Deep learning solves dynamic programming with recursive utility.
problem Challenges in solving high-dimensional discrete-time dynamic programming problems with recursive utility.
method Certainty Equivalent Learning (CEL) algorithm that learns certainty-equivalent value directly with neural networks.
result Accurate value and policy approximations in high-dimensional problems, comparable to VFI in some cases.
Fast, reliable, and error-bounded option pricing with neural networks
problem Fast, reliable, and error-bounded option pricing
method Mixture Density Network
result Out-of-sample CDF error of 1.4imes10−4 Neural Markov models improve time series analysis by balancing deep learning and classical models.
problem Modeling non-stationary time series with high data sparsity.
method Hybrid approach using neural networks to parameterize stochastic matrices, estimating time-inhomogeneous Markov chains.
result Reduction of Chapman-Kolmogorov discrepancy and superior likelihood in financial markets.
Optimizes insurance pricing by accounting for policyholders' price sensitivity.
problem Traditional insurance pricing does not consider policyholders' price sensitivity.
method Formulates insurance pricing as a decision-making problem and uses off-policy evaluation and stochastic control.
result Neural networks outperform existing techniques for policy optimization.
Study forecasts U.S. bond index using deep learning, finding persistence is key.
problem Forecasting U.S. aggregate bond index with deep learning methods.
method Constructed a stationary but maximally persistent representation of the bond index, evaluated using MLPs and CNNs.
result Deep learning models outperform traditional methods in short-horizon forecasting of bond indices.
A neural network method estimates densities from characteristic functions.
problem Estimating fixed-horizon probability densities from empirical characteristic functions.
method Data-driven Fourier-mixture neural-network method trained in Fourier space.
result Competitive performance and clear gains on heavy-tailed targets.
End-to-end framework optimizes financial metrics using neural networks.
problem Difficult portfolio optimization in financial markets due to non-stationarity and high costs.
method Directly optimizes differentiable financial metrics via neural networks, incorporating realistic costs and rebalancing.
result Best model achieves +7.86% total return, outperforming S&P 500 by 12.38 percentage points.
Proposes a neural network for efficient imbalance electricity price forecasting.
problem Accurate and efficient imbalance electricity price forecasting in industrial energy trading systems.
method Market-rule-informed neural network framework.
result The proposed model achieves competitive forecasting performance with fewer parameters and shorter training time.
Neural network model improves longevity risk assessment.
problem Systematic mispricing of longevity risk in linear models.
method Hybrid-Lift framework combining Hierarchical LSTM networks and Mean-Bias Correction.
result Hybrid-Lift outperforms Li-Lee framework by 17.40% in Sweden and 12.57% in West Germany.
INEUS solves high-dimensional PIDEs efficiently with neural networks.
problem Solving high-dimensional partial integro-differential equations (PIDEs) efficiently.
method INEUS uses iterative neural networks to replace nonlocal integrals with sampling and reformulates PIDE solving as recursive regression.
result INEUS delivers accurate and scalable solutions for high-dimensional linear and nonlinear PIDEs.
Neural networks parameterize time-varying Markov dynamics in financial time series.
problem Estimating Markov transition matrices in high-resolution, high-noise financial data.
method Introduces a neural network framework to generate explicit, time-varying Markov transition matrices, constraining neural outputs to formal stochastic operators.
result Learned operators capture regime shifts, with high-volatility regimes homogenizing transition dynamics.
Optimizes multi-period portfolios with tail-risk constraints using neural networks.
problem Maximizing expected return while managing tail-risk constraints over multiple periods.
method Recurrent neural network approach to approximate optimal policy.
result Validated in financial and insurance models, capturing long-term risk dynamics.
Study evaluates financial anomaly detection methods on Canadian stock market.
problem Detecting financial anomalies in the Canadian stock market.
method Topological data analysis (TDA), principal component analysis (PCA), and neural network-based approaches.
result Neural network-based methods achieve the strongest performance in detecting financial anomalies.
