System segments Form 10-K documents into Item sections for financial analysis.
problem Segmenting Form 10-K documents into Item sections for efficient financial analysis.
method Developed an automatic Form 10-K Itemization system using NLP techniques.
result System achieves a retrieval rate of 93% for segmenting Item sections.
Two methods improve 10-K item segmentation using large language models.
problem Challenges in extracting specific items from 10-K reports due to variations in document formats and item presentation.
method Two advanced item segmentation methods: GPT4ItemSeg and BERT4ItemSeg.
result BERT4ItemSeg achieves a macro-F1 of 0.9825, surpassing other methods.
FinBERT-XRC model assesses financial report risk, offering transparent explanations.
problem Assessing post-event return volatility risk in financial reports.
method Deep-learning model FinBERT-XRC with explainability at word, sentence, and corpus levels.
result FinBERT-XRC outperforms state-of-the-art models in predictive accuracy.
Paper fine-tunes a language model to predict long-term stock buy signals.
problem Predicting long-term stock price movements with narrative text.
method Fine-tuning a small language model on 10-K reports for buy/sell decisions.
result Buy signals generated from 10-K text are most precise at 6 and 9 months, providing 4.8-9% improvement over random selection.
Narrative disclosures in 10-K filings improve bankruptcy prediction beyond accounting ratios.
problem Traditional bankruptcy prediction models rely on accounting ratios, which may not capture early warning signals.
method Developed a PB Stress Score based on distress-specific language in 10-K narratives, evaluated against accounting and dictionary benchmarks.
result Adding the PB Stress Score increases AUC from 0.8323 to 0.9019 and improves top-decile bankruptcy capture from 44.12% to 64.71%.
TinyXRA assesses financial risks from 10-K reports using a lightweight transformer model.
problem Comprehensive risk assessment from financial reports, distinguishing between upside and downside risk.
method Lightweight transformer model with dynamic attention, incorporating skewness, kurtosis, and Sortino ratio.
result State-of-the-art predictive accuracy and transparent risk assessments.
Study uses LLM to extract and compare segment disclosures from financial filings.
problem Challenges in completeness and comparability of segment disclosures in financial reports.
method Developed a large language model framework to extract and preserve segment information from Form 10-K filings.
result The LLM accurately extracts segment-level information and addresses cross-period knowledge questions.
The study improves sentiment analysis of 10-K filings, revealing aggregation effects on accuracy and correlation with market outcomes.
problem Lack of sentiment analysis for 10-K filings, particularly for risk disclosures.
method Supervised lexicon-learning approach applied to 10-K filings and Item 1A risk-factor sections, trained against return and volatility labels at different levels of aggregation.
result Sentiment analysis of Item 1A sections performs better at the individual-firm level, while full-filing text is more accurate at sector and portfolio levels.
Financial statements contain quantitative information and manager's subjective evaluation of firm's financial status. Using information released in U.S. 10-K filings. Both qualitative and quantitative appraisals are crucial for quality financial decisions. To extract such opinioned statements from the reports, we built…
Study evaluates five LLMs for financial report analysis, revealing performance differences and variability.
problem Lack of understanding in reliability, consistency, and transparency of LLMs in financial analysis.
method Human evaluation, automated similarity metrics, and behavioral diagnostics applied to five transformer-based LLMs over U.S. 10-K filings.
result No single LLM consistently dominates across all evaluation perspectives, highlighting variability and need for interpretability.
TSRGA scales multivariate linear regression for feature-distributed data.
problem Multivariate linear regression for feature-distributed data with high dimensions and many computing nodes.
method Two-stage relaxed greedy algorithm (TSRGA) for multivariate linear regression.
result TSRGA is highly scalable and can yield low-rank coefficient estimates.
New AI stock indices classify firms' AI engagement using 10-K filings.
problem Opaque AI selection criteria in existing ETFs.
method NLP analysis of 10-K filings to classify AI stocks.
result Companies with higher AI engagement have greater positive returns.
Holomorphic torsion invariant for log-Enriques surfaces derived from Borcherds products.
problem Holomorphic torsion invariant for log-Enriques surfaces.
method Introduced a holomorphic torsion invariant using Borcherds products.
result The invariant is given by the Petersson norm of an explicit Borcherds product.
FinReflectKG - EvalBench benchmarks financial KG extraction from SEC 10-K filings.
problem Lack of universal benchmark and evaluation framework for financial KG construction.
method Agentic and holistic evaluation principles, deterministic commit-then-justify judging protocol, binary and ordinal evaluations.
result Reflection-based extraction outperforms single-pass extraction in comprehensiveness, precision, and relevance.
