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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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← all fields·10 papers on financial markets in Quant Finance · 1 month

Study on price formation in financial markets with a single default event.

problem Equilibrium price formation in financial markets with a single default risk.
method Characterized optimal strategies using quadratic-growth BSDEs, derived market-clearing condition, and established mean-field BSDE solvability.
result Characterized equilibrium risk premium and its dependence on default risk factors.

This paper evaluates LLMs for technical market analysis, finding GPT-4 Turbo and FinGPT outperform passive benchmarks.

problem Evaluating LLMs for technical market analysis in financial markets.
method Structured evaluation of five LLMs (GPT-4 Turbo, Claude 3 Opus, Gemini 1.5 Pro, Llama 3 70B, FinGPT) on four tasks: candlestick pattern recognition, directional signal generation, backtesting, and financial report comprehension.
result GPT-4 Turbo and FinGPT outperform passive benchmarks in simulated backtesting, with GPT-4 Turbo achieving the highest annualized return and Sharpe ratio.

Quantum method detects financial stress regimes from market data.

problem Detecting financial stress regimes from market data.
method Adapted Pauli Correlation Encoding to quantum topological data analysis.
result Quantum method can recover Betti numbers exactly at every scale.

This paper optimizes predicting support and resistance levels in financial markets.

problem Optimizing prediction of resistance and support levels in financial markets.
method Assuming a constant elasticity of variance process, the paper derives optimal trading boundaries using the aspiration level hypothesis.
result Optimal trading boundaries serve as predictors of resistance and support levels, located relative to the median interval of the hidden aspiration level.

The study examines robust decision-making in volatile financial markets, finding action robustness is more impactful than uncertainty tolerance.

problem Sequential decision making in high-frequency markets under evolving uncertainty.
method Analyzes two dimensions of robustness: uncertainty tolerance and action robustness, using simulations and empirical evidence.
result Action robustness has a larger impact on profitability than uncertainty tolerance, and excessive robustness can reduce profitability in illiquid markets.

RL agent outperforms model-based approach in detecting price manipulation.

problem Detecting and exploiting price manipulation opportunities.
method Compared model-free RL with model-based approach in a market with Almgren-Chriss framework.
result RL consistently outperforms model-based approach, especially with noisy parameter estimates.

Derives operational-time variance kernel for reaction boundaries in financial markets.

problem Separating components in volatility models to better understand market dynamics.
method Derives a variance kernel for a latent-order-book reaction boundary, separating structural boundary cumulant, clock projection, and pricing-measure choice.
result Operational variance has a closed asymptotic form for long-memory forcing, with effective signed-forcing intensity and resilience.

Agent-to-agent finance aims to manage payments and trust for AI agents.

problem Managing financial interactions between autonomous AI agents.
method Develops agent-to-agent finance concept and explores blockchain solutions.
result Agent-to-agent finance can address coordination frictions in financial markets.