Spectral portfolio theory links neural networks to wealth dynamics via SGD weight matrices.
problem Understanding wealth dynamics from neural network training.
method Direct identification of weight matrices as portfolio allocation matrices, linking SGD forces to portfolio dynamics.
result Spectral properties of SGD weight matrices transition between additive and multiplicative regimes, influencing wealth dynamics.
Deep neural networks improve portfolio construction by jointly modeling returns and risks.
problem Traditional portfolio construction methods fail under time-varying market conditions.
method Jointly modeling dynamic expected returns and risk structures using deep neural networks.
result Deep forecasting model achieves competitive predictive accuracy and economically meaningful directional accuracy.
Develops neural network framework for risk-reward optimization problems.
problem Multi-period risk-reward optimization with constrained policies.
method Neural network framework with two coupled feedforward networks, parametrizing two-step policies.
result Empirical optimum converges to true optimal value as network capacity and training size increase.
Different optimizer choices lead to different financial model predictions.
problem The impact of optimizer choice on neural network models in financial time series.
method Analysis of large-scale volatility forecasting for S&P 500 stocks using various model-training-pipeline pairs.
result Optimizer choice reshapes non-linear response profiles and temporal dependence in financial models, leading to different functional outcomes.
Optimizes retirement income with MBGs and neural networks for longevity risk.
problem Maximizing lifetime withdrawals while managing longevity risk.
method Neural-network optimization under stochastic mortality.
result International diversification and longevity pooling improve retirement outcomes.
New method for individual claims reserving using machine learning.
problem Traditional claims reserving methods are limited in individual claim prediction.
method Restructured data utilization for CL prediction, using multi-period factors.
result Neural networks applied for individual claims reserving.
NANSDE-Net models time series with memory using neural ARMA-type noise.
problem Modeling time series with long- or short-memory characteristics.
method Developed NANSDE-Net, a generative model that incorporates Neural Network-kernel ARMA-type noise.
result NANSDE-Net matches or outperforms existing models in reproducing long- and short-memory features of data.
Analytic networks with bounded coefficients can't outperform polynomial approximations.
problem Approximation limits of neural networks with analytic activation functions under coefficient constraints.
method Deterministic analysis using comparison argument and Bernstein-type estimates.
result Networks with analytic activation functions and controlled coefficients cannot outperform classical polynomial approximation rates on non-analytic targets.
Neural networks improve loss reserving with case estimates and transaction data.
problem Improving loss reserving accuracy using neural networks.
method Comparison of feed-forward and recurrent neural networks trained on case estimates and transaction data.
result Case estimates significantly improve predictions, but memory-equipped neural networks offer minimal additional benefit.
A hybrid framework uses machine learning to price options faster and more accurately.
problem Rapid recalibration of option pricing models in dynamic markets.
method Integrates smooth offset algorithm with supervised machine learning models.
result Surrogate pricing operators achieve up to 1000x speedup over direct SOA evaluation.
Study uses IMFs and neural networks to predict economic time series, enhancing interpretability.
problem Improving prediction accuracy and interpretability of economic time series.
method Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs) derived from economic time series, combined with DeepSHAP for interpretability.
result The last IMFs are most influential, and high-frequency IMFs introduce noise.
Study models weather index insurance pricing by insurers and farmers, finding flexible pricing kernels boost profits.
problem Monopoly pricing of weather index insurance with risk and flexibility considerations.
method Bowley-type sequential game with insurer and farmer, using neural networks for farmer's payoff.
result Flexible pricing kernels increase insurer profits closer to indemnity insurance levels.
We solve S-shaped utility portfolio selection with SD constraints using algorithms and neural networks.
problem Optimizing portfolios with S-shaped utility functions under SD constraints.
method First-order SD constraint solution, numerical algorithm for SSD, neural network approach.
result Effective numerical and neural network solutions for SSD constrained problems.