The study finds that supply chain information from LLM embeddings improves stock returns predictions.
problem Predicting stock returns using textual information from annual reports.
method Combining LLM embeddings of annual reports with supply chain knowledge graph propagation.
result Network-augmented embeddings significantly predict stock returns with a Sharpe ratio of 0.86 and alpha of 7.27%.
LLMs cause inconsistent financial outputs, smaller models are more reliable.
problem Inconsistent outputs from LLMs undermine auditability and trust in financial workflows.
method Finance-calibrated deterministic test harness, task-specific invariant checking, model classification, and cross-provider validation.
result Smaller models (Granite-3-8B, Qwen2.5-7B) achieve 100% output consistency, while larger models like GPT-OSS-120B have high drift.
The paper discusses triangulations of Gromov sets and their properties.
problem Understanding triangulations of Gromov subsets in metric spaces.
method Review and extension of Chew's triangulation result for η-Gromov subsets of R2, and construction of subdivisions with controlled edge lengths and angles. result The existence of geodesic triangulations with controlled side lengths and angles for compact Riemannian 2-manifolds.
BERTopic improves financial text analysis with FinTextSim's contextual embeddings.
problem Analyzing financial text data for insights and predictions.
method Integrates BERTopic with FinTextSim for topic modeling and clustering.
result BERTopic performs better with FinTextSim's embeddings, improving topic clarity and reducing misclassification.
The objective of this research is to enhance performance of Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) algorithm in text classification. In our research, we proposed using SGD learning with Grid-Search approach to fine-tuning hyper-parameters in order to enhance the performance of SGD classification. We explored different setti…
CLARA generates clinical reports from raw inputs, improving accuracy and efficiency.
problem Generating accurate and detailed clinical reports from raw inputs is time-consuming and error-prone.
method Interactive method that generates reports sentence by sentence based on doctors' anchor words and partially completed sentences.
result CLARA achieves significant improvements in report generation accuracy and efficiency.
Improved financial network predictability using LLM for edge filtering.
problem Spurious edges in financial networks from textual similarity.
method Two-stage framework: sparse candidate graph + LLM edge classification.
result LLM-based edge filtering improves Sharpe ratio and reduces drawdown.
This study uses NLP to predict stock performance based on analyst reports.
problem Predicting stock performance using textual information from analyst reports.
method Natural language processing (NLP) and a customized BERT deep learning model for Chinese text.
result Strong positive sentiment in analyst reports increases excess return and intraday volatility, while strong negative sentiment increases volatility and trading volume but decreases excess return.
A Pathology report is arguably one of the most important documents in medicine containing interpretive information about the visual findings from the patient's biopsy sample. Each pathology report has a retention period of up to 20 years after the treatment of a patient. Cancer registries process and encode high volume…
Statistical hypothesis testing serves as statistical evidence for scientific innovation. However, if the reported results are intentionally biased, hypothesis testing no longer controls the rate of false discovery. In particular, we study such selection bias in machine learning models where the reporter is motivated to…
Corporate distress models typically only employ the numerical financial variables in the firms' annual reports. We develop a model that employs the unstructured textual data in the reports as well, namely the auditors' reports and managements' statements. Our model consists of a convolutional recurrent neural network w…
Predictive policing models can be biased by differential crime reporting rates.
problem Bias in predictive policing models due to differential crime reporting.
method Simulation based on Bogotá, Colombia's victimization and crime reporting data.
result Differential crime reporting rates can lead to misallocation of police patrols.
Study improves risk evaluation timing with right-censored reporting delays.
problem Improving risk evaluation under short observation windows due to administrative censoring.
method Jointly models parametric hazards for event and reporting processes, uses Monte Carlo expectation-maximization algorithm, and proposes transfer-learning procedure.
result Improves accuracy of timely risk evaluation under administrative censoring.
Private anchors affect how information is communicated and can improve or distort transmission.
problem How private anchors influence strategic communication and information transmission.
method Analyzed a sender-receiver game with costly reports and privately observed anchors.
result Small positive reporting costs can lead to full revelation, even with zero costs.
IPO Finance Agent evaluates LLMs on SpaceX IPO due diligence, surpassing Finance Agent v2.
problem Evaluating language models on financial tasks like IPO due diligence.
method Introducing IPO Finance Agent and an evaluator-optimizer pipeline.
result The best-performing model reaches 79.4% accuracy at 0.30 USD per query.
IPO Finance Agent extends Finance Agent v2 for SpaceX S-1 filings, improving accuracy and cost-efficiency.
problem Evaluating IPO due diligence tasks with long-form documents.
method Extended task domain, improved agentic harness with contextual retrieval, automated rubric generation.
result Best-performing model reaches 79.8% accuracy, cost-efficient model at 77.2% with 0.05 USD per query.
