filtering.
result Hybrid model achieved 135.49% return on investment over 24 months.

Classifier-based AI safety gates fail in self-improvement, even with advanced verification methods.

problem Maintaining reliable oversight of AI systems as they improve over iterations.
method Comprehensive empirical testing on neural controllers and MuJoCo benchmarks, using various classifiers and verification methods.
result Classifier-based safety gates fail in maintaining reliable oversight, even with advanced verification methods.

The General Video Game AI (GVGAI) competition and its associated software framework provides a way of benchmarking AI algorithms on a large number of games written in a domain-specific description language. While the competition has seen plenty of interest, it has so far focused on online planning, providing a forward …

2018-06-06abs ↗pdf ↗

CogScale benchmarks AI architectures for sequential processing.

problem Evaluating AI architectures' ability to process sequential information efficiently.
method 14 scalable synthetic tasks designed to isolate cognitive and memory abilities at different scales.
result Attention mechanisms and modern state-space models consistently maintain high performance as task difficulty scales.

Understanding and reasoning about physics is an important ability of intelligent agents. We develop the PHYRE benchmark for physical reasoning that contains a set of simple classical mechanics puzzles in a 2D physical environment. The benchmark is designed to encourage the development of learning algorithms that are sa…

2019-08-15abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper certifies AI reliability via sampling and calibration, providing exact guarantees.

problem Ensuring trust in black-box AI systems' outputs.
method Self-consistency sampling and conformal calibration.
result Reliability levels derived from these methods offer finite-sample guarantees.

Unified Uncertainty Calibration improves AI predictions by combining different types of uncertainty.

problem AI classifiers struggle with uncertainty, leading to miscalibrated predictions and poor performance.
method Unified Uncertainty Calibration (U2C) combines aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties to improve prediction quality.
result U2C outperforms traditional reject-or-classify methods across various ImageNet benchmarks.

SEMASIA provides a large dataset of latent representations for model comparison.

problem Difficulty in comparing semantic structures across different neural network models.
method Collection of latent representations from 1700 pretrained models across various benchmarks.
result Consistent semantic organization across models and datasets.

This abstract reviews recent methods for predicting protein-ligand binding affinity.

problem Predicting protein-ligand binding affinity for various applications in life sciences.
method Traditional and deep learning models for binding affinity prediction.
result Improved predictive performance of AI-driven models.

AI models outperform simple rules in cross-asset futures timing, especially with lower transaction costs.

problem Optimizing cross-asset portfolio weights using traditional forecasting and optimization methods.
method End-to-end AI policies that map market states directly to portfolio weights, trained on CME futures using a differentiable Sharpe ratio loss function.
result Transformer-based AI policies outperform simple rules and equal weighting, trading less and matching or exceeding equal weighting through moderate transaction costs.

Novel method diagnoses large language models' reasoning abilities.

problem Fine-grained evaluation of large language models' reasoning abilities.
method Adapting cognitive diagnosis models to LLMs, estimating mastery profiles and Q-matrix, incorporating textual information.
result Accurate parameter recovery and insights into LLMs' capabilities.