Neural network predicts optimal pension investments based on preferences.
problem Optimal pension investment problem with varying preferences.
method Used a neural network to identify optimal solutions to a family of investment problems.
result Validated network accuracy using classical numerical methods.
ETCNN uses neural networks to price American options accurately.
problem Accurately pricing American options with inequality constraints.
method ETCNN framework solving BSM equations with exact terminal condition.
result ETCNN achieves high accuracy and robustness across various scenarios.
Hybrid ML ensemble predicts market risk and generates alpha.
problem Forecasting short-horizon market risk and generating alpha.
method Neural networks and tree-based voting models integrated for trading signal.
result Sharpe ratio of 2.51 and annualized CAPM alpha of +0.28.
Neural network model improves robustness of mortgage bond yield curve estimation.
problem Overfitting and instability in traditional yield curve estimation methods for small mortgage bond markets.
method Neural network framework with a new loss function for smoothness and stability.
result Empirical results show more robust and stable yield curve estimates compared to existing methods.
A fast calibration method for rough volatility models with jumps.
problem Calibrating stochastic volatility models to market data efficiently.
method Structure-preserving approach: split pricing formula, precompute data-independent integrals, and approximate market-dependent remainder with neural networks.
result Calibration achieves high accuracy and speed, and a pure-jump rough volatility model adequately captures VIX dynamics.
New method reduces training time for deep hedging networks.
problem Challenges in training deep hedging networks with large batch sizes.
method Integrates topological features to reduce batch sizes.
result Practical training of deep hedging models without sacrificing performance.
Machine learning models outperform traditional option pricing models.
problem Improving option pricing accuracy using complex models.
method Evaluation of machine learning (NN, RF, CatBoost) and traditional models (Black-Scholes, Heston) on synthetic and real data.
result Machine learning models outperform traditional models in predicting option prices.
Neural networks solve variational inequalities for optimal stopping problems.
problem Solving variational inequalities for optimal stopping problems in finance.
method Proposed neural network approach using loss functions directly incorporating variational inequality on whole domain.
result Existence and convergence of neural networks whose losses converge to zero.
Deep learning speeds CAT bond valuation.
problem Valuation of Catastrophe bonds.
method Deep neural networks trained to price CAT bonds.
result Trained model provides fast and accurate pricing.
Interpretable deep learning model for insurance pricing.
problem Developing transparent yet accurate insurance pricing models.
method Developed a novel deep learning model with interpretable components.
result The model outperforms traditional methods in prediction accuracy.
Study uses neural networks to filter financial spillovers from noise.
problem Accurately measuring spillovers in financial markets from noise.
method Neural network-based denoising of covariance matrices.
result Developed markets are net transmitters of volatility spillovers, but can become receivers during stress.
Neural Lévy model improves risk and density forecasting for financial returns.
problem Financial returns exhibit heavy tails, volatility clustering, and jumps.
method Proposes a neural Lévy jump-diffusion framework that learns conditional drift, diffusion, jump intensity, and size distribution.
result Demonstrates improved calibration, sharper tail control, and risk reduction.
Neural nets analyze crypto markets for multi-timeframe trading.
problem High-frequency trading in cryptocurrency markets.
method Multi-timeframe trend analysis and high-frequency direction prediction networks.
result Positive risk-adjusted returns through machine learning.
TINs use neural networks to interpret technical indicators for trading.
problem Lack of interpretable neural architectures for technical indicators in trading.
method Introduced TINs, a neural architecture that reformulates technical indicators into trainable modules.
result Improved risk-adjusted performance compared to traditional indicator-based strategies.
Research improves pricing of multidimensional American options using neural networks.
problem Pricing multidimensional American options efficiently and accurately.
method Time Deep Gradient Flow (TDGF) method and Deep Galerkin Method (DGM).
result TDGF method achieves high accuracy and faster training than DGM.