Typically, operational risk losses are reported above a threshold. Fitting data reported above a constant threshold is a well known and studied problem. However, in practice, the losses are scaled for business and other factors before the fitting and thus the threshold is varying across the scaled data sample. A report…
This report reviews the Edinburgh tram project's risk management. Projects frequently overrun their cost and timelines and fall short on intended benefits. Cost, schedule, and benefit risk of projects need to be carefully considered to avoid this. The report describes and evaluates risk assessment and management for th…
LLMs help less-resourced researchers access costly data.
problem Unequal access to costly datasets limits research contributions.
method RAG framework with GPT-4o-mini for automated data collection.
result LLMs can collect CEO pay ratios and CAMs from corporate disclosures with high accuracy and low cost.
New method protects whistleblowers from retaliation by ensuring their reports remain private.
problem Whistleblowers face retaliation, and current protections are insufficient.
method Formalizes protection against strong-adversary threat model as per-report (0,δ)-differential privacy, and provides a generic mechanism to reduce private auditing to private continual counting. result Demonstrates a reduction in selection error and improved utility over randomized response.
Sell-side analysts' reports explain 10% of stock returns, with income statement analyses most impactful.
problem The value of sell-side analysts' information in predicting stock returns.
method Analysis of large language model embeddings and Shapley value decomposition.
result Income statement analyses contribute most to explaining stock returns.
In retrospective assessments, internet news reports have been shown to capture early reports of unknown infectious disease transmission prior to official laboratory confirmation. In general, media interest and reporting peaks and wanes during the course of an outbreak. In this study, we quantify the extent to which med…
Framework integrates financial and annual report data for better corporate credit ratings.
problem Lack of insights from non-financial data in credit rating models.
method Uses FinBERT to extract features from annual reports and combines them with financial data.
result Improves credit rating accuracy by 8-12%.
Paper uses LLMs to analyze annual reports for stock investment, improving efficiency.
problem Manual analysis of annual reports is time-consuming and requires expertise.
method Leverages Large Language Models to extract and analyze annual reports.
result Machine Learning model trained on LLM outputs outperforms S&P500 returns.
Analyst reports contain valuable information for investment decisions.
problem Investment value in analyst reports is not fully understood or utilized.
method Embedded analyst reports with LLMs and ML forecasts of future returns.
result Portfolios formed on analyst report narratives outperform numerical forecasts and established factors.
Analysts use vague language in reports to convey useful information about future payoffs.
problem Lack of precise numerical forecasts in analyst reports.
method Empirical analysis of analyst reports to assess the predictive power of linguistic tone.
result The textual tone of analyst reports has predictive power for forecast errors and subsequent revisions, especially when language is vague and uncertainty is high.
We introduce a Bayesian solution for the problem in forensic speaker recognition, where there may be very little background material for estimating score calibration parameters. We work within the Bayesian paradigm of evidence reporting and develop a principled probabilistic treatment of the problem, which results in a…
In this paper, we consider the joint design of data compression and 802.15.4-based medium access control (MAC) protocol for smartgrids with renewable energy. We study the setting where a number of nodes, each of which comprises electricity load and/or renewable sources, report periodically their injected powers to a da…
Pathology reports contain useful information such as the main involved organ, diagnosis, etc. These information can be identified from the free text reports and used for large-scale statistical analysis or serve as annotation for other modalities such as pathology slides images. However, manual classification for a hug…
Automatic understanding of domain specific texts in order to extract useful relationships for later use is a non-trivial task. One such relationship would be between railroad accidents' causes and their correspondent descriptions in reports. From 2001 to 2016 rail accidents in the U.S. cost more than $4.6B. Railroads i…
Study clusters Kenyan medical insurance companies based on financial performance and reporting consistency.
problem Identifying financial health and reporting consistency in Kenyan medical insurance companies.
method Advanced clustering techniques (KMeans, DTW) on financial ratios and time series data.
result Four distinct clusters identified, each representing different financial performance and reporting consistency combinations.
In this paper, we present a data science automation system called Prediction Factory. The system uses several key automation algorithms to enable data scientists to rapidly develop predictive models and share them with domain experts. To assess the system's impact, we implemented 3 different interfaces for creating pre…
Enhances financial analysis with multi-agent collaboration.
problem Limited use of AI-agent collaboration in financial research.
method Proposes a multi-agent system for financial investment research.
result Multi-agent system outperforms single-agent models.
This is a report for reproducibility challenge of NeurlIPS 2019 on the paper Competitive Gradient Descent (Schafer et al., 2019). The paper introduces a novel algorithm for the numerical computation of Nash equilibria of competitive two-player games. It avoids oscillatory and divergent behaviours seen in alternating gr…